Superman Returns Box Office Preview

[Cinemaman]

SR opens on a Friday. I just don't see this movie with so much hype and anticipation at that particular time to open with less than $30 million. There hasn't been a Superman movie for 18+ years and since Superman II (25+ years)(the last good Superman movie). SR will probably open at midnight, Friday June 30th (I'll go at that time if available AND I'll go AGAIN Friday night with my girlfriend and her whole family). Now, I don't know how much money it will make for its midnight showings (which they will add it to the opening day), but I can tell you this: I see this movie making at least $40 million opening day. And I'm basing that just on a teaser and that loooooooonnnnnggggggg wait for Superman fans. If the theatrical trailer is something beyond this world, watch out. But let's not get ahead of ourselves. Superman fans will flock theaters the first day, that's a guarantee.

I can't give a prediction on this movie because I haven't seen a theatrical trailer yet.

But Superman hardcore fans can push this movie and that long wait for $40 million without a problem on Friday, June 30th.

$40m? Are you kidding?

Man, it will hardly make $36m.

 

[sameone]

$40m? Are you kidding?

Man, it will hardly make $36m.

Both these numbers for the first day are over the top IMO. I saw 25 million the first day.

 

[Venom71]

The trailer and if it gets the general movie going audience which seems lukewarm on this film to change their minds and go wow will make a difference.

I don't think it will - based on everything so far beiong released kind of not living up to my expectations. The trailer then probably won't either.

I have factored that into my 185 mill domestic box estimate. If the trailer surprises me and is WOW material then I'd up my estimate to 210 million or so. Beating out BB by a bit domestically.

Everything is really riding on the trailer now - maybe too much so but WB has inadvertently caused that by not giving out any other stuff like a second teaser or more movie posters that you normally would get.

Why do you constantly speak and think you know how everyone feels about this movie? The general public isn't on these message boards or other movie message boards like we are and don't know as much about the film as we do...heck most of the general audience doeesn't know about the movie so how would you know that the general public are lukewarm about SR? The general public will know more about it once the trailer and the TV spots are released....thats what will really get the word out. You really just need to stop.

 

[Cinemaman]

Both these numbers for the first day are over the top IMO. I saw 25 million the first day.

For me, $26-36m are possible.

 

[VGPOP]

$40m? Are you kidding?

Man, it will hardly make $36m.

No, I'm not kidding. I'll be here on Saturday, July 1st when the estimates come out in the morning.

If I have to guess, SR grabs $3-$4 million for midnight showings. And $35-$38 million for the rest of the day. And that's calculating at a $40 million opening day.

You'll see....

 

[sameone]

Why do you constantly speak and think you know how everyone feels about this movie? The general public isn't on these message boards or other movie message boards like we are and don't know as much about the film as we do...heck most of the general audience doeesn't know about the movie so how would you know that the general public are lukewarm about SR? The general public will know more about it once the trailer and the TV spots are released....thats what will really get the word out. You really just need to stop.

The general public that has seen the trailer teaser or the still seems to be lukewarm. That is what I was referring to. But a lot of the gp does not know SR is coming yet - true. Which is why WB is remiss IMO in not starting to go with a few billboards in key cities. The other summer flicks started their billboard campaigns in early February.

 

[Cinemaman]

No, I'm not kidding. I'll be here on Saturday, July 1st when the estimates come out in the morning.

If I have to guess, SR grabs $3-$4 million for midnight showings. And $35-$38 million for the rest of the day. And that's calculating at a $40 million opening day.

You'll see....

Believe me man, SR can't make Spidey 2 numbers.

But we will see who is right.

 

[VGPOP]

Believe me man, SR can't make Spidey 2 numbers.

But we will see who is right.

We will.....

 

[Cinemaman]

The general public that has seen the trailer teaser or the still seems to be lukewarm. That is what I was referring to. But a lot of the gp does not know SR is coming yet - true. Which is why WB is remiss IMO in not starting to go with a few billboards in key cities. The other summer flicks started their billboard campaigns in early February.

Man, all people, who I know, know that SR will come soon... on June 30th.

So you are wrong.

 

[superkong 500]

Spider-Man 2 sucked

Iam with you, it could have been so much better, specialy with the lame cheesy moments and dialogue.

 

[Hunter Rider]

Man, all people, who I know, know that SR will come soon... on June 30th.

So you are wrong.

you can't speak for the world though Cine

 

[GothicPowerMix1]

Everything is really riding on the trailer now

YOUR OPINION

 

[Cinemaman]

you can't speak for the world though Cine

As he can't too.

But all people know that it is coming soon.

 

[Pickle-El]

The general public that has seen the trailer teaser or the still seems to be lukewarm. That is what I was referring to. But a lot of the gp does not know SR is coming yet - true. Which is why WB is remiss IMO in not starting to go with a few billboards in key cities. The other summer flicks started their billboard campaigns in early February.

Yeah. That was the exact same tactic used for Fantastic Four last year....and look how that turned out.

Let's face it lexlives, you just have no patience....that's what it comes down to. And you will kick and scream until you are proven otherwise. (Which there is no reason to believe you will no matter how much good stuff is released)

I mean, I don't recall you showing up here the night about 2 weeks ago that about 5 pics were released and the internet was buzzing......

 

[Hunter Rider]

As he can't too.

But all people know that it is coming soon.

You just cotradicted yourself

 

[Cinemaman]

The general public that has seen the trailer teaser or the still seems to be lukewarm. That is what I was referring to. But a lot of the gp does not know SR is coming yet - true. Which is why WB is remiss IMO in not starting to go with a few billboards in key cities. The other summer flicks started their billboard campaigns in early February.

There are also magazines.

 

[Cinemaman]

You just cotradicted yourself

Are you sure?

I have no doubts in it.

People know Superman and they also know that SR will be realesed in summer.

There were magazines and teaser-trailer, I think it is enough.

Besides, the big part of our world have internet.

 

[sameone]

Yeah. That was the exact same tactic used for Fantastic Four last year....and look how that turned out.

Let's face it lexlives, you just have no patience....that's what it comes down to. And you will kick and scream until you are proven otherwise. (Which there is no reason to believe you will no matter how much good stuff is released)

I mean, I don't recall you showing up here the night about 2 weeks ago that about 5 pics were released and the internet was buzzing......

I was not on the net the weekend, last weekend, when the pics were released.

The Clark and Clark Lois stuff looks OK. Not great but pretty good.

Routh as Clark has not been the issue for me.

The Routh as Superman photo was not so good. Not the worst yet but the weak spit curl, the hair looking pasted on like Reeve's did in IV. And the look - Routh has a very large nose and in that photo of Superman that was obvious. For me Superman is a perfect male specimin with a perfectly proportional nose.

Its not about not being able to wait its about WB delaying way past normal the start of their marketin campaign. POTC, X-Men and MI are in full swing now. Spiderman 2 had billboards up 4 months before the premier and BB had lots more stuff by now.

I feel they are mis-marketing this and assuming too much goodwill on the part of the general public towards Superman.

At the very least they should now be doing those picture releases like last week every week or at least every 2 weeks. That would not cost them a dime.

 

[Hunter Rider]

Are you sure?

I have no doubts in it.

People know Superman and they also know that SR will be realesed in summer.

There were magazines and teaser-trailer, I think it is enough.

Besides, the big part of our world have internet.

Not what i meant

 

[ROBOCOP CPU001]

The movie will soar in the first 5 days to over 125 million.. will it have staying power.. well that maybe different.

 

[sameone]

The movie will soar in the first 5 days to over 125 million.. will it have staying power.. well that maybe different.

Staying power is the key. Do you know BB was in theatres through September - even with a 3 month plus play it made just a little over 200 million domestically. It would never have done that if it hadn't gotten an extended run thanks to positive word-of-mouth.

 

[ROBOCOP CPU001]

I did know that..but this is superman..I'm expecting very big things..even my friends here at disney think it will do well.

 

[sameone]

I did know that..but this is superman..I'm expecting very big things..even my friends here at disney think it will do well.

You work for Disney?

So what do you/your Disney cohorts think of Carl Icahn's plans/desire to have TW split into 4 companies. With WB films becoming an independent entity? Would the film division be better off as totally independent?

 

[Venom71]

You work for Disney?

So what do you/your Disney cohorts think of Carl Icahn's plans/desire to have TW split into 4 companies. With WB films becoming an independent entity? Would the film division be better off as totally independent?

Are you trying ot impress people by throwing this guy's name around? If so...you aren't impressing me.

 

[ROBOCOP CPU001]

You work for Disney?

So what do you/your Disney cohorts think of Carl Icahn's plans/desire to have TW split into 4 companies. With WB films becoming an independent entity? Would the film division be better off as totally independent?

I can't speak for my friends...

quite frankly? i couldn't care less..i'm here to disscuss superman returns.