Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse Box Office Prediction Thread

[Link]

Why is a DC fan on this thread? hahahaha

...Why not? I'm personally a Fox, DC and Marvel fan. Besides Eddie didn't say anything unreasonable.

The X-Men movies have never been a huge draw, so it's unlikely this movie would be either. It's most likely going to be a really high quality movie, well written and acted, but not the biggest box-office hit of the year, not even close.

 

[Wildcard]

DC movies are not expected to hit 1 billion unless it's a solo Batman movie.

It's quite clear you have no knowledge of the current tracking of DC movies, nor did any of my statement (as intricate as it was) seem to register. So I see this is a topic not to be discussed with your person.

 

[First Avenger]

Why is a DC fan on this thread? hahahaha

Are you 6?

 

[Wildcard]

That appears to be the case. Especially when you utter inane comments such as "the only DC movies crossing the billion threshold are the solo ones with Batman."

Obvious troll is obvious.

 

[RLAAMJR.]

Chill guys. That's why I have placed a smiley at the end of my statement.

That appears to be the case. Especially when you utter inane comments such as "the only DC movies crossing the billion threshold are the solo ones with Batman."

Obvious troll is obvious.

Prove me that I'm wrong though. Only 2 Batman movies reached 1 billion dollars. If Nolan has directed it, then it could reach a billion dollars.

 

[YoungBlood]

...Why not? I'm personally a Fox, DC and Marvel fan. Besides Eddie didn't say anything unreasonable.

The X-Men movies have never been a huge draw, so it's unlikely this movie would be either. It's most likely going to be a really high quality movie, well written and acted, but not the biggest box-office hit of the year, not even close.

Yeah, that's the X-Men movies in general, high quality films (at least 6/8 of them) that are well written and acted, but won't make Avengers/Dark Knight money.

 

[Link]

Yeah, that's the X-Men movies in general, high quality films (at least 6/8 of them) that are well written and acted, but won't make Avengers/Dark Knight money.

A certain (now banned) user here used to say Marvel movies were better than the X-Men movies because "money talks". Say that to the Transformers franchise. X-Men is fine, as long as the studio gets enough to keep going.

It's weird, Apocalypse has way more buzz than DOFP did, but it still feels unlikely it will out-gross the former. Who knows. It's going against a sequel to an atrocious and rather unliked movie, but the movie in particular will be a much bigger draw for children (and parents) than X-Men.

 

[Eddie]

For the record, I enjoy some DC stuff but I'm more of a Marvel guy. I'm much more a manga fan (particularly Shonen Jump). I'm just trying to be reasonable. It would be a shock if Apocalypse ended up number one at the box office for the year. It would have to outperform all expectations, and a few other big films would likely need to underperform. This is likely to be a record-breaking box office year. I just don't see Apocalypse having the numbers to come out on top. Too much competition in late May and early June, too many other films contending for the billionaires club this year, etc.

 

[Flint Marko]

I'll be impressed if Apocalypse can manage to gross significantly more than DOFP. Anything over $800 million would floor me.

 

[Bruce Malone]

I'll be impressed if Apocalypse can manage to gross significantly more than DOFP. Anything over $800 million would floor me.

Same.

I'm just not getting the "this is destined to be bigger than DOFP" vibe.

 

[Flint Marko]

Same.

I'm just not getting the "this is destined to be bigger than DOFP" vibe.

Not at all. I've found both the trailer and the TV spot to be underwhelming, further confirming my gut feeling that the bloom has kind of fallen off the rose of the X-franchise, at least in it's current form. With the competition it's facing I pretty much expect this to come in under DOFP.
I'm not going to say that Apocalypse can't be great or won't exceed my expectations. It'll probably be another well-crafted Singer X-men movie, but that's just not enough I don't think.

 

[Sithborg]

It's a question of whether the good will they have earned is stronger than the competition. $800 million seems doable.

 

[Eddie]

It'll be interesting to see if China's still interested without the marketing gimmick of casting Fan Bingbing (not that she wasn't good as Blink, it's just that she's a huge star in China so it was a bit of a publicity thing). Domestically the competition is probably going to hurt it's numbers a little. This franchise hasn't had amazing legs, and the kids and nostalgia viewers will check out Turtles.

 

[Frankeh]

Well to be fair there are plenty things they haven't shown, we're just one trailer in and the 2nd and 3rd trailers tend to be the best ones. This is also their most VFX-heavy movie. Not to mention the film is still a heavy presence in social networks despite the complaints over lack of marketing. I don't think this movie will show that X-Men is a has been, but we'll see I guess.

 

[Docker2.0]

I'll be impressed if Apocalypse can manage to gross significantly more than DOFP. Anything over $800 million would floor me.

Because the Xmen franchise almost seem "old" if that makes any sense. Deadpool is the best thing that happened to Xmen now but it's to late to include him in this movie because filming has wrapped up. Not only does this movie have to deal with serious competition from previous weeks but also the same day. I'd honestly be shocked if this made over $700M WW.

 

[YoungBlood]

Because the Xmen franchise almost seem "old" if that makes any sense. Deadpool is the best thing that happened to Xmen now but it's to late to include him in this movie because filming has wrapped up. Not only does this movie have to deal with serious competition from previous weeks but also the same day. I'd honestly be shocked if this made over $700M WW.

Yeah let's put an R-rated character in a PG-13 movie and nurtured him because that worked so well in Origins.

Honestly, if TMNT wasn't a competition to GOTG, what makes you think it would be one against Apocalypse?

Alice can be a competitor, but they also have to face Angry Birds and Finding Dory, let alone if Jungle Book does well in April. Also, it don't have the advantages that brought it to 1B this time around (Depp's star power, Burton is not directing, First 3D film after Avatar, No competition when it came out back in March). If anything, Disney should have been green light the sequel the minute it hit 1B instead of waiting 6 years later. Also anything with Sasha Baron Cohen on it is not a good thing, his star power only lasted with Borat and Hugo.

 

[Sithborg]

Because the Xmen franchise almost seem "old" if that makes any sense. Deadpool is the best thing that happened to Xmen now but it's to late to include him in this movie because filming has wrapped up. Not only does this movie have to deal with serious competition from previous weeks but also the same day. I'd honestly be shocked if this made over $700M WW.

What competition before hand? Civil War will have played out most of it's business. I don't see Neighbors having strong legs, even if it opens well.

 

[YoungBlood]

What competition before hand? Civil War will have played out most of it's business. I don't see Neighbors having strong legs, even if it opens well.

Neighbors 2 is basically "hey the first film did well so lets make a sequel that is a gender-swapped version of the first one, even though it ended in a way that a sequel should not happen".

 

[Docker2.0]

Yeah let's put an R-rated character in a PG-13 movie and nurtured him because that worked so well in Origins.

Honestly, if TMNT wasn't a competition to GOTG, what makes you think it would be one against Apocalypse?

Alice can be a competitor, but they also have to face Angry Birds and Finding Dory, let alone if Jungle Book does well in April. Also, it don't have the advantages that brought it to 1B this time around (Depp's star power, Burton is not directing, First 3D film after Avatar, No competition when it came out back in March). If anything, Disney should have been green light the sequel the minute it hit 1B instead of waiting 6 years later. Also anything with Sasha Baron Cohen on it is not a good thing, his star power only lasted with Borat and Hugo.

Deadpool would have indeed helped XM:A box office, rated R or not. I honestly have no idea what point you are trying to make. Again, XM seems to have the "been there, done that" thing about it. May is packed AF and I still don't see this thing making more than DOFP.

 

[BeholdMe]

I really hope this movie shuts some naysayers up, it dosent have to sale a billion but some people think this movie is just going to fail for reasons and it's not true. Just like we don't know how well Apocalypse will perform neither do we for the other movies to just assumed it will just fall behind all of them. It can very well impress and surprise everyone, some are quick to just see it as failure because it's XMen. The movie will do great and I hope that it at least sells 800 million this go around.

 

[Zant]

It'll be interesting to see if China's still interested without the marketing gimmick of casting Fan Bingbing (not that she wasn't good as Blink, it's just that she's a huge star in China so it was a bit of a publicity thing). Domestically the competition is probably going to hurt it's numbers a little. This franchise hasn't had amazing legs, and the kids and nostalgia viewers will check out Turtles.

That marketing gimmick is subtle compared to Iron man 3 and Transformers 4 desperate attempts to please Chinese audiences, but hey, it worked for them.

China loves their Comic book films. Kingsman, Antman and Avengers 2 all did well last year, without the pandering. I expect Xmen, Cap3, and BVS to increase from their previous installments in China.

 

[Link]

I personally love the trailers and think it's going to be a fantastic movie, because that's how Singer's X-Men movies work. It might not be a huge box-office hit, but the quality will most likely be there. I'm excepting it to be my #1 CBM this year, but not the highest grosser.

 

[YoungBlood]

That marketing gimmick is subtle compared to Iron man 3 and Transformers 4 desperate attempts to please Chinese audiences, but hey, it worked for them.

China loves their Comic book films. Kingsman, Antman and Avengers 2 all did well last year, without the pandering. I expect Xmen, Cap3, and BVS to increase from their previous installments in China.

Even Mission Impossible did it last summer, and they even had 2 Chinese companies during the opening credits.

 

[X-Maniac]

I really hope this movie shuts some naysayers up, it dosent have to sale a billion but some people think this movie is just going to fail for reasons and it's not true. Just like we don't know how well Apocalypse will perform neither do we for the other movies to just assumed it will just fall behind all of them. It can very well impress and surprise everyone, some are quick to just see it as failure because it's XMen. The movie will do great and I hope that it at least sells 800 million this go around.

I really hope it does well too.

I feel the one thing it has against it (aside from box office competition) is that the X-Men are not yet a costumed team. i think that's what people are LONGING to see on screen. It's taking an eternity to get to the point, that's how it feels.

People want to see the classic X-Men on screen.

We don't know for sure if they will do another trilogy with the young cast. The immediate focus after this is Deadpool 2, Gambit and probably X-Force or whatever that untitled movie is.

 

[Zarex]

We don't know for sure if they will do another trilogy with the young cast. The immediate focus after this is Deadpool 2, Gambit and probably X-Force or whatever that untitled movie is.

I think that is a real possibility. With Deadpool firmly on the cinematic A list, FOX may look to focus on more grounded offerings that revolve around Reynold's character and others he (re)introduces like Negasonic, Colossus, Cable and the rumored Domino. I'd add New Mutants to the list of films that may be on the fast track. If Apocalypse shows any weakness at the BO I wouldn't be surprised if the X-Men franchise gets put on a short term hiatus.