Godzilla’s projected just 4 million above Dark Phoenix’s projections, MIB projected below Dark Phoenix, and those 3 at the bottom of the remaining release pool for blockbusters this summer.
Dark Phoenix’s reviews are likely to trend somewhere around Detective Pikachu’s, so I’m personally predicting a 60-70 debut with SLoP around 80. They both can’t be massive out of the gates because there’s only but so much money to go around in a packed Memorial Day-June release window. SLoP’s reviews likely won’t be too good, regardless of the first one’s surprise success.
It’s strange that they’re having a lot of full showings of it 2 weeks prior in most US cities so that one’s box office may be a bit weird. It’s as if they’re trying to get kids and parents for guaranteed repeat visits come release and kids don’t always have the best taste in movies lol. A young one around me was super excited for Ugly Dolls and their parents just quickly forgot it was out but that 4 year old surely didn’t lol. The marketing for it is pretty weak but kids movies operate differently. Unfortunately for me, I was forced to watch a children’s channel for two days with a young one and recall around 2 tv spots for it. Dark Phoenix is everywhere to the point where it’s annoying. Annoying is good because it’s engrained in everyone’s mind.
It’s a funny coincidence that I used Godzilla’s review embargo as a reference earlier talking about how they had yet to come out, after I did a search that revealed nothing had come out and RT had 0 submissions and an hour later the embargo lifted lol.