Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread

[kedrell]

Ow: 85m
dom: 265m
os: 310m
ww: 575m

 

[Tyrone Parker]

LMAO at all these under 100 mil opening weekends.

I hope you guys are not making any bets. Youll lose your ass.

 

[Liam_H]

Besides this is the Superman movie we've all been waiting for with all its action, why are you so sure.

23 movies have opened north of $100 million. How many of those were in June, 2. And those two were established franchises.

 

[kedrell]

Exactly. There's tons more precedent for MoS opening south of $100M than north of it. Can it break $100M OW? Anything is possible, but how probable is it? I'd guestimate it has a 25% chance at $100M or better.

 

[Skrilla31]

I'm sorry, but Superman fans act like this is still the 40's-70's where Superman was absolutely THE man when it came to superheroes. Truth be told, not only have Bats and Spidey been competition for at least 25 years, they've become more popular than Supes in general.

Superman ain't Jesus Christ in this situation...he's Elvis and he's trying to prove that he can keep up with The Beatles.

By that rationale, Edward Cullen has become a more popular vampire than Count Dracula... right?

Superman is the character that defines the superhero genre. Superman is the character that defines the superhero mythology. You simply can't associate a wavering film franchise with the decline in the character's overall popularity because the character has become larger than just films. That's almost like gauging the popularity of Santa Claus on the box office returns of Fred Claus (okay not quite... but you get the idea).

The point is Superman is more than a character. He's a symbol. He's an idea. He DEFINES that cut of mythology. And yea, Superman Returns wasn't received well but who cares? Did that make the S shield any less recognizable? Or the iconic John Williams score any less recognizable? The fact is Superman is still more "engrained" in our culture than any other superhero, regardless of the box office.

 

[Tyrone Parker]

Besides this is the Superman movie we've all been waiting for with all its action, why are you so sure.

23 movies have opened north of $100 million. How many of those were in June, 2. And those two were established franchises.

Your basing it off of what other movies have done.

This a new game here and the fact that its a lot easier for a movie make over 100 mil today with 3d and imax prices plus inflation.

 

[Liam_H]

Well of course but that doesn't make it a lock for $100 million the way you seem to imply. IM3 is a lock, this movie not so much.

 

[Tyrone Parker]

Well of course but that doesn't make it a lock for $100 million the way you seem to imply. IM3 is a lock, this movie not so much.

This movie is going to be huge either way.

Dont be surprised it grosses higher than IM3.

 

[kedrell]

Not happening.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Iron Man 3's opening date is way better than Man of Steel's and Iron Man is following two films that opened huge and this Iron Man is following his appearance in a 600 million dollar grossing film. Maybe I'll be wrong like I was last year when I thought Batman was going to outgross The Avengers but I have IM3 doing 375mil.

My predictions for all the comicbook movies:

Iron Man 3-375mil
Man of Steel-260mil
The Wolverine 155mil

 

[Mysteryman]

I agree with you ,but Ouch for The Wolverine .

 

[Mr. Dent]

OW: $105m
DOM: $310m
INT: $420m
WW: $730m

I expect it to do either moderately better or worse than this, but it will remain in the range of $700-800m.

 

[DarthAlani]

IM3 will out gross MOS. It has too much going for it. However if MOS is as good as we hope, the sequel will crush IM.

 

[Ita-KalEl]

Anything over 500m ww will be great for this movie. I think tha it will be the restart that at WB they have been waiting for decades

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

Iron Man 3's opening date is way better than Man of Steel's and Iron Man is following two films that opened huge and this Iron Man is following his appearance in a 600 million dollar grossing film. Maybe I'll be wrong like I was last year when I thought Batman was going to outgross The Avengers but I have IM3 doing 375mil.

My predictions for all the comicbook movies:

Iron Man 3-375mil
Man of Steel-260mil
The Wolverine 155mil

Agreed.

I expect to see an overall box office performance slightly stronger than that of Batman Begins, but a similar situation where it's the sequel that really takes this franchise to the next level. And there's nothing wrong with that.

 

[Notrip]

Ok, MOS will not make more than IM3, just isn't going to happen. a reboot NEVER does impressive numbers. So if we base it off of the numbers of SR and inflation with 3D prices and IMAX. Other factors will include if word of Mouth (which is better now thanks to more social networks/users) and reviews are better and say a rotten tomato rating of 80% or higher. (Plus the boom of superhero movies over the last 5 years beginning with IM) you will probably see this:

101 million OW
315 Domestic
766 WW

And that would put MOS2 in position to absolutely dominate at the BO!
*SR had a 65 million opening with no 3D/IMAX3D and it opened on Wed. - grossed 35 million Wed/Thur (These are inflation numbers) So MOS grossing 100 million OW is not out of the question.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Ok, MOS will not make more than IM3, just isn't going to happen. a reboot NEVER does impressive numbers. So if we base it off of the numbers of SR and inflation with 3D prices and IMAX. Other factors will include if word of Mouth (which is better now thanks to more social networks/users) and reviews are better and say a rotten tomato rating of 80% or higher. (Plus the boom of superhero movies over the last 5 years beginning with IM) you will probably see this:

101 million OW
315 Domestic
766 WW

And that would put MOS2 in position to absolutely dominate at the BO!
*SR had a 65 million opening with no 3D/IMAX3D and it opened on Wed. - grossed 35 million Wed/Thur (These are inflation numbers) So MOS grossing 100 million OW is not out of the question.

Uh, those would be impressive numbers and yes huge. Reboot or not.

 

[KangConquers]

Man of Steel's not beating either Iron Man 3 or Star Trek: Into Darkness domestically, though it might beat Star Trek worldwide.

If Man of Steel does Amazing Spider-Man numbers, WB should be tickled pink. That would make it the third highest grossing unadjusted franchise kick off in comic book movie history, behind Avengers (which no film is going to outgross until at least 2015 when A2, JLA, Star Wars and Avatar 2 drop) and the original Spider-Man.

The truth is, Superman is a bit of a fallen hero. 35 years ago, Superman: The Movie had ticket sales that roughly equated to $1 Billion worldwide in 2013, but Superman stock was higher back then.

Superman had a rough 90s. After 50 years of being unquestionably the top superhero in the world, he (and a lot of other popular golden age heroes like Wonder Woman and Captain America) took a hit in popularity for being a bit too wholesome for the Nirvana generation. The 00s weren't as disastrous for him, but there was Superman Returns, a film met with mediocre reception.

If Man of Steel is good, it will re-establish the character for this decade, but I think it will take at least one more film before we see a Superman "pop culture event" on the level of Superman: The Movie, Spider-Man, The Dark Knight, or The Avengers.

 

[hopefuldreamer]

I think if any reboot stood a good chance of doing impressive numbers, it'd be this one.

It has so much more going for it than most reboots do when they start.

 

[KangConquers]

I am incredibly anti-Snyder, so I'm still very guarded about this film. I want it to be great, but I'm very wait and see.

 

[dnno1]

This movie is going to be huge either way.

Dont be surprised it grosses higher than IM3.

Not happening.

If you play the law of averages, then you have to assume that a rebooted franchise like Superman will not out gross a well established franchise like Iron Man in its second sequel. Then again, this is the Superman franchise and a good Superman film has always wound up being the first or second highest grossing film in that year it was released. Let's hope that the trend continues.

 

[JOE]

This movie is going to be huge either way.

Dont be surprised it grosses higher than IM3.

I think a lot of people would be surprised.

All the best to MOS, I have a really good feeling about this movie and I love what I've seen so far. But Iron Man has already had 2 of his own successful movies, the origin being one of the best superhero movies of all time, IMO. Not to mention he was a lead role in THE biggest superhero movie of all time (1.5 billion). To say that a reboot of Superman (with a less popular 2006 SR being the last instalment of that hero) will surpass an established franchise made of gold is more than ignorant, it's absurd.

 

[Ita-KalEl]

I hope that people will not start AGAIN the nonsense of "it has to beat xxxx to be a success". I remember a lot of people that called TDKR a disappointment or even a flop because it did less than The Avengers...

 

[The Shield]

Is it weird that I'm too chicken to place a vote on how much it will make?

 

[KangConquers]

I hope that people will not start AGAIN the nonsense of "it has to beat xxxx to be a success". I remember a lot of people that called TDKR a disappointment or even a flop because it did less than The Avengers...

Given what we know about the budget (220 M) with a presumed 50-100 M marketing, the only thing it has to do is grossing between $550-600 M to be a success. Anything else is bragging rights.