Venom will win the box office battle, but A Star is Born will be around a lot longer
I know that we still have to wait for the final numbers but wow I was dead wrong about Venom's second weekend. So far not even a 60 percent drop but a 55 percent drop? Pretty incredible for a movie that got hammered by critics.
I guess the question now is what's causing the legs? It can't be just because "this movie doesn't suck", it's gotta be something specific, right? Is the character of Venom connecting with audiences? Or more that the movie is not boring?
Multipliers after 10 days at DBO:
Venom - 1.76
GOTG - 1.87
Skwad - 1.66 (final multiplier 2.43x)
Doctor Strange - 1.8 (final multiplier 2.73x)
Venom is stacking up favorably when pitted against other first timers/premier concept CBMs.
Skwad's 2.43x gets Venom to 195.2m. I feel like that's the base atm.
The avg. of DS & Skwad's multiplier's gets Venom to a final total of 208.8m. Venom should be aiming for that number.
Venom, based on the Marvel property, was No. 1 in 54 markets this frame including a handful of new hubs and was down 47% versus last weekend in the holdovers. It’s tracking 32% above Ant-Man And The Wasp and 12% over Doctor Strange for the same group of markets and at the same point in release.
Turning back to Venom, the Ruben Fleischer-helmed pic coursed through its opening in France, topping comps Ant-Man 2 (+31%) and Wonder Woman (+17%). Vietnam and Thailand also had strong starts. Holds at No. 1 for the second outing include Russia, Brazil, Mexico, the UK, Australia, Germany, Spain and Italy.
I predict drop this weekend will be in the 55%-62% range.
Wow. Despite my mixed feelings on the movie, I am happy it is doing well and rooting for continued BO success.
Look, the movie is flawed. Most of us wanted a hard R horroe Venom movie but these BO numbers are telling us the GA wanted a more family friendly more fun and funny Venom movie. So maybe Sony made the right call here. But I with that said, the movie could've still done this and been a BETTER movie. Hoping that next time
People are liking it and it is doing well.What I'm worried about is that Sony will misinterpret Venom's accidental success as the audience wanting another charming "bad" movie, when its really the audience hanging on to the only one good quality of the movie which is Tom Hardy. The bad parts of the movie are indeed charming but I don't think it'll fly in the sequel. They need to try to get good writers to make a legit good script worthy of the actors they have attached to it. The benefit they have right now is the sequel has a high chance of being an improvement as long as they take their time to make a quality movie and not rush it.