Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - - Part 11

[The Batman]

I blame Spider-Man 1 for the pissing contest that ensued.

Yeah...I was here when Spider-Man 1 came out and broke records

"Pissing Contest" is the best way to explain it.

 

[Kindoalkun]

I'm still not sure where some get this idea that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for a sequel or franchise. Are they familiar with box-office numbers? Do you they any idea how much of a "lightning in a bottle" scenario it is for a film to make that much? Only 16 movies in the entire history of cinema have grossed that much.

Further, NO Marvel movie leading up to The Avengers even came near a billion...and I'd say that franchise is just fine:

All Worldwide Gross:
Iron Man (2008) : $585,174,222
The Incredible Hulk (2008) : $263,427,551
Iron Man 2 (2010) : $623,933,331
Thor (2011) : $449,326,618
Captain America (2011) : $368,608,363

In fact, Man of Steel is on pace to outdo ANY Marvel movie leading up to the Avengers. Again, where do some get this bizarre notion that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for sequels or a franchise? I mean, The Hangover "only" grossed $467,483,912 worldwide and has three sequels.

On a side note, The Dark Knight (2008) took 33 weeks to break a billion. Given that much time, who knows where Man of Steel will be.

 

[kalhawj]

I'm still not sure where some get this idea that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for a sequel or franchise. Are they familiar with box-office numbers? Do you they any idea how much of a "lightning in a bottle" scenario it is for a film to make that much? Only 16 movies in the entire history of cinema have grossed that much.

Further, NO Marvel movie leading up to The Avengers even came near a billion...and I'd say that franchise is just fine:

All Worldwide Gross:
Iron Man (2008) : $585,174,222
The Incredible Hulk (2008) : $263,427,551
Iron Man 2 (2010) : $623,933,331
Thor (2011) : $449,326,618
Captain America (2011) : $368,608,363

In fact, Man of Steel is on pace to outdo ANY Marvel movie leading up to the Avengers. Again, where do some get this bizarre notion that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for sequels or a franchise? I mean, The Hangover "only" grossed $467,483,912 worldwide and has three sequels.

On a side note, The Dark Knight (2008) took 33 weeks to break a billion. Given that much time, who knows where Man of Steel will be.

Great post... Those user that are always dooming MOS or setting a 1 billion bench mark don't know anything and probably just want to start s### on the success of MOS. I would just ignore their post. After following this post for a while now I've learn to not bother with trying to prove those folks... Once you do there's always be another person doing the same thing... I just let MOS BO do all the talking... t:

 

[Rowsdower!]

It's a mix of things. People who hated the film want to convince others that whatever money it ends up making, it's still a failure.

Conversely, some people who loved the film built it up in their minds that the movie was going to outgross The Avengers and The Dark Knight. Although I personally liked it better than those movies, I also knew that was likely never going to happen. Superman had much more of an uphill battle than those films; many people viewed the character as stale and corny, an idea that was reinforced (at least to some people) by Bryan Singer's movie in 2006.

 

[terry78]

Basically the process is this. If a movie you hate made a lot of money, it's because the unwashed masses are morons. If a movie you love made a lot of money, it's because the masses appreciate good cinema.

 

[Bruce Malone]

and if a movie you love didn't make a lot of money, it again goes back to the unwashed masses being morons.

 

[sf2]

I'm still not sure where some get this idea that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for a sequel or franchise. Are they familiar with box-office numbers? Do you they any idea how much of a "lightning in a bottle" scenario it is for a film to make that much? Only 16 movies in the entire history of cinema have grossed that much.

Further, NO Marvel movie leading up to The Avengers even came near a billion...and I'd say that franchise is just fine:

All Worldwide Gross:
Iron Man (2008) : $585,174,222
The Incredible Hulk (2008) : $263,427,551
Iron Man 2 (2010) : $623,933,331
Thor (2011) : $449,326,618
Captain America (2011) : $368,608,363

In fact, Man of Steel is on pace to outdo ANY Marvel movie leading up to the Avengers. Again, where do some get this bizarre notion that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for sequels or a franchise? I mean, The Hangover "only" grossed $467,483,912 worldwide and has three sequels.

On a side note, The Dark Knight (2008) took 33 weeks to break a billion. Given that much time, who knows where Man of Steel will be.

33 weeks??? That's more than half a year!!!??? Can a movie last that long in the cinema???

 

[tek]

MOS has done well but it has been compared to IM3 all year leading in, so to complain now about the comparison is a tad late

 

[kalhawj]

More reason not to bother with the haters and just watch MOS box Office continue to grow... Once MOS 2 is announce, haters will have nothing left to try to down play it's success...

 

[Rowsdower!]

More reason not to bother with the haters and just watch MOS box Office continue to grow... Once MOS 2 is announce, haters will have nothing left to try to down play it's success...

Well, they can still say that production of the sequel could get cancelled until the cameras actually start rolling, lol.

 

[BH/HHH]

It's a mix of things. People who hated the film want to convince others that whatever money it ends up making, it's still a failure.

Conversely, some people who loved the film built it up in their minds that the movie was going to outgross The Avengers and The Dark Knight. Although I personally liked it better than those movies, I also knew that was likely never going to happen. Superman had much more of an uphill battle than those films; many people viewed the character as stale and corny, an idea that was reinforced (at least to some people) by Bryan Singer's movie in 2006.

Great post

MOS is a financial success, fact!

 

[kalhawj]

MOS has done well but it has been compared to IM3 all year leading in, so to complain now about the comparison is a tad late

Iron man 3 had no competition for at lease 3 weeks before Star Trek came out... by than Iron man had the time to rack in the money before the next big movie hit. MOS did not have that window and was fighting two big release after it's second week of release, and others every weekend after. Reason why this summer is the highest grossing BO summer ever. Even with all this MOS did well to rack in the $$ and dominated OS.

 

[Rowsdower!]

Great post

MOS is a financial success, fact!

Thanks, and yes it is. And WB is smart enough to know that the sequel has the potential to be massive. Maybe... just MAYBE at the level of The Avengers or TDK if they tweak a few things that bugged some people about MOS (less destruction, fewer flashback scenes). But anyone claiming that they need to "distance" themselves from MOS is delusional; the movie is a bona fide success.

 

[hitmanyr2k]

I'm still not sure where some get this idea that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for a sequel or franchise. Are they familiar with box-office numbers? Do you they any idea how much of a "lightning in a bottle" scenario it is for a film to make that much? Only 16 movies in the entire history of cinema have grossed that much.

Further, NO Marvel movie leading up to The Avengers even came near a billion...and I'd say that franchise is just fine:

All Worldwide Gross:
Iron Man (2008) : $585,174,222
The Incredible Hulk (2008) : $263,427,551
Iron Man 2 (2010) : $623,933,331
Thor (2011) : $449,326,618
Captain America (2011) : $368,608,363

In fact, Man of Steel is on pace to outdo ANY Marvel movie leading up to the Avengers. Again, where do some get this bizarre notion that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for sequels or a franchise? I mean, The Hangover "only" grossed $467,483,912 worldwide and has three sequels.

On a side note, The Dark Knight (2008) took 33 weeks to break a billion. Given that much time, who knows where Man of Steel will be.

I'm not sure what sense it makes to mention The Hangover when its production budget was only 35 million. That's chump change compared to the budget of most comic book films.

 

[BH/HHH]

Thanks, and yes it is. And WB is smart enough to know that the sequel has the potential to be massive. Maybe... just MAYBE at the level of The Avengers or TDK if they tweak a few things that bugged some people about MOS (less destruction, fewer flashback scenes). But anyone claiming that they need to "distance" themselves from MOS is delusional; the movie is a bona fide success.

It really does have the potential, I believe aswell if WBs take an approach like Marvel and actually concentrate on DC as a brand people will get even more interested. I'm not saying go the Marvel route with cameos and such but maybe they could go down the route if announcing their greater plans and actually doing something with their other properties. WBs are sitting on a god damn gold mine, the whole thing still baffles me.

MOS 2 I believe will be the Superman movie that most if those who were disappointed with this one wanted. I think those that didn't want the origin again need to realise that so e times you have to start fresh in invest in the bigger picture.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Basically the process is this. If a movie you hate made a lot of money, it's because the unwashed masses are morons. If a movie you love made a lot of money, it's because the masses appreciate good cinema.

Well said and hilarious at the same time.

 

[MANOFSTEELtrilogy]

SR made a little over 400 mil worldwide adjusted...MOS has about 120 more than that, and I doubt it will crawl to anything over 600 mil (WW) if it reaches 600 at all. How does this warrant a sequel "for sure"? Because to me it just sounds like wishful thinking.

Man Of Steel will cruise past $600mill and spit all over Batman Begins/Iron Man.

 

[kalhawj]

Originally Posted by Kevin Smith
SR made a little over 400 mil worldwide adjusted...MOS has about 120 more than that, and I doubt it will crawl to anything over 600 mil (WW) if it reaches 600 at all. How does this warrant a sequel "for sure"? Because to me it just sounds like wishful thinking.

All this guy's post have been to debunk MOS success... This one is one of the folks that will not admit to the success of MOS and ones that didn't like the movie either... He forget that right now it's at 525mil WW and after this weekends' OS update it will be 585-600 mil WW. Domestic it will hit 270 million after the weekend is over. BTW... the real Kevin Smith love MOS... this guy is fake... lol

 

[MANOFSTEELtrilogy]

It's a mix of things. People who hated the film want to convince others that whatever money it ends up making, it's still a failure.

I think only the grandmothers hate MOS, because it has 'too much' action and not enough crying scenes. And grandmothers sure are grumpy when they don't get their way. Them grannies are doomed, because MOS2 I suspect will be just as action-packed, as sequels usually are.

 

[sf2]

I think only the grandmothers hate MOS, because it has 'too much' action and not enough crying scenes. And grandmothers sure are grumpy when they don't get their way. Them grannies are doomed, because MOS2 I suspect will be just as action-packed, as sequels usually are.

Dont underestimate grandmothers. I have read a lot of them love MOS n can see beyond donner's universe.

 

[X Knight]

estimates for Thursday??

 

[STARMAN]

3 mill for Thursday.

 

[JOE]

MOS has done well but it has been compared to IM3 all year leading in, so to complain now about the comparison is a tad late

It gets compared to IM3 as far as the box office because a lot of people were stating (once the trailers came out for MOS) that it was going to be a threat to IM3 for biggest movie of the year. Now that it's confirmed it won't be topping it, or coming close for that matter, it's regularly compared to.

 

[STARMAN]

It's now listed at 259,790,846.

I think the Thursday bump was 29%.

 

[Knightstalker]

I'm still not sure where some get this idea that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for a sequel or franchise. Are they familiar with box-office numbers? Do you they any idea how much of a "lightning in a bottle" scenario it is for a film to make that much? Only 16 movies in the entire history of cinema have grossed that much.

Further, NO Marvel movie leading up to The Avengers even came near a billion...and I'd say that franchise is just fine:

All Worldwide Gross:
Iron Man (2008) : $585,174,222
The Incredible Hulk (2008) : $263,427,551
Iron Man 2 (2010) : $623,933,331
Thor (2011) : $449,326,618
Captain America (2011) : $368,608,363

In fact, Man of Steel is on pace to outdo ANY Marvel movie leading up to the Avengers. Again, where do some get this bizarre notion that a billion dollars is somehow a benchmark for sequels or a franchise? I mean, The Hangover "only" grossed $467,483,912 worldwide and has three sequels.

On a side note, The Dark Knight (2008) took 33 weeks to break a billion. Given that much time, who knows where Man of Steel will be.

Awesome post, and you hit the nail right on the head.