Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

[robot]

You didn't understand what I said. I don't want to see you in underwear is a direct statement saying you're going to be wrong on your 1B prediction.

OK, so,... r we on then???

 

[LordofhouseEl]

Wow people are already acting like this film is destined for failure, doesn't all the talked about action guarantee return viewing. People will eat that **** up and ask for seconds and thirds.

 

[JOE]

OK, so,... r we on then???

I'm telling you it's not hitting 1B. If you want to bet me that it hits 1B then yeah, sure.

 

[robot]

I'm telling you it's not hitting 1B. If you want to bet me that it hits 1B then yeah, sure.

I am saying my number is superior to yours.. whoever's closest wins... looks like you don't even understand the logic of a bet..

I win if it's above 750 (the mid-point between our bets)...

And since you so loudly proclaim no CBM movie ever opens (non-sequel) above 600M, so, why so worried????

All this shooting people down and then have no b** to put your 'money where your mouth is'...

 

[Marvin]

Critics and nitpick the design of krypton or if they wanted more weight in all of Clarks losses, at the end of the day that really hasn't been a huge factor in the way the Box Office plays out.

Apply these same criticisms to the TF films and see if the box office budges. I'm sticking with my 143 opening, 360 Dom and 900 WW.

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

I am down for it!!! As I am pretty confident.. since I bet 1B and Joe 500M, say anything above 750M i win, anything below, Joe.. and we have to take a photo....

I gotta warn you about these kinds of bet...

Years ago when SR was about to be released, there was this hardcore Superman fan who refused to hear anything bad about the movie. When the rumors that the kid in the movie will be Superman's kid, he refused to believe that. He made a bet with everyone that if that should be the case, he would eat his copy of a famous Superman comic...with ketchup, on webcam...for everyone to see!

Needless to say, when SR was released, that guy was gone from this forum...

 

[king666]

Wow. Why are people so worried about the RT score? Just chill. It's still fresh. 72%, 7.5 average rating, only 32 reviews.

 

[robot]

I gotta warn you about these kinds of bet...

Years ago when SR was about to be released, there was this hardcore Superman fan who refused to hear anything bad about the movie. When the rumors that the kid in the movie will be Superman's kid, he refused to believe that. He made a bet with everyone that if that should be the case, he would eat his copy of a famous Superman comic...with ketchup, on webcam...for everyone to see!

Needless to say, when SR was released, that guy was gone from this forum...

Nah... I am not eating a comic book.. just dressing up as superman (which is no big deal anyways)... i just had to shut that Joe guy up for pissing on everyone's predictions...

I am totally fine with what people predict, because let's face it, none of us knows what will happen, no matter how much we like to pretend we know.. I only get pissed when someone comes in and say **** about others just because they don't agree with them, like their 'numbers' are all that great...

I can be just as wrong as the next guy...

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

I am totally fine with what people predict, because let's face it, none of us knows what will happen, no matter how much we like to pretend we know.. I only get pissed when someone comes in and say **** about others just because they don't agree with them, like their 'numbers' are all that great...

Would you believe me when i say that....long, long time ago, the fans here on hype were...sane.And predicting the outcome of a CB movies used to be...fun?

 

[JOE]

I am saying my number is superior to yours.. whoever's closest wins... looks like you don't even understand the logic of a bet..

I win if it's above 750 (the mid-point between our bets)...

And since you so loudly proclaim no CBM movie ever opens (non-sequel) above 600M, so, why so worried????

All this shooting people down and then have no b** to put your 'money where your mouth is'...

Do not insult me.

We'll see in 3 months when it doesn't hit 1B.

 

[robot]

Would you believe me when i say that....long, long time ago, the fans here on hype were...sane.And predicting the outcome of a CB movies used to be...fun?

I believe you... I was on the internet when Yahoo first launched their search engine... in fact, I helped designed some of the chat scripts that was used at the time (I am a computer science student then at Iowastate)...

And yes, people were much nicer then when they are online..

I don't know how or why that changed.. today, it's almost impossible to have a civil discussion online without encountering trolls...

 

[robot]

Do not insult me.

We'll see in 3 months when it doesn't hit 1B.

Do unto others as you would have then do unto you...

Stop insulting people and people will stop insulting you...

get it?

And what, not so confident about your 500M figure now?

 

[JOE]

I consider people predicting this movie to be over 1B trolls.

 

[JOE]

Do unto others as you would have then do unto you...

Stop insulting people and people will stop insulting you...

get it?

And what, not so confident about your 500M figure now?

My prediction is 500M and if it does well from word of mouth it'll go around 600M.

What is your exact prediction along with how much DOM and OS? I'm curious how you're getting 1B besides the fact that it's hyped.

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

Well...i guess i'd put my money on Robot prediction too. Around 750 mil, but not quite 1bil.

I have a feeling that this movie will be a surprise hit.

Just don't expect me to run around wearing a superman costume in public too if we're proven wrong...the police in my country will most likely shoot me if i do that.

 

[robot]

My prediction is 500M and if it does well from word of mouth it'll go around 600M.

What is your exact prediction along with how much DOM and OS? I'm curious how you're getting 1B besides the fact that it's hyped.

I don't do 'domestic' as I am not from the US... I only do WorldWide...

My prediction range is 850M-1.2B, so basically picking a round number 1B.. yes, I know it's not professional, but I am not pretending to be one... like i said, none of us have the metrics to be so sure of ourselves and I have always respected everyone's predictions... it's just a prediction...

And what I base mine on is:

1. Hype / Marketing (the marketing in some countries have been stellar, though lacking in a lot of international markets)
2. Brand Recognition (you can't get bigger than Superman)
3. Great fun, action packed movie for the GA...
4. Consensus that it's a very good movie (if not the best) - which we already have...
5. Pre-Sales of tickets... Fandango already said it's the fastest selling movie of all time... and I checked at my local cinemas, most seats are already sold for the popular time slots... (even though marketing is almost non-existent in my country)

 

[JOE]

"As far as superhero films go, Man of Steel is the most unexpectedly disappointing big-scale superhero film since, well, Superman Returns. It doesn’t soar but rather crashes to the Earth like a lead balloon."

-Forbes

I change my mind, I'm predicting over 1B. Actually, I think it's going to beat the Avengers. 1.6B!

 

[Tony Stark]

It's not going to hit a billion, but it should do solid enough to green light a sequel, which is all that should matter, anything else is icing on the cake.

I'm wary of all these predictions north of 150M, or even 130M open. Record for OW in June is 110M for Toy Story. Do I think this movie has that kind of pent up anticipation? Perhaps, but is it going to beat that record by 50%? No.

Let's be honest if this makes 80M OW that is a good number, but people will talk about disappointment. Well yeah if you honestly think it's going to hit 150M, which I don't. 100M I think is very doable, but the down side is that WWZ I think will be a bigger hit than people expect. It's getting good reviews, and I think there's enough Walking Dead fans that might have a built in audience for this movie.

I don't think 1B is anywhere remotely possible, because I don't think Superman is all that big in foreign markets. I'd bet on 400M domestic, before I bet on 1B world wide.

 

[Marvin]

"As far as superhero films go, Man of Steel is the most unexpectedly disappointing big-scale superhero film since, well, Superman Returns. It doesn’t soar but rather crashes to the Earth like a lead balloon."

-Forbes

I change my mind, I'm predicting over 1B. Actually, I think it's going to beat the Avengers. 1.6B!

You post a bad review(because avengers didn't have any), and then go on to strawman the people who think this film will hit a billion by suggesting a gross higher than the marketing exercise that was Avengers.

pretty lame imo.

 

[robot]

Well...i guess i'd put my money on Robot prediction too. Around 750 mil, but not quite 1bil.

I have a feeling that this movie will be a surprise hit.

Just don't expect me to run around wearing a superman costume in public too if we're proven wrong...the police in my country will most likely shoot me if i do that.

And you're gonne be a winner!!! t:t:t:t:

 

[JOE]

I don't do 'domestic' as I am not from the US... I only do WorldWide...

My prediction range is 850M-1.2B, so basically picking a round number 1B.. yes, I know it's not professional, but I am not pretending to be one... like i said, none of us have the metrics to be so sure of ourselves and I have always respected everyone's predictions... it's just a prediction...

And what I base mine on is:

1. Hype / Marketing (the marketing in some countries have been stellar, though lacking in a lot of international markets)
2. Brand Recognition (you can't get bigger than Superman)
3. Great fun, action packed movie for the GA...
4. Consensus that it's a very good movie (if not the best) - which we already have...
5. Pre-Sales of tickets... Fandango already said it's the fastest selling movie of all time... and I checked at my local cinemas, most seats are already sold for the popular time slots... (even though marketing is almost non-existent in my country)

1. The OS BO will make or break this movie. "Lacking in a lot of international markets" does not help.

2. Agreed, although weak. Every superhero has their recognizable logo.

3. Critics are saying the movie has too much action, could work against you.

4. Consensus on the board? Because almost 30% of critics aren't liking it so far...

5. It's all about how the midnight showing goes and if people fall in love with it. All about the word of mouth.

 

[robot]

You post a bad review(because avengers didn't have any), and then go on to strawman the people who think this film will hit a billion by suggesting a gross higher than the marketing exercise that was Avengers.

pretty lame imo.

LAME indeed... he doesn't even have confidence on his own predictions, but continues to belittle others...

 

[jacobed]

I consider people predicting this movie to be over 1B trolls.

Maybe one of the dumbest things I've ever seen.

 

[JOE]

You post a bad review(because avengers didn't have any), and then go on to strawman the people who think this film will hit a billion by suggesting a gross higher than the marketing exercise that was Avengers.

pretty lame imo.

The second part of my post was complete sarcasm incase you weren't following. I think this movie is going to land around 600M give or take 50M.

 

[schiz0id]

Uh-oh trouble in Snyder/Nolan paradise. Currently at 72% at RottenTomatoes. Even lower rating than Iron Man 3, Thor and Cap. It's in Fast 6 critics rating territory. Not a great start for an overly-hyped film from one that had extensive use of Nolan/Snyder/Goyer in its ads.

Too early to tell but I can safely say Man of Steel will have problems reaching 80%. I sincerely hope the box office numbers make up for it.