Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

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Who said that? :dry:

I agreed with you that 600 m WW is enough for a sequel but 700-750 m WW was probably needed to get most of the founding members of the Justice League solo movies.

and I stand by that.
Eh, I think 600mil plus and a well received movie will get Warners to develope another non Batman Superhero franchise.
 
It should clear $100 Million OW, unless of course a dramatic situation presents itself, I.e. The Dark Knight Rises
 
Anyone who predicted IM3 being under 1B after the Avengers was just naive. The Avengers must have shocked people, but c'mon... Arguably the most popular Avenger has a 3rd movie come out after a 1.5B smash in the BO the year before and people don't think it will clear 1B? Yet there's a handful of people who don't like the movie and it still cleared 1B with ease.

People know Tony Stark, people know Iron Man, people know Robert Downey Jr. MOS might be twice the movie IM3 was, but they'll never have twice the lead role. RDJ has shown that to us.

1) It wasn't obvious the Avengers would have the impact it did. Hindsight is 20/20 so it may seem like a sure thing now but most people didn't think IM3 would double IM2's WW gross.

2) How do you know Cavill's performance is clearly inferior to RDJ?
 
Eh, I think 600mil plus and a well received movie will get Warners to develope another non Batman Superhero franchise.

Maybe one more but not three or four more.

Disney/Marvel will have 5 Avenger-related solo franchises by the time Ant Man is released.
 
http://variety.com/2013/film/news/m...cking-suggests-100-million-splash-1200493634/

According to sources, “Man of Steel” is on track for a potential $100 million debut at the U.S. box office.

Early buzz on the film has been strong and Warner Bros. is doing anything and everything within its marketing power to promote the superhero blockbuster (no offense, Carl’s Jr.).

WB executives project the film will earn north of $300 million domestically — possibly more — with word of mouth only strengthening the film’s worldwide potential.

[...]

“Iron Man 3″ remains the highest-grossing film of the summer with nearly $1.2 billion globally and $387 million domestically, so WB and DC Comics’ caped crusader has quite a ways to go if he wants to compete with Disney and Marvel’s Tony Stark.

Still, box office observers are suggesting long summer legs for the $175 million tentpole, which WB will stagger overseas through the end of June .

“It’s very good,” one rival exec admits.

Hope word of mouth is good... everyone obsesses over RT scores which will hopefully be good but getting an A/A- CinemaScore will help with the box office past opening weekend.
 
or Avatar 2, Star Wars VII, Avengers 2 all have the potential to get 100 M opening day and I think a Worlds Finest/Justice League will as well
 
MOS Facebook page have seen crazy spikes in LIKES over the past couple days.. I think more than 10K new likes/day now...
 
Opening and Domestic I think MoS will out do Skyfall.
Foreign and worldwide?

3 cheers for 3D inflation.
 

lofty expectations indeed, though there's no direct quote from him in the article regarding how well he thinks MOS should do. It's all paraphrased:
Warner Bros. motion pictures group president Jeff Robinov went so far as to predict it will be the studio’s highest performer ever. That would mean the 3D movie, which cost about $225 million to produce and another $150 million to market and release around the globe, would have to top the $1.3 billion cume for “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2″ and the $1 billion-plus each earned by four other Warner releases, “The Dark Knight,” “The Dark Knight Rises,” “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King.”
I wonder if he meant highest performer ever for a reboot/launch of a series of movies. I used to do public relations (not in the entertainment industry though), and mis-paraphrasing something isn't uncommon.
 

Warner Bros. motion pictures group president Jeff Robinov went so far as to predict it will be the studio’s highest performer ever. That would mean the 3D movie, which cost about $225 million to produce and another $150 million to market and release around the globe, would have to top the $1.3 billion cume for “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2″ and the $1 billion-plus each earned by four other Warner releases, “The Dark Knight,” “The Dark Knight Rises,” “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey” and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King.”

MOS cost 225 mil to make? Isn't that about the same budget as The Avengers?
 
MOS cost 225 mil to make? Isn't that about the same budget as The Avengers?

And there are folks who saw it that are saying there is more action than Avengers.
 
That's big talk. I don't think it'll have the biggest opening of any WB so far, but biggest June opening? Very likely.
 
Alright, time for my final predictions!

Opening Weekend: $117M

Domestic: $300M
International: $375M
---------------------------
W/W Total: $675M
 
100 million opening weekend seems low to me, considering the heat this film has right now. I think they're selling themselves short on that estimate.
 
100 million opening weekend seems low to me, considering the heat this film has right now. I think they're selling themselves short on that estimate.
Thats EARLY projections. its likely to go up.
 
https://***********/ERCboxoffice/status/342794423156998146
MAN OF STEEL flies into 4,200+ theaters next weekend-- $100+M seems like a lock. Place your bets. It's gonna be massive.
 
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