Days of Future Past The Official X-Men: First Class Box Office Discussion Thread!

[JP]

They are already dropping from first estimates.The only good news to take away from this weekend Is the Hold Is second best In Franchise.

I don't know If It can get to 300 Million worldwide.Green Lantern will have a good opening weekend without a doudt although it could drop big after that.

Inless I hear a recent quote from Fox or Lauren Shuller Donner saying otherwise I am assuming there won't be a first Class sequel.

It frustrates me that Thor which Is far less a film than First Class did so well and other films you couldn't pay me to see(Like Super 8 and Transformers) may end up with better grosses than First CLass(although to be fair super 8 probally won't get to 100 Million
but Transformers ever after the crap that was Revenge of the Fallen may hit 300 Million
domesticlly)

How? It'll hit $200 mill overseas soon, and it'll be at $100 domestic tomorrow. That alone is already $300 mill.

 

[JP]

The people who are saying that it's doing terrible or great are lying to themselves. That drop isn't bad but it has about a 90% chance of another over 50% drop because of GL next weekend.

Thats whats going to kill it IMHO because it needs a 40% drop next weekend to succeed in any meaningful way.

Basically. It's doing just ok. Which really isn't bad at all.

 

[Angamb]

Domestically it may do about the same as X1, but WW will be much higher. (X1 did just under $300m).

At $140 million budget, $222m WW is pretty ok after one week. Nothing amazing, but nothing terrible like some would suggest.

Totally agreed.

 

[Seen]

I'm sure First Class will leave theaters with $150-$170 million domestic.

 

[Angamb]

Im not sure about domestic gross....

but Im sure First Class will beat X1 worldwide.

- X-men Final Worldwide BO: $296,339,527

- First Class in 2 weeks: $222.5 million.


There will be a sequel! that's for sure.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

150-170mil a good range.

The problem is 160mil in 2011 isn't the same as grossing 160mil in 2000. The original X-Men opened with close to 80mil in todays dollars and would be soldly over 220mil grosser today. First Class isn't looking at those kinds of numbers with this decent but not good enough drop. Any sequel talk will be on shakey ground, even with the overseas numbers (which aren't going to be Spider-Man good or anything).

I'm fine if a sequel is never made.

 

[marvelrobbins]

Let's hope the final weekend gross matches the esimates.To hit 100 million on Monday
It needs to hit 98 Million through sunday and then do 2 Million on Monday.Basiclly do half of what the weekday showings of last week.There remains the danger of First Class ending up not with a X-Men on Fantastic Four level domestic gross but with a Hulk/Incredible Hulk/Rise of the Silver Surfer level Domesit gross.To reach the level of what X-Men did It has to do 2 million this week on weekday showing and next weekend do around 15 Million.

As I keep saying with this level of gross on a reported 140 Million budget It IS far more likely for X4 Instead of a first Class sequel.Fox may take away they need stars from exsisting X-Men films to help make the films a sucess.Deadpool can still be made because
It can be done fairly cheap.They might only give Deadpool a 50 Million Budget.

 

[Nokio]

It's 160 mil for the budget, not 140.

 

[Seen]

I'll be a little upset if First Class doesn't make as much as X-Men Origins: Wolverine. Actually, I'll be really upset.

 

[Angamb]

dont worry.

Second Class WILL kill XO: Wolverine boxoffice.

 

[squeekness]

Im not sure about domestic gross....

but Im sure First Class will beat X1 worldwide.

- X-men Final Worldwide BO: $296,339,527

- First Class in 2 weeks: $222.5 million.


There will be a sequel! that's for sure.

Fine by me.

 

[akfj]

It's 160 mil for the budget, not 140.

With tax breaks it is $140 million.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

First Class sequel is far from guaranteed, kiddos.

 

[Nokio]

Despite being a good film it's still not a good Xmen film. This is what happens when you ignore the source material and insult the fans that even made a movie possible in the first place. Does FC deserve more love at the BO? I'm mixed on it. Part of me loved the movie and the other part no matter how hard I tried honestly could not ignore the continuity errors and lack of respect from the film makes. It's never good idea to insult the fan base even if we only make up a small percentage of the audience. I guess Fox feels we don't have mouths and by telling friends and family that can add up to some serious number losses.

 

[danoyse]

Despite being a good film it's still not a good Xmen film. This is what happens when you ignore the source material and insult the fans that even made a movie possible in the first place. Does FC deserve more love at the BO? I'm mixed on it. Part of me loved the movie and the other part no matter how hard I tried honestly could not ignore the continuity errors and lack of respect from the film makes. It's never good idea to insult the fan base even if we only make up a small percentage of the audience. I guess Fox feels we don't have mouths and by telling friends and family that can add up to some serious number losses.

Yes, because that's why the other movies were so successful. Because they were so close to the source material.

 

[JP]

Dear Lord.

 

[Nokio]

Yes, because that's why the other movies were so successful. Because they were so close to the source material.

X1 and X2 were closer then X3 and FC. It's my opinion. Sorry of u don't like it.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

First Class sequel is far from guaranteed, kiddos.

I couldn't agree with you more. All that talk of Batman Begins legs have flown out of the window and the movie only went up against a movie that opened with an estimated 37mil. I think that it is being well regarded but it is frontloaded and maybe the word of mouth isn't as bullet proof as we believe it is.

Next weekend is really going to be the real test for this film, is it going to hold up under the weight of GL, which will open with over 50mil? It needs an early 40's drop and then needs to stablize into those kinds of drops for the rest of it's run. If it drops another 50+% it is f**ked. Plain and simple.

 

[danoyse]

It's not a flop. It's not a blockbuster. It's doing OK.

How you look at it depends if you're a glass half-full/half-empty type personality, but there's no need for anyone to climb out on a ledge over this. Or be upset with people being positive about how it's doing.

Even if a sequel doesn't happen, I think it's a safe bet we get more X-Men movies regardless. That's (hopefully) a good thing.

 

[danoyse]

X1 and X2 were closer then X3 and FC. It's my opinion. Sorry of u don't like it.

No, they really weren't.

Sorry if I keep having to remind you that this is a box office thread and not a review thread, but I'm not going to remind you about this again. Take that discussion to one of the other threads.

 

[Nokio]

Why is someone hating on Thor? I enjoyed both of them. I honestly want all of the good comic films to do well. I don't want any of the releases this summer to bomb. I called it here months ago and some attacked me. I said FC is gonna perform the lowest and it looks to be true. We'll see in the coming weeks but I stand by my prediction for the domestic takes.

1. Green Lantern 250-300 mil
2. Cap 180-220
3. Thor 140-160 I was off some
4. XMFC 130-150

 

[JP]

I couldn't agree with you more. All that talk of Batman Begins legs have flown out of the window and the movie only went up against a movie that opened with an estimated 37mil. I think that it is being well regarded but it is frontloaded and maybe the word of mouth isn't as bullet proof as we believe it is.

Next weekend is really going to be the real test for this film, is it going to hold up under the weight of GL, which will open with over 50mil? It needs an early 40's drop and then needs to stablize into those kinds of drops for the rest of it's run. If it drops another 50+% it is f**ked. Plain and simple.

For this particular franchise, a 54.6% drop is pretty good. Other than X2, all the other films in this series experienced pretty big 2nd weekend drops. X3 and Wolverine were close to 70%.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Thor was good. X-Men: First Class was great. We'll see on Green Lantern and Captain America.

 

[JP]

Since the film has been performing almost identical to X1, I'm going to predict $12 million for next weekend. About a 50% drop from this weekend.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Thor was good. X-Men: First Class was great. We'll see on Green Lantern and Captain America.

I was eh on Thor but First Class was great.

It's not a flop. It's not a blockbuster. It's doing OK.

How you look at it depends if you're a glass half-full/half-empty type personality, but there's no need for anyone to climb out on a ledge over this. Or be upset with people being positive about how it's doing.

Even if a sequel doesn't happen, I think it's a safe bet we get more X-Men movies regardless. That's (hopefully) a good thing.

I'm a fan of First Class but unlike some on here I look at the boxoffice 85% in a purely numbers driven way. I'm not going to call a 55% drop good unless the movie drops in the early 40's the next weekend. It doesn't matter how I feel about the film. I loved First Class and wish it all the success in the world and think that it's a better movie than Batman Begins and Iron Man but that still doesn't mean that I'm going to delude myself into thinking that it's run has been great so far or that the glass is half full when it is in fact not.

This weekend drop means nothing if the movie drops another 50% next weekend and thats a fact. People always seem to want me to sugar coat things just believe they don't like to face reality. I'm sorry but lame Boxoffice for a movie I love is not a hard reality to face in the slightest. I liked Super 8 and it's director and actors performances but if the movie drops 50% next weekend I'm not going to pretend that it's having great word of mouth just because I found it to be a likable film. Another example is Source Code; I loved the movie and although it did well for it's budget I'm not going to pretend that it was some mega hit just because it deserved to be.

Thats just the way I am regarding the boxoffice and I don't see a reason to change.