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Captain America: Brave New World box office

Brave New World Worldwide Box Office?

  • >$1 Billion

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $1 Billion

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $900 Million

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $800 Million

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $700 Million

    Votes: 4 23.5%
  • $600 Million

    Votes: 2 11.8%
  • $500 Million

    Votes: 2 11.8%
  • <$500 Million

    Votes: 9 52.9%

  • Total voters
    17
In some ways, I think calling a movie pretty OK is almost more of a death sentence than an absolute dumpster fire or great. No one wants to hear a blockbuster is middle of the road.
The thing is though "middle of the road", for a franchise with over 35 films isn't middle of the road. Especially if we use RT. This is the 3rd worst reviewed Mcu film, so that's bottom three out of 35 films. Over in Metacritic, its also one of the worst mcu films.
 
The thing is though "middle of the road", for a franchise with over 35 films isn't middle of the road. Especially if we use RT. This is the 3rd worst reviewed Mcu film, so that's bottom three out of 35 films. Over in Metacritic, its also one of the worst mcu films.

In other words, I still stand by my point.
 
In other words, I still stand by my point.
I was referring to whats middle of the road when it comes to the MCU.

50 to 51% RT is indeed middle of the road. I don't think the worst bunch of the MCU are some of the worst films ever made. I would say that to Kraven the Hunter/Dark Phoenix/Catwoman. Though I haven't really read any of the reviews if the critics did point out if the film is one of the worst mcu films ever to them. I only saw a lot of just okay/meh reaction from review titles/short summary.
 
Here's the point I'm trying to make. Talking about a movie being middle of the road is almost like a curse upon it because it's not like it's a great, must-see event, but it's also not like this crazy dumpster fire either. So there's even less intrigue or it-factor either way.

I'd compare it to Terminator Dark Fate. A lot of people tried to praise the movie by saying it's the best sequel since Terminator 2 which really means nothing at the end of the day. No one wants to hear that. And by saying that you are automatically making the movie sound inferior. Saying it was the best sequel since Terminator 2 was a curse and mark upon that movie and didn't help it at all. Now Dark Fate is just another forgotten Terminator sequel that bombed.
 
Here's the point I'm trying to make. Talking about a movie being middle of the road is almost like a curse upon it because it's not like it's a great, must-see event, but it's also not like this crazy dumpster fire either. So there's even less intrigue or it-factor either way.

I'd compare it to Terminator Dark Fate. A lot of people tried to praise the movie by saying it's the best sequel since Terminator 2 which really means nothing at the end of the day. No one wants to hear that. And by saying that you are automatically making the movie sound inferior. Saying it was the best sequel since Terminator 2 was a curse and mark upon that movie and didn't help it at all. Now Dark Fate is just another forgotten Terminator sequel that bombed.
I did say when there were only few early reactions for this movie, that "just okay" is not gonna be enough for the critics as a whole. Above average is what they need to aim for.
 

Captain America 4 Box Office Projections Increase After Strong Opening Day​

Thanks to a strong opening day, Captain America: Brave New World box office projections have improved for this weekend. According to Deadline, the latest installment in the Marvel Cinematic Universe is estimated to gross $40 million domestically in its first day, setting the stage for a debut of anywhere between $95-109 million over the extended four-day Presidents’ Day holiday weekend. The outlet notes that Disney is being more conservative in its own projections, estimating Brave New World will bring in $90-96 million. Either result would be the highest box office opening of 2025 so far.
Brave New World did not benefit from enthusiastic word-of-mouth, as reviews for the film were mixed. Its Rotten Tomatoes critics score is actually one of the lowest in the long history of the MCU, with some people feeling that the storytelling fell flat despite strong performances from the principal cast. That reception might have had some impact on its ticket sales.
Even the high end of Brave New World‘s opening weekend projections wouldn’t top what Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania made over Presidents’ Day weekend two years ago ($120.3 million), but that doesn’t mean Captain America 4 isn’t a commercial success. With a production budget of $180 million, Brave New World was less expensive to make than many recent Marvel movies, meaning it’s in solid position to turn a nice profit. Not only is it 2025’s first major studio tentpole, it arguably won’t face much direct competition until Snow White opens in March. That gives it an extended runway to run relatively unopposed, though there still will be some interesting projects — like Bong Joon-ho’s Mickey 17 — debuting during that time.
 

Captain America: Brave New World's Rotten Tomatoes Audience Score Debuts Higher Than Chris Evans' First MCU Movie​

Despite poor critics' reviews, Captain America: Brave New World's audience score has surpassed Captain America: The First Avenger on Rotten Tomatoes. The MCU's fourth Captain America installment has received negative criticism for its overstuffed plot, its similarities to previous MCU movies, and the main character's barebones character arc. Yet, Captain America: Brave New World is tracking to be a moderate box office success, and it lays sturdier foundations for future projects than many Phase 4 and Phase 5 titles.

Captain America: Brave New World's reviews have delineated clear flaws that previous Captain America movies didn't have, earning the movie lower critics and audience scores than previous installments. However, Captain America: Brave New World's audience score suggests that, despite its weaknesses, the film doesn't fail to meet general audiences' expectations as much as MCU flops such as Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania, Eternals, and Secret Invasion, all of which were criticized for not fulfilling the full potential of their premises and having little impact on the franchise. By Captain America: Brave New World's ending, everything the trailers promised is delivered.


While 79% is a great audience score for brave new world there is another score folks do not focus on too much but it's important too.
The average rating below the popcornmeter audience score.

Captain America: Brave New World
4 out of 5 Rating
That is a great score as well.
 

CAPTAIN AMERICA 4 Director On Reshoots, Negative Reviews & "Others" Mentioned In Post-Credits Scene - SPOILERS​

One aspect of the film that has come in for the most criticism in the negative reviews is the "choppy" editing in certain sequences, as well as a sense that the plot lacks cohesiveness and a strong narrative drive. This is certainly debatable, but there have been reports of extensive reshoots and major changes being made to the story very late in the game. While speaking with Phase Zero, director Julius Onah downplayed these reports. "We did one period of additional photography," he told the podcast. "Which is the same on all of these movies. There are so many variables, and [additional photography] becomes essential to fine-tuning and coming up with a thing that we know audiences will love." The filmmaker also addressed the negative reviews: "You make the best movie you can, you put it out there, and you let audiences react to it."
https://**************.com/captain-...st-credits-scene---spoilers-a216233#gs.kecn9y
 
2 of those Cap solos were during the first 2 phases when the expectation of a Marvel movie was different. But the real test won't be OW, it's going to be further weekend's. It may pass TFA because it is one of the 3 lowest grossing films in the MCU. But I don't see it passing TWS. It won't have the legs.
 

‘Captain America: Brave New World’ Eyes Mid-To-High $90Ms 4-Day; Path To $100M Still Possible – Box Office Update​

SATURDAY PM: Disney/Marvel Studio’s Captain America: Brave New World posted a solid estimated Saturday of $27M, -33% off Friday/previews $40M. While mid-to-high $90Ms is safe place for four days, there is a possible path to $100M if the Anthony Mackie movie can best some of the holds of Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania. That is if Brave New World posts a Sunday’s that better than Ant-Man 3‘s -24% ($20.5M), and a Presidents Day holiday that’s better than -45% ($11.5M). 3-day for Brave New World lies around $87M. The fourth Captain America movie carries a production cost before P&A of $180M. I’m told that break-even for the movie lies around $425M global box office.

UPDATE: Disney/Marvel StudiosCaptain America: Brave New World after a very solid estimated $40M Friday/previews has a shot at flying past $100M for the 4-day per industry estimates. The current range for the MCU sequel’s 4-day ranges between $95M-$109M. These are estimates. Disney believes the figure is between $90M-$96M. The studio typically won’t call $100M until they see it, which would be by tonight.
If Brave New World falls back into the $90M-$96M range, it’s because rivals got excited in calling a $100M 4-day off the steamy Valentine’s Day. At that range, it’s the best start we’ve seen so far in 2025. What studio doesn’t want a $90M-$96M+ opening for their movie? Anyone? Bueller? Currently, Warner Bros’ every expensive Bong Joon Ho directed sci-fi epic Mickey 17 is tracking in the high teens for a March 7. The review embargo following its Berlin premiere lifts today, and hopefully and those will trigger some sort of Robert Eggers box office cinefile stampede for the Oscar winning Parasite filmmaker’s latest.

Brave New World‘s first Friday/previews are not that far behind that of 2023’s Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania ($46.4M, 3-day $106.1M), and it’s ahead of 2014’s Guardians of the Galaxy ($37.8M, $94.3M 3-day) and Captain America: Winter Soldier ($36.9M).
However, hopefully word of mouth doesn’t bend Cap‘s shield as this is one of the worst CinemaScores for a Marvel character movie with a B- on par with Ang Lee’s battered 2003 Hulk which Marvel Boss Kevin Feige was an EP on (the pic was released via Universal before Disney even thought of buying Marvel). Note, Sony/Marvel’s Madame Web and Kraven the Hunter carry the lowest grades for a Marvel character movie with respectively a C+ and C. Brave New World‘s B- is lower than the MCU titles which fans turned cold on, i.e. Eternals (B), The Marvels (B) and Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania (B).

Ironically, as we talk about superhero fatigue, here’s Brave New World boldly overperforming to a degree, and that’s because it’s the only tentpole out there. Just don’t try to do a Captain America: Brave New World 2, Marvel.
To read more go here.


CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Box Office Update Reveals How Much It Really Needs To Earn To Break Even​

We have an update on current President's Day weekend projections for Captain America: Brave New World, including news on how much it will need to earn worldwide to break even. Read on for details...​

According to this latest report, Captain America: Brave New World needs to earn around $425 million at the worldwide box office to break even (its global debut this weekend is expected to be around the $200 million mark).
There have been some wild claims about the budget ballooning to $300 million after reshoots, though that remains little more than a rumour at this stage. If there's even a kernel of truth to that, the odds are well and truly stacked against this one.

https://**************.com/captain-...needs-to-earn-to-break-even-a216240#gs.keou0y
 
Captain America: Brave New World

Popcornmeter​

80%
 
I am expecting a 65-70% drop weekend 2.
 
Isn't that standard for most MCU movies anyways? For a movie with such bad reviews and word of mouth I'd expect more.
Like a 63% would be, 70% would be high bit lines up with a B- Cinemascore
 
Low 60s is standard for blockbusters.
Blockbusters in general yes, but MCU films are known to be front loaded I think. I checked phase 4 and 5 movies and outside Black Widow and No Way Home that were justified for being released simultaneously on Disney+ and on Christmas holidays respectively, Multiverse of Madness, Love and Thunder and Quantumania also all had a 68-70% drop. The Marvels had a 78%. Brave New World had the worst cinemascore, IMDB score and metascore of them all so I would think it would be more than 70%. But maybe it won't, I don't know.
 
The point being, low 60s is the target for blockbusters. The fact that the MCU has been having issues with that is a small problem.
 
The point being, low 60s is the target for blockbusters. The fact that the MCU has been having issues with that is a small problem.
Absolutely. All I'm saying is that I see this movie being more problematic even by MCU standards.
 
Here are the 35 MCU films listed. This is the picture of the second weekend drops. The MCU outperformed the average general blockbuster second weekend drops quite frequently. The last couple of phases have gone off the cliff with these drops though.

Percentage Film
1) - 44.7% Black Panther
2) - 47.2% Thor
3) - 48.1% Iron Man
4) - 46.6% Guardians of the Galaxy V3
5) - 49.5% Doctor Strange
6) - 50.3% The Avengers
7) - 51% Spider-Man: Far From Home
8) - 53.5% Thor: Ragnarok
9) - 54% Shang Chi and the Ten Rings
10) -54.2% Deadpool and Wolverine
11) - 55.3% Guardians of the Galaxy
12) - 55.5% Guardians of the Galaxy V2
13 - 55.5% Avengers: Infinity War
14) - 55.7% Captain Marvel
15) - 56.5% Ant-Man
16) - 56.6% Captain America: TWS
17) - 57.3% Thor: The Dark World
18) - 57.7% Avengers: Endgame
19) - 58.4% Iron Man 3
20) - 59.4% Iron Man 2
21) - 59.4% Avengers: Age of Ultron
22) - 59.5% Captain America: Civil War
23) - 60.1% The Incredible Hulk
24) - 60.7% Captain America: TFA
25) - 61.6% Ant-Man and the Wasp
26) - 62.2% Spider-Man: Homecoming
27) - 62.3% Eternals
28) - 63.3% Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
29) - 67% Doctor Strange in the MOM
30) - 67.5% Spider-Man: No Way Home
31)- 67.6% Thor: Love and Thunder
32) - 67.8% Black Widow
33) - 69.9% Ant-Man & the Wasp: Quantumania
34) - 78.1% The Marvels
35) -?% Captain America: Brave New World (A 65% + second weekend drop for this film will not surprise many people).
 
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The drop will be hard next weekend also because Monday is a holiday this week. I won’t rule out 75% or Joker 2 level of drop.
 
It's nice that the movie can add Monday to help bolster the opening weekend (although once we count 4 days as a weekend I'm not sure what we're doing) the 3 days isn't great. 88.5 is a low starting point domestically.

The benefit is that there's no competition. The downside is that people can...just not go to the movies. Word of mouth will be key to give this any hope. But even then the battle is going to be for this movie to not lose too much money.

My vote is going to go with an under 500 million worldwide total. But it might be able to get over that.
 
$100 million for the first 4 days is good enough. However the 2nd weekend drop, would be the big test. If this doesn't hit the $200 million mark by the end of its run, after a 4 day $100 million gross and that would look really bad.

Meanwhile, less than $200 million worldwide for the opening week is not good. Like Quantumania, its not hitting the $500 million mark. I can't see it hitting $450 million as well. If we compare how Deadpool & Wolverine did so well last year, it doesn't look like international markets are that interested in this mcu movie.
 
I think the 'big' consideration for this film and other MCU films going forward is there seems to be a big, if not huge, is the (as far I can see) drop off of interest from the GA, those unlike 'us' who are invested in the films, without fail.

I've said all along, as soon as some characters go via streaming etc. you would lose the GA, who are not gonna follow regardless and so gaps appear in the watching of the universe and before long they can't be bothered flipping between some at the cinema and some for home watch on Disney Channel for example.

Factor in, many people's interest or knowledge ended with Endgame and traction for 'more' with everyone outside the 'core fan-base' will be considerably more difficult with every film.
 
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