Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[robot]

LOL. u saw some promotional stuffs in a single mall, suddenly u became super positive that it will make 1 Billion???!!! too funny.

If you have read my other posts, I have always been pretty positive, but was very disappointed with the lack of promo.. and I have always thought it may go near 1 B, if not pass it despite the lack of promo.. but now, with some promo... even though a bite late, I am going to go ahead and predict a solid 1B...

Let's see who gets the last laugh...

LOL. Good luck with that $1 billion prediction.

Write it down... t:

Psh, It'll make half that on wal-mart tickets alone.

Just because superhero movies have passed the 1B mark in the last 5 years doesn't mean every big blockbuster will hit that plateau. Any movie that's cleared the 1B mark has come off other movies. None hit that mark out of the gate.

TDk came off BB.
The Avengers came off 5 Marvel movies.
TDKR came off TDK and BB.
Iron Man 3 came off The Avengers and the first 2 Iron Man movies.

I do not think Supes will even get close to 1B. However, if it is in the league of Iron Man, or TDK... It might have a chance of exploding in the BO. At that point, you just never know. One thing is certain, if it reaches 1B, The Man of Steel will be in a league of its own for the simple fact that it did it right out of the gate unlike any other Superhero movie!

No one thought a lot of things for a lot of movies... be prepared to eat your hat! haha

 

[Tra-El]

Not sure if you guys read this yet, so I'll drop it here:

http://adage.com/article/news/superman-reboot-man-steel-snares-160m-promotions/241822/

 

[KryptoKnight13]

My guess is a 115 mil opening weekend, 60% drop to about 45 mil week 2, then hold kinda steady but make around 315-320 domestic total which should make them happy enough for a reboot to greenlight a sequel for 2015

 

[TheIrishAvenger]

edit.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

TASM reminded me a lot of SR in that it just was a stale remake of the original. They were entertaining enough for me to enjoy the first time, but both were completely forgettable. I also feel Andrew Garfield was miscast as SM and I much preferred Tobey Maguire. IDK the whole thing just left a bad taste in my mouth and I am definitely not planning on seeing the sequel in the theater. I'll probably just check it out when it comes to Redbox.

I'm the opposite.

I always disliked the Raimi movies from top to bottom. While Garfield isn't the perfect Spider-man/Peter Parker he's far better than Tobey Maguire who was pretty dull in both roles. I think ASM is an above average effort. It's flawed but captures what I appreciate about Spider-man way better than all three Raimi movies.

Time will tell which trilogy will be considered the best over time. But I believer more people will prefer Webb's trilogy than the haters care to admit and I'm glad we will have two wildly different Spider-man trilogies to choose from.

 

[Kalonthar]

My guess is a 115 mil opening weekend, 60% drop to about 45 mil week 2, then hold kinda steady but make around 315-320 domestic total which should make them happy enough for a reboot to greenlight a sequel for 2015

I'd be worried about a 60% drop in it's second week.

 

[JOE]

TASM reminded me a lot of SR in that it just was a stale remake of the original. They were entertaining enough for me to enjoy the first time, but both were completely forgettable. I also feel Andrew Garfield was miscast as SM and I much preferred Tobey Maguire. IDK the whole thing just left a bad taste in my mouth and I am definitely not planning on seeing the sequel in the theater. I'll probably just check it out when it comes to Redbox.

I don't understand how it can be considered a "stale remake." TASM along with MOS took completely different approaches on the character entirely.

Tobey was good in SM1... SM2 and SM3 he let himself go a bit. Not to mention all the corny faces and crying he did throughout the trilogy. Garfield was amazing, IMO. Brought a lot more to the character.

 

[JOE]

I'd be worried about a 60% drop in it's second week.

Monsters... Wait for it... Dary.

 

[KryptoKnight13]

Monsters... Wait for it... Dary.

Exactly. With MU and WWZ opening the following weekend, I would be really happy with only a 50-60% drop. I think best case scenario would be around 50% drop and that would take great word of mouth.

 

[G.Godfrey]

If the movie is as great and crowd pleasing as it seems then the drop should be pretty good. Defo not as much as 60%.

 

[JOE]

The 60% drop mark is relative. This is counting midnight releases as well. Which gives it two opening days as far as I'm concerned. There's the midnight release for the fanboys, then there's Friday nights for the normal movie goers. Both feel as if it's opening night.

 

[KryptoKnight13]

True. I live in Canada and all of the cineplex theaters are doing both 10pm and midnight Thursday shows. Are they doing that anywhere else?

 

[JOE]

Canadian! Represent!

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

MOS is not a sequel.

With good WOM it shouldn't be too front loaded.

 

[Princess Denise]

I don't understand how it can be considered a "stale remake." TASM along with MOS took completely different approaches on the character entirely.

Tobey was good in SM1... SM2 and SM3 he let himself go a bit. Not to mention all the corny faces and crying he did throughout the trilogy. Garfield was amazing, IMO. Brought a lot more to the character.

Of course, there were differences between SM1 and TASM and in that I just preferred the SM1 version. And there was enough similarity that made me think that it was basically a rehash of something I thought was done better 10 years before.

 

[Princess Denise]

I'm the opposite.

I always disliked the Raimi movies from top to bottom. While Garfield isn't the perfect Spider-man/Peter Parker he's far better than Tobey Maguire who was pretty dull in both roles. I think ASM is an above average effort. It's flawed but captures what I appreciate about Spider-man way better than all three Raimi movies.

Time will tell which trilogy will be considered the best over time. But I believer more people will prefer Webb's trilogy than the haters care to admit and I'm glad we will have two wildly different Spider-man trilogies to choose from.

I just really prefer the Raimi trilogy. I thought Tobey Maguire was perfect as Peter Parker/Spider-man and I was just completely entertained through all three movies (though, I admit the trilogy was far from perfect). Andrew Garfield, though a good actor, just does not seem right for the role and the movie itself just did not get me clamoring for more.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Oh okay.

I guess we'll have to agree to disagree.

 

[Gee]

True. I live in Canada and all of the cineplex theaters are doing both 10pm and midnight Thursday shows. Are they doing that anywhere else?

Mine only has 10PM on Thursday. IMAX 3D only even though it's a legit IMAX theatre.

 

[KryptoKnight13]

Mine only has 10PM on Thursday. IMAX 3D only even though it's a legit IMAX theatre.

Hmm, yeah where I live (in Calgary) they're a variety of different ones, you have the option of regular 3d, avx 3d and IMAX 3d. The only showings they aren't doing at 10 are the 2d from the looks of it. Empire theaters have 10pm show times too.

 

[Autonet]

I still love me some Google Trends.

You can see here the amount of interest generated by Iron Man, Star Trek Into Darkness, and FF6 on the days they were released.

Each peak was the US release date for each movie.

STID and FF6 aren't even close to IM3 so we'll just have to see how high MoS can go when it hits. Can probably gauge $$$ better that way.

 

[SolarWorlder]

Hi! This is my very first post on this site.

I guess I'll start off by giving my own box office predictions for MAN OF STEEL

Domestic (U.S.) Opening Weekend: 110,000,000 USD

Domestic (U.S.) Total Gross: 405,000,000 USD

International Total Gross: 620,000,000 USD

Worldwide Total Gross: 1,025,000,000 USD

What can I say? I'm an optimist about this movie. Getting some really positive vibes and finally seeing the national marketing campaign start to really ramp up.

Bring on June 14th!

 

[DanSupKP37]

Opening weekend of 100 plus mil hopefully..

Anything under will be a disappointment after all the hype..

 

[Liam_H]

That's essentially Toy Story 3 numbers with splits that are quite similar. Same release frame too.

 

[fake]

The main thing that will help "Man of Steel" is the current lull the box office is in after Memorial day. Fast and Furious 6 dropped from 117 over the MD 4-day weekend to 35 this weekend. After Earth bombed. "The Purge" looks to be opening in the 20-30 million range and "The Internship" looks like it would have fared better in August. "Man of Steel" will benefit from being the first "event" sized release in the past 3 weeks.

Most likely, over the weekend of June 14-June 16 (apart from "This is the End"), no other movie may cross 15 million. The demand for a blockbuster action packed picture will be only for "Man of Steel". As to how big it can go, hopefully 100M+ OW.

 

[Nicko-Ray]

I am more optimistic now that they started to push the marketing OS... a little late, but I guess if the movie is good, it'll still get people in... and then WOM will do the rest....

I am now going to predict above 1B...

Alright I'm back. I predict like $800-900 WW.
It's gotta do better than $750 WW, just not a billion. Watch it be a billion though ...whew