Age of Ultron Early Avengers 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Suzanne78]

Honestly, that's great it was able to bounce back some.

Like I said already, it's crazy to think this will make a gazillion dollars, and still be considered by some to be a disappointment, BO-wise. Just goes to show what a phenomenal run TA1 had and the high bar of success Marvel's set for itself.

All I ask is for Ant-Man to be fun, and for CIVIL WAR to be the greatest movie in the history of mankind. t:

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Can't wait for Civil War. Cap and Spidey in the same film directed by the directors of my favorite Marvel film? Yes please.

 

[8ulk]

^^ Civil War is gonna be an Avenger-style cinematic event. its gonna make at least 1 bil ww.

Im not sure which will win 2016 though Dawn of Justice or Civil War.

Btw according to boxofficemojo if Age Of ultron plays like TA1 it will get to 560 mil US.
If it plays like IM3 it will make around 440 mil.

So 500 mil is quite likely i guess. 1,2 bil for OS is still my pick. so 1,7+ bil ww.

P.S. As far as SW7 TFA . December is a tricky month. breaking any Opening records isnt happening not by a long shot. I would be VERY surprised if SW7 actually manages to beat Furius 7 (147 mil) opening weekend.

 

[marvelrobbins]

Can't wait for Civil War. Cap and Spidey in the same film directed by the directors of my favorite Marvel film? Yes please.

I agree with winter SOldier being best marvel studios film.I wonder how big
a role will Spider-man.If civil war plays like avenger film but heavily focused on Cap,my favorate avenger,then it's all good.

 

[marvelrobbins]

Empire Strikes back made about 100 million less than Star Wars babe. Sequels to once in a life time box office grossers never live up to their predecessor in the states.

Anyway it is looking like it could do 190+mil with actuals because Sunday is making up for a deflated Saturday according to box office guru's Gitesh Pandya.

Even sequels beloved by fans can fail to outgross predassar.

As you said Empire Strikes Back is example 1.

Spider-man 2 Is another example of sequel people loved but failed to outgross original at least domesticly.

The hugh success of the dark knight didn't cause the dark Knight rises to be able to outgross it domesticly although granted dark Knight rises isn't as loved as the Dark Knight.

 

[Iceman]

It has China opening next weekend. It will easily do that.

China is on May 12th (next Tuesday). Will be nice to get such a huge boost just as the numbers are otherwise slowing down. Wonder how it will do relative to the new King in those parts, Furious 7.

 

[kedrell]

I expect AoU to beat F7 in China.

 

[Iceman]

That would be amazing if so. Would make up for any underperformance in US.

 

[Iceman]

Honestly, that's great it was able to bounce back some.

Like I said already, it's crazy to think this will make a gazillion dollars, and still be considered by some to be a disappointment, BO-wise. Just goes to show what a phenomenal run TA1 had and the high bar of success Marvel's set for itself.

All I ask is for Ant-Man to be fun, and for CIVIL WAR to be the greatest movie in the history of mankind. t:

Only mankind? t:

 

[Wildcard]

This movie doesn't have to do better than the first, though. And it has the second highest opening of all time...in fact Marvel owns all three spots in that respect so I'd say mission accomplished.

There's no way this movie won't do bigger numbers than F7, especially when it already has over $626 million in the bank already. I do think that China will again be a prime contributor....no less than $200-300 will be made there.

I honestly believe the primary reason AoU didn't beat the first is due to the sporting events of the weekend, mainly the fight (which mostly everyone was disappointed in).

 

[Iceman]

The fight was a big old event. Even as a massive Avengers fan, if it hadn't opened early in the UK I don't think I would have gotten round to seeing Avengers on opening weekend as the fight took up a big chunk of the Saturday and then I was knackered on Sunday as a result. Can imagine it was an even bigger deal in the US.

 

[JB33]

Even though it really doesn't matter at all, I have to say that I was disappointed that Age of Ultron didn't set the domestic opening weekend record. Shocked, really. I figured the film that would beat the Avengers would be its sequel.

Worldwide, it's been huge so far. No qualms there. I guess there's just too much competition for entertainment here in North America. At this point I'm just hoping it has good legs here.

 

[kedrell]

Nice though that the MCU has the top 3 OW's of all time.

Also, congrats to Marvel for finally passing the HP franchise WW. Next up: the entire WW grosses of all of Pixar as a brand. By the end of summer Pixar will fall as well(I think we're only $1 billion away and Ant-Man+AoU's remainders should easily cross that line).

 

[warriorking]

So has the official numbers for this weekend come in...I heard it got a bit of a bump Sunday....did it clear 190 Million?

 

[kedrell]

It'll probably be after noon west coast time before we know the actuals.

 

[warriorking]

Never mind the numbers are in...
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-avengers-ultron-no-793000
191.3 Million is not too shabby...

 

[kedrell]

Now it's time to listen to Grace Randolph spin this as a negative. Ugh!

It didn't beat the first film. Marvel is in trouble. Crap like that.

 

[AvengerPA]

Sunday was better than expected.

 

[kedrell]

I think even w/o the prize fight and NBA whatever and the Kentucky Derby all going on Saturday AoU probably still would have come up short of the first film's record. However, if they hadn't been going on I can see AoU still managing to cross the $200m mark for the weekend. Just barely crossing it but still being able to do it.

If nothing else this weekend shows just how hard what TA1 did in 2012 was to do and just how big a landmark it was.

 

[Tony Stark]

I'm pretty sure this will come in over 190 when the actuals come in. If the Sunday hold was better than -19 (which -19 is actually a good Sunday hold to begin with), then I think we'll be 190-195.

Disney is saying 191, and they tend to be very conservative with their estimates.

 

[warriorking]

So what's everyone's prediction for next weekend ?
I say just a little over 100 Million...

 

[kedrell]

Hmm, I'd say over $80m for sure. Maybe over $90m. I don't see $100m happening. The first film just barely did that and that had even more momentum on it.

 

[kedrell]

I'm pretty sure this will come in over 190 when the actuals come in. If the Sunday hold was better than -19 (which -19 is actually a good Sunday hold to begin with), then I think we'll be 190-195.

Disney is saying 191, and they tend to be very conservative with their estimates.

If it's in the $190m range then the Saturday sports events pretty surely cost it the $200m threshold.

 

[First Avenger]

Edit

 

[redfirebird2008]

So what's everyone's prediction for next weekend ?
I say just a little over 100 Million...

I'll go with $85m.