Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[Nicko-Ray]

$128! Yea-yuh.

 

[Ita-KalEl]

Impressive!

 

[fake]

Can't believe Grace Randolph is still trying to make a freaking June Opening Weekend RECORD seem like it is nothing great

 

[The Chris]

Not only that, but it's the biggest opening for a Superhero Origin film, and it opened more than twice as big as the last Superman feature did. I mean Returns made 200 million in its entire US run, and this baby's already at 128 after 4 days. Can't deny the impressiveness of that, whether you like the movie or not.

 

[redfirebird2008]

Not only that, but it's the biggest opening for a Superhero Origin film, and it opened more than twice as big as the last Superman feature did. I mean Returns made 200 million in its entire US run, and this baby's already at 128 after 4 days. Can't deny the impressiveness of that, whether you like the movie or not.

Hoping for $350m.

 

[rashad]

Gitesh Pandya‏@giteshpandya

Intl opening of #ManOfSteel also higher than projected. $73.3M, global debut of $202M despite many key mkts not opening yet.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Hoping for $350m.

Next week will be important for this. If it holds strong, it is possible. But right now I am thinking somewhere between 285-305mil.

 

[Pickleweasel]

I think MOS 3rd weekend might be similar to its 2nd weekend. There is really nothing coming out that weekend

 

[Liam_H]

The Heat and White House Down will be competition. The former has a good chance of breaking out.

 

[Lily Adler]

I think World War Z will be the biggest threat right now.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I think World War Z will be the biggest threat right now.

Monster U is the biggest problem imo.

 

[redfirebird2008]

Monster U is the biggest problem imo.

They are both a problem due to taking screens from MOS.

 

[GreenKToo]

I'm still thinking 315 dom.

 

[Bruce Malone]

The Heat and White House Down will be competition. The former has a good chance of breaking out.

The Heat is more counter programming than anything in my mind. I'm pretty sure also a lot audiences are confused in that they thought that white house down movie came out a few months ago?

I think WHD coming out so soon after Olympus has fallen almost makes it look like it's a parody film at this point lol

 

[Pickleweasel]

White house down isn't doing numbers

 

[ThePhantasm]

Its hard for me to be impressed by the World War Z trailers. Something about it feels bland.

Monsters U, however, I'm highly anticipating. It could maybe hurt MOS ticket sales, hard to tell.

 

[Liam_H]

Anything released in the next three weeks that do decent numbers will hurt MoS. Unless they all underperform or bomb.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Next week will be important for this. If it holds strong, it is possible. But right now I am thinking somewhere between 285-305mil.

WOM is pretty good, it's a non-sequel and June releases are also less frontloaded.

I think it can manage a 2.6 multiplier at the very least.

 

[jacobed]

The word of mouth right now seems really crazy especially around here. Its all I hear, hey see Superman. Going to see Superman tonight? Saw Superman and I want to go again. Its TDK all over again.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

They are both a problem due to taking screens from MOS.

I don't see MoS losing that many screens that it will have much effect. There are plenty of older films that will simply be reduced to sharing screens, and being show 2 or 3 times a day. Any reduction in screens will be fine, considering demand can't possibly be as big as last weekend.

WOM is pretty good, it's a non-sequel and June releases are also less frontloaded.

I think it can manage a 2.6 multiplier at the very least.

With what else is coming out? Not so sure.

 

[CB Fan]

It's a good Father's Day film with 2 important father figures for Supes. If anything I'd have liked to see even more of that.

This. The movie was truly released at a great time because Supes has not one but two father figures that guide him and help him to become the man that he is and the movie takes time to develop that on screen which makes for perfect Father's Day viewing.

Its gonna do well next week but I'm not sure how well as Monsters University will probably do big business this isn't just a movie kids are looking forward to its a movie adults who were kids when the first one came out are looking forward to as well. WWZ could go either way though.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Anything released in the next three weeks that do decent numbers will hurt MoS. Unless they all underperform or bomb.

WOM is king.

Avatar was released around the same time as Alvin and the Chipmunks and Sherlock Holmes.

Both blockbusters in their own right.

 

[Pickle-El]

Went to see it at 1150AM in 2D IMAX in Burbank...was about 75% full.

The audience was really mellow until the ending credits...they cheered more than my 12AM showing. I took off right away, but they seemed to stick around awaiting a credits scene. Whoops!

Btw, 2nd time around was MUCH better.....expectations out of the way, and you can just enjoy it.

 

[UrNuts2]

also FB likes has spiked over last 2 weeks from around 650 000 to 1 034 000 right now .. another good sign of WOM ..

it may well be possible that MoS might flirt with the 400m WW range come close after its 2nd weekend considering it being released in additional 27 markets with some major markets thrown in there .. after that it'll run for at least another 10 weeks .. likely more

so the the 10 day WW cume would give a better idea of where it might end up all told

 

[manofsteel4life]

Yep....I've seen it 4 times already lol.....my girlfriend said if I go see it again shes leaving me lol.....I gave her a hug and said" I promise babe no more" than I turn around like Michael Jackson did at the end of thriller lol