The Force Awakens Early Star Wars 7 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Now, the question is, how much money would a James Cameron Star Wars movie make?

4 billion.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Sounds pretty smart to me, but I think OS has slightly outpaced DOM totals even before China came into play.

BUT, WE SUCK AT THIS!!!!

OS yesterday was about $14 million (including $7 million from China) vs. $3 million domestic so yeah.

Sushi sucks, too.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

$5 million Wednesday in China (-17%). Total stands at $71.1 million.

 

[JOE]

It may not beat Titanic, but as long as this movie crosses 2B WW I'll be extremely happy. The 2B club will have it's third member at long last!

 

[InCali]

OS yesterday was about $14 million (including $7 million from China) vs. $3 million domestic so yeah.

Sushi sucks, too.

That adds validation to my conclusion of about a week ago that the OS holds were generally better than DOM.

Burritos don't....can we all agree on that?

 

[Unbreakable Lex]

That adds validation to my conclusion of about a week ago that the OS holds were generally better than DOM.

Burritos don't....can we all agree on that?

Can't we all just get along?

http://eatburedo.com/

 

[Erzengel]

Can't we all just get along?

http://eatburedo.com/

I'd eat the eff out of that.

 

[InCali]

Can't we all just get along?

http://eatburedo.com/

That'll have to wait until I finish my burrito. I'm done with turkey sandwiches for the foreseeable future.

Man, this hot sauce is frelling HOT.....can someone find me a breathing fire icon please? I guess this'll have to do


"You know it's good when it makes your eardrums sweat"

My quote while eating at a Thai restaurant in Monterrey after ordering "extra spicy". To them, that translated to "Just throw in a whole bunch of ground cayenne".

EDIT: Did you ever wonder what it is that makes your mouth and tongue burn after eating chili peppers and spicy salsa? It's a compound called capsaicin and it irritates your mucous membranes. They say that the pain you experience from eating spicy salsa and peppers stimulates the production of endorphins.

If you feel like you've eaten something too hot, don't bother drinking water. Try milk as it contains casein. This will help to counteract the effects of the chili.

 

[Iceman]

Haven't checked the all time domestic chart in a while and it does look great now way out in front.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Domestic got a little burrito bump Tuesday to $3.8 million. $819.7 million total DOM.

 

[DKDetective]

So TFA's weekday domestic numbers are now behind those for JW for the same week. As such, I suspect that the film will continue to have bigger weekday, domestic drops going forward. It might not make it to $900 domestic, as JW had about $90 million left in the tank at this point and TFA is sitting at $815 million as of Monday. Unless the movie has a surprising rally, I think we are looking at $900 million DOM and $1.150 billion INT, for a worldwide total of $2.05 billion. An amazing performance, but I had really hoped this would have unseated at least one of the two Cameron juggernauts from the top of the pack.

 

[Erzengel]

It is, I'd had hoped it'd beat Cameron's movies WW. Especially since those aren't even his best 2. :cough: T2 Aliens :cough:

And before anyone brings the whole love thing again. T2, had love between a boy and his robot. Aliens had love between a woman and her surrogate daughter and android.

 

[InCali]

So TFA's weekday domestic numbers are now behind those for JW for the same week. As such, I suspect that the film will continue to have bigger weekday, domestic drops going forward. It might not make it to $900 domestic, as JW had about $90 million left in the tank at this point and TFA is sitting at $815 million as of Monday. Unless the movie has a surprising rally, I think we are looking at $900 million DOM and $1.150 billion INT, for a worldwide total of $2.05 billion. An amazing performance, but I had really hoped this would have unseated at least one of the two Cameron juggernauts from the top of the pack.

I guess we'll settle for #2 first run rankings (behind only Avatar). If there's a re-release, then it's off on another hunt.

Also, we'll have to see what TFA does over the holiday weekend, but, I agree, with these numbers, 1B is out of the question. I didn't think it would have those kinds of drops....burrito bump or not.....maybe I should just eat burritos until.....never mind......

 

[Erzengel]

I do question does the marathon of the 6 movies prior to TFA count to the previous releases?

 

[InCali]

I do question does the marathon of the 6 movies prior to TFA count to the previous releases?

One would think so. Maybe 1/6 to each? Not really a re-release in the sense that ANH, TPM, Titanic, GwtW, etc. were.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Total global take for Tuesday was $15.3 million. International # now up to $946.9 million (passes AoU), WW total $1.77 billion.

Probably goes over $1 billion overseas this weekend.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

So TFA's weekday domestic numbers are now behind those for JW for the same week. As such, I suspect that the film will continue to have bigger weekday, domestic drops going forward. It might not make it to $900 domestic, as JW had about $90 million left in the tank at this point and TFA is sitting at $815 million as of Monday. Unless the movie has a surprising rally, I think we are looking at $900 million DOM and $1.150 billion INT, for a worldwide total of $2.05 billion. An amazing performance, but I had really hoped this would have unseated at least one of the two Cameron juggernauts from the top of the pack.

My thoughts were that it's weekdays are solidly behind Avatar's during the same period. I'd never compare summer weekdays to winter weekdays, it's not a fair comparison. Summer weekday numbers are stronger.

 

[InCali]

My thoughts were that it's weekdays are solidly behind Avatar's during the same period. I'd never compare summer weekdays to winter weekdays, it's not a fair comparison. Summer weekday numbers are stronger.

Very, very true. The upside is that winter releases generally have better legs that show themselves on the weekends. Like I said, we'll see how things go this weekend (Holiday).

 

[Erzengel]

If TFA makes north of $20 million this weekend, it's possible that it can move past $850 by the end of Sunday.

 

[I Am The Knight]

It is, I'd had hoped it'd beat Cameron's movies WW. Especially since those aren't even his best 2. :cough: T2 Aliens :cough:

And before anyone brings the whole love thing again. T2, had love between a boy and his robot. Aliens had love between a woman and her surrogate daughter and android.

Yeah but women don't flock to theaters for that kind of love

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Very, very true. The upside is that winter releases generally have better legs that show themselves on the weekends. Like I said, we'll see how things go this weekend (Holiday).

Right the weekends are stronger.

If TFA makes north of $20 million this weekend, it's possible that it can move past $850 by the end of Sunday.

It's easily going to make more than 20 million. I think it's drop will be better than last weekend's and it's a holiday weekend.

 

[DKDetective]

My thoughts were that it's weekdays are solidly behind Avatar's during the same period. I'd never compare summer weekdays to winter weekdays, it's not a fair comparison. Summer weekday numbers are stronger.

Yeah, but Avatar is not a good comparator either. Despite being a December release, TFA is behaving more like a summer blockbuster than a leggy winter release. It opened massively with the benefit of two weeks of holiday weekdays. No movie has made this much money this quickly before. You have to wonder about how much demand is left to see the movie again in theatres, at least among the general populace. I think summer like drops are to be expected hereon out. I hope I'm wrong though.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

If TFA makes north of $20 million this weekend, it's possible that it can move past $850 by the end of Sunday.

Boxoffice.com's projection for the four day weekend is $32 million.

 

[Brother Jack]

For real though 2017 is going to be an epic year for the Box Office assuming Avatar 2 really does come out in time for that date.

Vegas will probably be taking bets as to whether it or EVIII comes out on top?

I seriously doubt Avatar 2 is going to do record-breaking numbers. The first film and the IP itself has largely been forgotten by most average moviegoers. Which actually makes the film's success even weirder in hindsight. Avatar didn't stick in the long run, it was the 3D technology that did. But I guess it's foolish to doubt Cameron's powers at this point.

 

[spiderman2]

Is 900m USA still a lock?