Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Captain America: The Winter Soldier' started by Mr. Dent, Apr 8, 2013.

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How do you think Captain America: The Winter Soldier will do?

  1. $1.5 billion

  2. $1 billion

  3. $900 million

  4. $800 million

  5. $700 million

  6. $600 million

  7. $500 million

  8. $400 million

  9. $300 million

  10. $200 million

  11. $1.5 billion

  12. $1 billion

  13. $900 million

  14. $800 million

  15. $700 million

  16. $600 million

  17. $500 million

  18. $400 million

  19. $300 million

  20. $200 million

  21. $1.5 billion

  22. $1 billion

  23. $900 million

  24. $800 million

  25. $700 million

  26. $600 million

  27. $500 million

  28. $400 million

  29. $300 million

  30. $200 million

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  1. mkilban2

    mkilban2 family1stclothingco.com

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    100 billion dollars!
     
    #176
  2. marcvader

    marcvader Lurker #1

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    So what are some opening weekend predictions around here? With the great word of mouth and hype this movie is building I'm going with $80 mil.
     
    #177
    Last edited: Feb 10, 2014
  3. craigdbfan

    craigdbfan Well-Known Member

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    65-80 million. Somewhere in that ballpark.
     
    #178
  4. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    I'm kinda going to let my fangirl rose colored glasses predict and say 95-100mil opening weekend. I don't think it's opening a dime under 85mil though. If it does I'll be surprised.

    Yes I know 95-100mil is over the top and if Thor 2 didn't do that why should Cap 2? Well it's my one crazy probably not going to happen prediction. I'm going out on a limb.
     
    #179
  5. Suzanne78

    Suzanne78 Abs Without Fear

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    I'm sticking to an 87mil-97mil OW domestically, for now. But I want to see a 300+mil. domestic run so badly. HSX has the stock fluctuating between 210-220mil for the entire domestic run, but I really want this sucker to break out big time.

    By the way, I love how The LEGO Movie may make a run for $250-300mil in February! I love seeing movies overperform like that during unexpected release dates. EVERYTHING IS AWESOME!!
     
    #180
  6. Moridin

    Moridin Death Contagious Deity

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    I agree. Dark World opened to $85.7m, but the buzz for WS is much stronger. I'll say $90m-$100m.
     
    #181
  7. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    Oh yes if the movie is as good as it looks I'd love for it to break out and do 300mil. Sometimes people are down on Cap calling him boring or whatever, I'd love to see his film kill it at the box office this time.

    I think I laughed and chuckled more than the children at my screening of The Lego Movie. It's nice to see a good creative animated film do really well. That song has finally started fading from my mind. lol
    I'm glad Suzanne brough up The Lego Movie's success because it proves a point that I've been making since Marvel placed Cap 2 in April and people were worried. The release date does not matter, if someone wants to see a movie they are going to go see it.
     
    #182
    Last edited: Feb 10, 2014
  8. xeno000

    xeno000 IRON MAN WAS RIGHT!

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    I think CATWS will end up in the same range - $85M - $95M OW. :yay: for the domestic total it could do $230M - $250M. That's a large spread but everything depends on its legs versus the competition. Of course it could stage a massive breakout and run up to $300M but that would take a perfect storm of great reviews, great word of mouth, excellent promotion and audience enthusiasm built to near-Avengers levels. If Marvel can position CATWS as an event and take advantage of the Easter holiday they might be able to leg it out for the entire month of April.
     
    #183
  9. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    I know some might think Transcendence will be a factor in April but I honestly don't see that movie doing anything too special at the box office unless it gets great reviews.

    I agree that in order for Captain America 2 to breakout it's going to need better reviews than the last couple of Marvel films and a perfect storm of buzz and marketing. That's what helped other pre-May movies that opened huge. We will see what the buzz is like a month before it's release.
     
    #184
  10. Wildcard

    Wildcard Cataclysmic Titan

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    I think the fact that the second trailer has over 11 million views in less than two weeks is a good sign in terms of audience interest. It's not the end all be all, of course, but it is a great number to have reached in a short amount of time.
     
    #185
  11. Green Goblin

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    500-600

    I don't think will go higher than that but I've been wrong before.
     
    #186
  12. BoredGuy

    BoredGuy Chairman of the Bored

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    I'm sayin $90 Mil domestic OW, $250 Mil domestic total, $650 Mil WW
    based primarily off TDW's performance, and this movie looking better than it

    I wish we could all bet on these predictions
     
    #187
  13. Suzanne78

    Suzanne78 Abs Without Fear

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    The LEGO Movie was a perfect confluence of nostalgia, cheeky and witty script, great reviews, and weather issues that had families seeking movies and indoor activities for the whole family - in the north bay area, our shows were all sold out because the weather was horrible for a week. Perfect for a kid's movie. Even my two-year-old was super into it, and it was right up my husband's alley; he still collects LEGOs.

    I'm really glad that Hollywood seems to be taking more chances regarding release dates. Boxoffice blockbusters shouldn't be reserved solely for the summer and holiday times. Jan.-Mar. should have good movies come out too, not just "dumping" ground for studio losses.

    I'm hoping The Lego Movie makes studios rethink their release date strategy. More on topic, I really hope that TWS beats the current April BO record holder (FF6 or whatever I think… 86.1 million?) If it works in Marvel's favor, they could be leading the industry in viewing an expanded summer blockbuster season starting in April. Though every month could be a potential blockbuster month.
     
    #188
  14. Joeyjojo72

    Joeyjojo72 Well-Known Member

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    Feige & co will be doing backflips if this movie does TDW type business. It will have to beat its domestic total by a fair amount to achieve that though. At least 250 id say. Not an easy task.
     
    #189
  15. BigThor

    BigThor God of Thunder

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    It does look better than T:TDW, I will be absolutely shocked if it doesn't turn out to be a better film.
     
    #190
  16. Saitou Hajime

    Saitou Hajime Well-Known Member

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    Fast Five was technically on the cusp of the regular summer season anyway, since it premiered on April 29.
     
    #191
  17. samsnee

    samsnee Well-Known Member

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    The only major releases in March are Divergent and Noah. I don't see either of those having huge box offices. I think TWS is coming at a perfect time when people will want to see something fun and exciting, and barring absolutely horrible reviews, this movie will deliver that.
     
    #192
  18. TeeKay

    TeeKay Well-Known Member

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    I could see this doing 90-100 million opening weekend and over 600 million worldwide. Can't wait for all of you to see it.:woot:
     
    #193
  19. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus Well-Known Mutant

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    My prediction for the opening weekend: $60 to $85 million.
     
    #194
  20. regnak

    regnak Well-Known Member

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    The first one did $65 million, no way the second does less. I will go $90 million a little more than TTDW because the trailers are better.
     
    #195
  21. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    Is it really a fair comparison though?
    Even though they are both part of the MCU,
    The two films approach their stories from different genres .
    TWS is an action thriller with hints of political overtones .
    TDW is a mix of Fantasy/Action/Adventure .
     
    #196
  22. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    Wouldnt $60 million be less than the first one?
    I dont see that happening .
     
    #197
  23. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus Well-Known Mutant

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    Its just a prediction. $60 million for the worse case scenario and $85 million for the best case scenario.
     
    #198
  24. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    I think the worst case is 75mil personally. At first I said 85mil but I changed that. I just think it's going to have good enough marketing and reviews to not go below that number. Also it's the first "Summer" blockbuster of the year, I believe that will help as well.
     
    #199
  25. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    I agree with the 75 mill as as a possible worst case scenario,
    But I think Sony is going to make the case that ASM2 is the first big Summer movie.
     
    #200
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