Days of Future Past The Official X-Men: First Class Box Office Discussion Thread!

[Tony Stark]

$3.37 million midnight gross. Off to an OK start.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3177&p=.htm

slightly ahead of Thor's midnight showings. I think the predicted 69M is probably going to be pretty close.

 

[JP]

I hope so. I'd be a bit disappointed if this doesn't match of better Thor. I think it's clear it'll bear Thor in attendance, but with Thors 3D prices, it'll be hard to match in sales.

 

[Chewy]

You can't really compare it to Thor's as X-Men is a brand and a franchise known for fans rushing out to see it.

X3's midnights were $5.9M. Wolverine's midnights were close to 5M.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

slightly ahead of Thor's midnight showings. I think the predicted 69M is probably going to be pretty close.

Thor had 3D and IMAX. This doesn't.

I wouldn't be banking on a near $70 M opening - more like mid-50s.

 

[Downhere]

You can't really compare it to Thor's as X-Men is a brand and a franchise known for fans rushing out to see it.

X3's midnights were $5.9M. Wolverine's midnights were close to 5M.

I think it even's out as Thor, X3, and Wolverine all had better release dates, being in May than the weekend after Memorial Weekend, which usually isn't that hot as far as box office is concerned.

Also, you have to take into account that this features all new actors, certain new characters, and doesn't really have the main draws from the previous films. Therefore, a 3.4 million midnight number is pretty good with the odds this film has been dealt.

Hopefully this will do 60+ million for the weekend and have good legs (which I think this one will buck the trend the previous films have done with regard to legs).

 

[Tony Stark]

Thor had 3D and IMAX. This doesn't.

I wouldn't be banking on a near $70 M opening - more like mid-50s.

69M is what BOM is predicting not me. That's based on their tracking numbers.

 

[SuperSoldier985]

I'll be shocked if this movie passes $75m this weekend.

 

[MARVEL ROCKS]

69M is what BOM is predicting not me. That's based on their tracking numbers.

tracking has been off for months.

Fox tracks their movies and they expect an opening weekend between 48-54 million. They know that this movie is going to be frontloaded no matter how awesome the wom is.

X1 and X2 are perfect examples. Great opening weekend but meh legs.

 

[psylockolussus]

I hope the opening weekend numbers for XFC blows my mind like how XFC blowed my mind when I watched for the very 1st time!

 

[kedrell]

tracking has been off for months.

Fox tracks their movies and they expect an opening weekend between 48-54 million. They know that this movie is going to be frontloaded no matter how awesome the wom is.

X1 and X2 are perfect examples. Great opening weekend but meh legs.

X1 actually had decent legs by today's standard. A 2.8X or something like that. Thor is currently heading for about the same kind of legs. X2 didn't develop poor legs until it's 3rd weekend when it got slammed by Matrix Reloaded. X3 & XO:W, yeah they had horrible legs but then WOM on them wasn't so good. I'd say XMFC's legs are questionable mostly because it faces solid competition for the next 4 straight weeks(a likely $50M+ OW new film every week). Hopefully though it can still turn a nice profit and earn a sequel.

 

[marvelrobbins]

The fact Id did slighty better than Thor On Midnight screenings Is good sign.It has good shot at slightly beating Thor's opening.Remember this Is entirly new stars.The rest test
will be next weekend against Super 8.

 

[Marvin]

With hangovers leftovers and lack of thors 3D surcharge, It very well may open less than thor. Thank goodness for the reviews otherwise it would be a very different picture tonight.

 

[kedrell]

It's lesser budget(due to tax rebate stuff) will come in handy for making this film a success. I think if it crosses $300M WW, a sequel will happen.

 

[danoyse]

The fact Id did slighty better than Thor On Midnight screenings Is good sign.It has good shot at slightly beating Thor's opening.Remember this Is entirly new stars.The rest test
will be next weekend against Super 8.

I think it will be fine against Super 8 next weekend. Actually, if it opens in the range of Thor, and word of mouth is good through the week, maybe we won't see such a massive dropoff in the second weekend like we did with the last 2 movies.

Maybe. I have no idea, I'm never good at predicting these things.

 

[Havok83]

So when can we expect the bluray/dvd? Sept, Oct, Nov?

 

[Tony Stark]

I think it will be fine against Super 8 next weekend. Actually, if it opens in the range of Thor, and word of mouth is good through the week, maybe we won't see such a massive dropoff in the second weekend like we did with the last 2 movies.

Maybe. I have no idea, I'm never good at predicting these things.

That's my hope, if it can track close to, or better than Thor did, a sequel should be a no brainer.

 

[X-Maniac]

I think it will be fine against Super 8 next weekend. Actually, if it opens in the range of Thor, and word of mouth is good through the week, maybe we won't see such a massive dropoff in the second weekend like we did with the last 2 movies.

Maybe. I have no idea, I'm never good at predicting these things.

i'm no good at box office forecasts either.

We don't get Super 8 in the UK until August 5, so Super 8 won't have the advantage of a global marketing frenzy. I'll be avoiding all online and offline mention of Super 8 until the UK gets into marketing mode for it.

 

[Chewy]

X1 actually had decent legs by today's standard. A 2.8X or something like that. Thor is currently heading for about the same kind of legs. X2 didn't develop poor legs until it's 3rd weekend when it got slammed by Matrix Reloaded. X3 & XO:W, yeah they had horrible legs but then WOM on them wasn't so good. I'd say XMFC's legs are questionable mostly because it faces solid competition for the next 4 straight weeks(a likely $50M+ OW new film every week). Hopefully though it can still turn a nice profit and earn a sequel.

Super 8 is not going to open to 50M. It will be lucky to open to 40M.

 

[Storm22]

So when can we expect the bluray/dvd? Sept, Oct, Nov?

I'd say the start of November.

 

[kedrell]

Super 8 is not going to open to 50M. It will be lucky to open to 40M.

We'll see. Maybe it has the least chance of all the openers in the next 4 weeks(I really haven't been keeping up on it's tracking but loads of folks have it as their must-see film of the summer). But if it fails to hit $50M, it will still almost certainly be #1 on it's opening weekend. And all the others really should top $50M if they want to be hits(GL, I'm looking at you).

 

[Tony Stark]

We'll see. Maybe it has the least chance of all the openers in the next 4 weeks(I really haven't been keeping up on it's tracking but loads of folks have it as their must-see film of the summer). But if it fails to hit $50M, it will still almost certainly be #1 on it's opening weekend. And all the others really should top $50M if they want to be hits(GL, I'm looking at you).

I get no read on GL what-so-ever, it could open at 40M and I wouldn't be suprised, it could open at 90M and I wouldn't be suprised. GL has always had a very loyal fan following in the books, but how much that translates to the general public I don't know. It's one of those movies that's so over the top, who knows what to think of it.

 

[kedrell]

No matter what, you're gonna have a new #1 film every week until TF opens. No film is doing a Thor and staying #1 two weeks in a row.

 

[Chewy]

We'll see. Maybe it has the least chance of all the openers in the next 4 weeks(I really haven't been keeping up on it's tracking but loads of folks have it as their must-see film of the summer). But if it fails to hit $50M, it will still almost certainly be #1 on it's opening weekend. And all the others really should top $50M if they want to be hits(GL, I'm looking at you).

Super 8 has been tracking to open in the 20's.

 

[marvelrobbins]

There Is slight chance First Class could keep it next weekend.Super 8 seems like a
Cloverfield ripoff with a Government coverup of Aliens element addeded.WOrd of Mouth
could help First Class get decent box office.back In 2003 The matrix reloaded was the
most hyped film of the year But X2 got decent box office.Super 8 or Green Lantern
will not be Matrix.If It manages to hold off Super 8 It will lose top spot against green Lantern.In my theatre we saw trailers for Transformers and Rise of the Planet of the apes.Rise of the planet of the apes got better reaction.Let's remember like Last Stand and Wolverine Rise of the Fallen may have made money but wasn'te xactly beloved by
people.

 

[kedrell]

Super 8 has been tracking to open in the 20's.

Hmm, then the internet is making the buzz seem much more than it actually is. Eh, wouldn't be the first time.