Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - - Part 11

[Stephen K. Hone]

I don't disagree, necessarily. MoS going passed 700M WW wouldn't really surprise me all that much. However, I think an opposing argument is just as easy to make which is why I don't throw the 'locked' term around. Saying IM3 passing $1B WW after it's OW or 2nd weekend is an example of 'locked' that makes sense.

I'm just a stickler for terms, and saying something is locked has a very specific meaning. It means that barring the outbreak of WWIII or some other calamity that is unforeseeable it is guaranteed to pass a certain mark. MoS is 'locked' for $650M for example, probably $675M even. But beyond that I hesitate to call locks. You don't put the terms 'struggle to reach' and 'locked' in the same thought. They're opposites.

And while your DOM guess of another $30M is possible, I think it's a bit high considering we have yet another superhero movie among all the competition coming up. I'd put the DOM tank that's left at $20-23M.

The "struggle" scenario was a hypothetical or "what if" for your benefit. Afaic Brazil BO is going to do extremely well. I am confident $700 million is a lock and if I want to be emphatic about it, that's my prerogative after all. You have your opinion or reasoning as to why you think MOS Isn't locked at $700 million, and I can respect that, but I don't have to agree with it. This BO prognosticating is just fun and let's face it none of us are going to win a medal for being correct. Btw this isnt meant be pissy I'm just acknowledging that beyond a little basic math based on comparing the performance of similar movies we are all basically making WAG's ( wild ass guesses)

 

[mace1]

Not changing the subject,just a invitation to further the talk somewhere else if it's okay mods.I hope you got my P.M. on THE MATTER.
For Majestic,because i disagree with his replies to me and his comments were incorrect,so to talk further here is a link.
http://forums.superherohype.com/showthread.php?p=26293411&highlight=#post26293411

 

[ConanLives]

enthusiasm/logic v logic/caution...you could argue equally for both.

 

[sf2]

How bout south Africa?

 

[UrNuts2]

How bout south Africa?

our market is not exactly known for large grosses, but i did my part .. 3 screenings to date .. 3rd was hands down the best .. my theater Sat night was just over half full .. last weekend was basically sold out when it opened here

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

How bout south Africa?

Yeah, we don't hear much about how it is doing there.

 

[Excel]

When it comes to sequel talk, many forget that the first films gross is not the only factor.

I.E. it wasn't JUST that RETURNS didnt even do 400m. It was...where can these characters go? Is anybody REALLY interested in seeing what happens with 'Superkid'?

MAN OF STEEL, aside from being a huge hit, really sets up a sequel much better. 700m should be more than enough to get the thing green lighted ASAP.

 

[Excel]

http://insidemovies.ew.com/2013/07/07/best-box-office-performances-2013/

Unfair context is unfair. The film struggles against enormous competition - huge surprise.

 

[Axl Van Sixx]

When it comes to sequel talk, many forget that the first films gross is not the only factor.

I.E. it wasn't JUST that RETURNS didnt even do 400m. It was...where can these characters go? Is anybody REALLY interested in seeing what happens with 'Superkid'?

MAN OF STEEL, aside from being a huge hit, really sets up a sequel much better. 700m should be more than enough to get the thing green lighted ASAP.

I have yet to meet anyone who has shown any interest in Superkid at all. Aside from taking attention away from more interesting plot possibilities, Jason really had no personality. He was more of a plot point than a real character.

 

[Bruce Malone]

I have yet to meet anyone who has shown any interest in Superkid at all. Aside from taking attention away from more interesting plot possibilities, Jason really had no personality. He was more of a plot point than a real character.

He was actually going to be a major component of the proposed sequel with brainiac.

However as others have said returns did very little to nothing to get you excited for that prospect.

 

[sf2]

I have yet to meet anyone who has shown any interest in Superkid at all. Aside from taking attention away from more interesting plot possibilities, Jason really had no personality. He was more of a plot point than a real character.

go to the MOS vs SR thread and the Amy thread. you would find plenty.
there is all kinda people in the world.

 

[MANOFSTEELtrilogy]

He was actually going to be a major component of the proposed sequel with brainiac.

Exactly. I read Bryan Singers sequel, and Jason ends up being possessed by Brainiac and Superman has to kill Jason to save earth. I think the trailers for that sequel would have lured the public quite heavily. Its not often you get to see a child being destroyed by a superhero. Plus it solves the problem that many had with Superman Returns - no more kid.

 

[Showtime]

There is a thread comparing Man Of Steel to Superman Returns and which was "better". This is a box office thread.

 

[InJustice]

Man of Steel passed TASM as most successful reboot? (at least from a domestic standpoint) Color me wat.

 

[robot]

$700M is still possible but to say it's locked is going too far, IMO. It is not locked by any means.

700M Locked... it has been for a long time now...

The question is, whether it'll crawl towards 800M or not...

 

[113]

700M Locked... it has been for a long time now...

The question is, whether it'll crawl towards 800M or not...

Yep it's up in the air whether it will pass TASMs $762m WW. It will be a tough slog but I think it can do it. May end up around $775m WW.

 

[Liam_H]

Well unless something crazy happens in Japan and Brazil I say WW total will be around $700M.

 

[sf2]

Man of Steel passed TASM as most successful reboot? (at least from a domestic standpoint) Color me wat.

As long as it can pass TASM. but it would be too difficult. TASM OS market is too strong.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

700M Locked... it has been for a long time now...

The question is, whether it'll crawl towards 800M or not...

I'm with you on this, $700 million is not in doubt, even if Brazil under performed say $20M and Japan does only $25M (should be a breeze) and the N.A. Market adds only $20 M more that is $650 million. It's hard to believe that, (as its been out less than two weeks in some markets) it has only $50 million left in the tank OS.

 

[MANOFSTEELtrilogy]

There is a thread comparing Man Of Steel to Superman Returns and which was "better". This is a box office thread.

Sorry, I was talking about the prospect of Superman Returns Sequel box office. Its prospects were very good, based on the story I read.

 

[blumatic]

Exactly. I read Bryan Singers sequel, and Jason ends up being possessed by Brainiac and Superman has to kill Jason to save earth. I think the trailers for that sequel would have lured the public quite heavily. Its not often you get to see a child being destroyed by a superhero. Plus it solves the problem that many had with Superman Returns - no more kid.

Brannan possesses Jason? That would be so weird and so not epic. Wow.

 

[Excel]

25m in Japan a "breeze"?

Um no.

 

[Stephen K. Hone]

25m in Japan a "breeze"?

Um no.

We'll see.

 

[spider-neil]

Spidey's Japan total will be difficult to top as Spidey actually has history in Japan given his insanely popular tv show.

 

[KRYPTON INC.]

I really, really want to see what the Japan figures will turn out to be. Here is a film that even more than the Matrix films has the look and feel of an Anime come to life on the big screen. I really wonder if experiencing that in a movie theatre will be a key to big money in the far east?