Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 4

[Tymminator]

yeah same here
bunch of co workers went last night
few others going this weekend
3 others from 3 different age groups didn't even no it came out

Didn't know it came out?

hmm.

I will tell you what I thought was strange, the AMC I saw it at didn't have any X-Men posters in the immediate lobby area (like they usually do for the big movies that are out at the time).

How this came to my attention is the costume group I hang with (I actually was just a handler that day as another member wanted to be Wolverine, so I just decided to be a handler) wanted to do one group shot by the movie poster (We always do this) and it was NOT around.

This struck me as weird as I am positive they had X-Men Apocalypse posters out earlier when we saw Civil War there.

 

[ciscostudent561]

yea there is just not alotta buzz about it
like with CW BVS and DP people knew, especially after it released
XMA ?
nah

 

[StormC]

My theater has been wall to wall with XMA posters for weeks. I think people just don't care.

 

[Weather Witch]

My theater has been wall to wall with XMA posters for weeks. I think people just don't care.

Same here. Even in some of the smaller theaters.

 

[GuestStar2004]

Article from hitfix.com believes...

3 big reasons 'X-Men: Apocalypse' fell short of 'Days of Future Past' at the box office

1. It garnered far worse reviews than the two previous films in the franchise.

2. It offered too much of the same.

3. The trailer didn't adequately justify the movie's existence.

Read more at http://www.hitfix.com/news/3-big-re...re-past-at-the-box-office#S2LppmcQpdme7vyu.99

 

[Tymminator]

My theater has been wall to wall with XMA posters for weeks. I think people just don't care.

Some theaters got better than Posters...like those stands where you can stand in and get a pic with the X-Men cast. I KNOW they are somewhere, but I don't know where. I wanted to jump in on in costume and take a pic with it.

 

[fallenAngel]

I told a coworker that I went and went and saw it, she didn't even realize there was a new X-men movie.

My friend wants to see it, but my other friend was meh. I don't think people necessarily don't care, but it's a 16 year old franchise with many ups and downs.

It's like James Bond, they have loyal fans who will be there every time, but otherwise they need to do something special with it, or general audiences will either skip or wait until second run/home release.

The MCU will likely see the same thing after Infinity war, it'll still be around, but won't garner the same enthusiasm. It's just a shame that X3 killed it just as it was rising in popularity

 

[Iceman]

There was a good stand in my local cinema. I think there has been for every X-film.

 

[Sithborg]

I told a coworker that I went and went and saw it, she didn't even realize there was a new X-men movie.

My friend wants to see it, but my other friend was meh. I don't think people necessarily don't care, but it's a 16 year old franchise with many ups and downs.

It's like James Bond, they have loyal fans who will be there every time, but otherwise they need to do something special with it, or general audiences will either skip or wait until second run/home release.

The MCU will likely see the same thing after Infinity war, it'll still be around, but won't garner the same enthusiasm. It's just a shame that X3 killed it just as it was rising in popularity

I think the MCU is quickly hitting their plateau. It is quickly developing X-men type legs. God help the board if it hits the "decreasing phase" before Infinity War.

 

[GuestStar2004]

The first avengers film is still the peak of the MCU box office

 

[Iceman]

If your peak's $1.5B it's probably ok to be below it.

 

[Sithborg]

If your peak's $1.5B it's probably ok to be below it.

Tell that to the fanboys. Though I will admit, I did get a very perverted sense of pleasure of Star Wars absolutely blowing away AoU, CW, and BvS.

 

[fallenAngel]

It is plateauing I think. Considering Civil War's reception, it should've already crossed the $400 mil domestic mark.

It's sort of like Harry Potter, the fan base churns out right away, maybe sees it again a couple times, but the business as usual now is going to relegate most of the repeat viewings to home.

Still, their plateau is so high that as long as production costs don't balloon, they have nothing to worry about.

Fans like bragging rights, but the MCU is more consistent than "holy wow" when it comes to BO numbers.

Though overseas there is still room for growth in both X-men and Avengers.

The franchise overall is also still very dependent on Tony and Steve. With the exception of Guardians, Black Panther will have to be a huge hit or it'll start to slide into more mid-range hits like Antman.

 

[daddydivine]

It is flat-lining. Considering Civil War's reception, it should've already crossed the $400 mil domestic mark.

It's sort of like Harry Potter, the fan base churns out right away, maybe sees it again a couple times, but the business as usual now is going to relegate most of the repeat viewings to home.

Still, their plateau is so high that as long as production costs don't balloon, they have nothing to worry about.

Fans like bragging rights, but the MCU is more consistent than "holy wow" when it comes to BO numbers.

Though overseas there is still room for growth in both X-men and Avengers.

The franchise overall is also still very dependent on Tony and Steve. With the exception of Guardians, Black Panther will have to be a huge hit or it'll start to slide into more mid-range hits like Antman.

Antman is doing the same thing Ironman and Captain America did in their first outing establishing a well received character. Its flat out wrong to suggest that the new solo outings do the business of established sub-franchises. If Black Panther makes it to 550 at the box office it would be in line with almost ALL of the first solo outings of the MCU.

 

[Spiderine]

With the MCU its all dependent on where the bar is set because they are churning out so many new properties. They will do an ensemble flick like AOU and even CW but make something like AntMan and GOTG. Those individual franchises like IM, Thor, Cap, continue to out do their predecessors. There's no reason to think Ragnarok won't out do TDW with Hulk playing a role. New properties like Strange and BP are coming. I suspect they will be successful enough when they debut.

Avengers 2012 is the pinnacle. But AOU was pretty damn close. There is nothing they do from here on out grossing 600 million domestic though.

 

[fallenAngel]

Antman is doing the same thing Ironman and Captain America did in their first outing establishing a well received character. Its flat out wrong to suggest that the new solo outings do the business of established sub-franchises. If Black Panther makes it to 550 at the box office it would be in line with almost ALL of the first solo outings of the MCU.

Ironman was a massive hit right out of the gate. Antman is more like Captain America, but they also brought in other MCU characters in Cap's sequels that likely boosted interest.

There is nothing wrong with the MCU numbers, they've all done ridiculously well. But Avengers set a very high and unreasonable peak that shifted people's expectations. The franchise likely won't reach this number again and fans and haters need to realize that something like Antman still did really well.

Maybe Infinity War will do gang-busters, but otherwise they're going to be looking at stable returns most likely.

It'll be interesting to see how Guardians two fares, since that's almost it's own separate franchise. Though whose to say if it'll stay that way.

I think Black Panther has the best chance at becoming the next Captain America. Guardians is the next Iron Man. Thor 3 is iffy because it'll have been four years since the last movie, he wasn't in Civil War and TDW was considered a low point even among hard core fans.

 

[Mad Ones]

If every movie has to be like Civil War than isn't the genre in trouble?

 

[Spiderine]

Thor is getting a big boost from Hulk being featured heavily and whoever else may be in that film. And it has a fairly interesting concept with this buddy pic they are doing. It appears to be a film that will progress the Infinity Stones/Thanos storyline too. Ragnarok is definitely outdoing TDW. The only question is how much?

 

[Zarex]

Tell that to the fanboys. Though I will admit, I did get a very perverted sense of pleasure of Star Wars absolutely blowing away AoU, CW, and BvS.

If Star Wars blew away those three films, exactly what sort of unspeakable act did it perform on poor XM:A?

 

[Sithborg]

If Star Wars blew away those three films, exactly what sort of unspeakable act did it perform on poor XM:A?

Considering that there wasn't anyone here who realistically expected a $200+ opening weekend, let alone beating Star Wars, the situations are a bit different.

 

[jaymes_e06]

I didn't get pleasure from a film doing worse but it's obvious that if F&F movies are outperforming Avengers there's something amiss.

 

[def28]

I didn't get pleasure from a film doing worse but it's obvious that if F&F movies are outperforming Avengers there's something amiss.

F7 outgrossed pretty much everything, being anywhere near it is a compliment. Only 5 films get the honor of grossing more with Avengers being the only comic book film of the bunch.

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

I didn't get pleasure from a film doing worse but it's obvious that if F&F movies are outperforming Avengers there's something amiss.

Why? F&F has one of the most diverse cast and a sport/activity more popular globally than American comics.

 

[mightiest_mortal]

Wonder what legs this is going to have. It seems to still be more popular in International markets than US at least.

I (finally) went to see it today in London and the cinema was full. It actually seems to be picking up on word of mouth as well now amongst people i know, despite the poor reviews.

 

[Raiden]

I think the MCU is quickly hitting their plateau. It is quickly developing X-men type legs. God help the board if it hits the "decreasing phase" before Infinity War.

Civil War hit a billion and it's the 4th MCU movie to do so, and it garners 90 on RT. I'm not sure where you get the "plateau" from.