Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Notrip]

Yep, just as I said above, no way this movie makes less than 100 million. Just isn't going to happen. I know people and good friends who are watching this movie, who don't even like Superman or had no idea there was a Superman Returns!!

 

[JayJustROTFL]

Does Man Of Steel have any competition at the Box Office ?

 

[Tobias]

Posted? No clue on his source:

Guess the question is how much over 100 million. Boxoffice has it at 108 million and another site I am told had it at 125 million. Quite a difference.

In any case, even a 100 million opening with a possible 3X multiplier given how great the spots and trailers look makes 300 million domestic probable. Course it he meant 110 that could mean 330. Too bad the tweet didn't give the exact figure.

 

[Liam_H]

During the week of not really, but the comings weeks there is a certain amount.

 

[terry78]

The Bling Ring opens the same day and This Is The End opens two days before, that's about it. Once Monsters Uni opens the following weekend though is where it's probably gonna falter.

 

[fake]

Guess the question is how much over 100 million. Boxoffice has it at 108 million and another site I am told had it at 125 million. Quite a difference.

In any case, even a 100 million opening with a possible 3X multiplier given how great the spots and trailers look makes 300 million domestic probable. Course it he meant 110 that could mean 330. Too bad the tweet didn't give the exact figure.

Once tracking reaches over 100M, it is really tough to pin down an exact number. Deadline mentioned this in an article a few weeks ago. Tracking is really reliable till you cross that 100M weekend, anything above that is a total crapshoot.

 

[Tobias]

Once tracking reaches over 100M, it is really tough to pin down an exact number. Deadline mentioned this in an article a few weeks ago. Tracking is really reliable till you cross that 100M weekend, anything above that is a total crapshoot.

Guess that is what happened with F&F. Tracking was 108 or so and it did like 122.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

The Bling Ring opens the same day and This Is The End opens two days before, that's about it. Once Monsters Uni opens the following weekend though is where it's probably gonna falter.

The Bling Ring is a small release though isn't it? I thought it wasn't opening wide.

Doesn't World War Z also open the week after? That and Monsters University could be a big problem.

 

[sf2]

Wow, never thought Ironman 3 is so incredibly popular. It Opened in April and manages to take world top 5, and might probably takes the top 4 spot too!!!.What if it opens it July, it might do as big as Avatar!!!

 

[Liam_H]

It doesn't have enough juice left to catch Potter.

 

[LordofhouseEl]

Wow, never thought Ironman 3 is so incredibly popular. It Opened in April and manages to take world top 5, and might probably takes the top 4 spot too!!!.What if it opens it July, it might do as big as Avatar!!!

It had no competition for weeks. Especially internationally where it was realised a good few weeks earlier than the state. There wasn't much else to see but IM3, I would love to see it compete with world war z and monsters university.

 

[jacobed]

If.it was released in the summer, it wouldn't have done as good as it did

 

[sf2]

If.it was released in the summer, it wouldn't have done as good as it did

then April month is a good slot, isn't it??? why all of us previously keep rooting for July release for MOS???
btw, IM3 is still having all the time slots all days in my local cinemas after 5 weeks !!! unbelievable.

 

[Liam_H]

Because for the past 6 or so years mid-July has been a great release date for for big movies, especially for WB. If MOS was put in that slot it would clean up. All the big movies leading up to July 4th would have passed which its biggest competition would probably be Wolverine a couple of weeks later. But people are a lot more interested in a new Superman movie than another Wolverine one.

WB is confident enough that MOS will do well enough in June regardless while they want Pacific Rim to kick off a new franchise for them to have.

 

[Sup3rman81]

If.it was released in the summer, it wouldn't have done as good as it did

Avengers would not have made as much as it did either had it not come out first part of May. May usually is the best time for movies to come out, that and July. Marvel knew this and it did gang busters for all 3 IM movies and Avengers. July has been very kind to Transformers and TDK and TDKR. I really dont get WB placing MOS in June, I wouldnt want to wait the extra month but WB should have moved PR to June and MOS to July. MU will take some of the audience but I am not worried about WWZ. It will have fans of the book but to the GA its just another Zombie movie and we have seen enough RE movies to satisfy that thirst. despite opening in June MOS should make enough to satisfy WB and with 4th of July not far off, MOS should get some of the holiday rush.

 

[Liam_H]

Pacific Rim is the harder sell than MOS for WB. They want both to succeed so they gave the better date to the former. Now that Potter is done and they messed up GL they need more franchises to headline upcoming summers.

 

[psylockolussus]

Pacific Rim is the harder sell than MOS for WB. They want both to succeed so they gave the better date to the former. Now that Potter is done and they messed up GL they need more franchises to headline upcoming summers.

Yeah exactly.

With Pacific Rim, even though it looks good. I'm getting Hellboy vibe from it. I see it performing like Hellboy or at best - Prometheus.

 

[Sup3rman81]

Pacific Rim is the harder sell than MOS for WB. They want both to succeed so they gave the better date to the former. Now that Potter is done and they messed up GL they need more franchises to headline upcoming summers.

While I see your point there, you would think they would want Superman to perform the best seeing as how they are trying to move forward with a DCU outside of Batman. I dont think PR would have done any worse opening in June. I feel its going to make what its going to make regardless of opening dates.

 

[Liam_H]

After GL failed MOS has become their first step towards a DC Universe and ultimately a JL film. However MOS being in mid July will give it so much more potential than where it is right now. Movies coming out from that point on would be Grown Ups 2, RIPD, Red 2 and Wolverine. No movie there that screams $200 million domestic or even $150 million. But WB is okay with MOS doing around $300 million domestic which is still a great success.

Pacific Rim and MOS are my two most anticipated movies of the summer. But I can easily admit PR is not wowing audiences right now with the trailers etc. Putting something that people are unsure of where MOS is right now doesn't help it. However if WOM is good PR can hold well over the next two weeks in mid-July and WB will have successfully started two new franchises, instead of one.

 

[sf2]

i thought Flash is much more popular than GL. i think it's a mistake they picked GL instead of Flash. GL is just too cartoonish. (the ring can make all sort of greenish glow weapons). Maybe it can do a comedy like the Mask, but not a serious action hero movie.
However, Flash is more like Spiderman and it can be grounded with reality. Using the same formula of Spidey, you can do a successful Flash movie!!!

 

[Bruce Malone]

So what's the sentiment on whether MOS will gross more than TASM? Taking it's title of technical "highest grossing reboot".

 

[sf2]

So what's the sentiment on whether MOS will gross more than TASM? Taking it's title of technical "highest grossing reboot".

your guess is as good as mine.

the thing is Spidey 'is' very popular now n Supes 'was' popular then...

however i'm really hype for MOS. even though i disliked the origin storyline approach, the use of general Zod, the removal of the red briefs and was skeptical about Cavill and Amy cast

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

So what's the sentiment on whether MOS will gross more than TASM? Taking it's title of technical "highest grossing reboot".

I now think it will outdo TASM in the U.S but overseas, it has no chance IMHO.

 

[Sup3rman81]

It will make close to TASM OS or more I am sure.

 

[GreenKToo]

i think 325/350 mill overseas.