Thor: Ragnarok Box Office Prediction - Part 1

[MessiahDecoy123]

I agree.

Around 320 m will be the final total.

Who thought the follow up to Thor The Dark World would make 320 m DOM?

 

[Krystal]

How much more does it have overseas?

$10-15?

 

[StarLord]

$816 million worldwide... amazing!

 

[Tymminator]

Yeah, the weekend hold was a little better than estimated. $9,885,936(-41.4%) for the weekend.

After Thanksgiving weekend, you would expect it to drop a little over 50% under normal circumstances. Like we said before, the timing of this very good hold suggests that the Infinity War trailer gave Ragnarok a nice boost. It also had a good internal multiplier so it doesn't look like it will be a short spike either. If it was that would have lead to a bigger drop next weekend as things went back to normal again, but it seems like that won't be the case here.

Following Doctor Strange after that weekend number would mean a domestic total of $317.0M. It has one more weekend left before Star Wars hits, and the weekend after it'll be hit hard again with a barrage of wide releases which will require a lot of screens. Hopefully it can hold on to its screens at least as well as Doctor Strange did while facing Rogue One and a group of wide releases the following week as well. If it loses fewer theaters than Doctor Strange before Christmas, it would have a good shot at reaching $320M+.

I think another factor that helped was nothing new was really introduced in a wide enough release to effect this week.

 

[russian gal]

amazing #s! This movie deserves this & more! (too bad it cant beat GOTG2)

The world needs Taika Waititi's Thor Ragnarok 2.0

totally !!

& I dont think it means 'milking a cash cow' at all.
TR is the biggest & actually 1st true Thor super blockbuster
1st one & TWD didnt get even close to 800mil
People are clearly loving the style & feel of this Thor

+ selfishly speaking, I already have my favourite character only as supporting (Hulk/Bruce) so if they make my 2nd fave one just supporting too I'd be pretty sad. a Thor movie as a title character has a lot of potential especially with Taika!

As for the idea od Earth based Thor imo TR showed that space based movie has way more appeal for cool production design & tricks. I'd be way more excited to see this type of story rather than "Dr Strange on earth feat Thor"

 

[Iceman]

Thor 4 and no Earth please!

 

[HammerDown]

International comparison.

Overseas ---- TR -------- SM:HC

China -------- 112.1M ---- 118.8M
U.K. ---------- 39.7 ------- 39.5
Korea -------- 35.8 ------- 51.5
Brazil -------- 29.9 ------- 31.8
Australia ----- 25 --------- 19.7
Russia ------- 23.3 ------- 16.3
Mexico ------ 20.7 -------- 27
France ------ 20.1 -------- 18.7
Germany ---- 18.1 ------- 11.6
Indonesia --- 11.7 ------- 12.3
India -------- 11.7 ------- 11.4
Italy --------- 10.3 ------ 10.1
Taiwan ------- 10.3 ------ 9.6
Spain -------- 10.3 ------ 11.9
Japan -------- 9.8 ------- 25.3
Philipines ---- 7.8 ------- 7.5
Malaysia ----- 7.1 ------- 6.7

Totals:
Spider-Man: Homecoming - 545M
Thor Ragnarok - 525M *

*Over a month into it's run.

 

[First Avenger]

International comparison.

Overseas ---- TR -------- SM:HC

China -------- 112.1M ---- 118.8M
U.K. ---------- 39.7 ------- 39.5
Korea -------- 35.8 ------- 51.5
Brazil -------- 29.9 ------- 31.8
Australia ----- 25 --------- 19.7
Russia ------- 23.3 ------- 16.3
Mexico ------ 20.7 -------- 27
France ------ 20.1 -------- 18.7
Germany ---- 18.1 ------- 11.6
Indonesia --- 11.7 ------- 12.3
India -------- 11.7 ------- 11.4
Italy --------- 10.3 ------ 10.1
Taiwan ------- 10.3 ------ 9.6
Spain -------- 10.3 ------ 11.9
Japan -------- 9.8 ------- 25.3
Philipines ---- 7.8 ------- 7.5
Malaysia ----- 7.1 ------- 6.7

Totals:
Spider-Man: Homecoming - 545M
Thor Ragnarok - 525M *

*Over a month into it's run.

Damn it's getting close to Spidey!

 

[Iceman]

Much more than I could have guessed.

I agree.

Around 320 m will be the final total.

Who thought the follow up to Thor The Dark World would make 320 m DOM?

 

[Iceman]

Damn it's getting close to Spidey!

Pretty crazy that Thor is in Spidey's ballpark.

 

[spider-neil]

Pretty crazy that Thor is in Spidey's ballpark.

Spidey had 3 (perceived) bad movies to overcome.

 

[Zyraquis]

Japan and South Korea make the biggest differences. Didn’t realize they love Spider-Man that much.

But well done for almost all characters bar Hulk pretty much unheard of before the MCU movies. And the director and a few key actors too

 

[Ragnaroknroll]

I agree.

Around 320 m will be the final total.

Who thought the follow up to Thor The Dark World would make 320 m DOM?

Clearly this movie is benefiting from the momentum generated by the incredibly underrated Dark World.

 

[iEquinox]

The OS number was also slightly higher than estimated. $6,627,341(-43.5%) for the weekend, $526,125,705 in total. Good hold. Following Doctor Strange OS after this would get it to about $540M OS.

$850M+ is looking much more likely now than it did last week.

Actuals after the weekend:
Domestic: $291,633,535
+ Foreign: $526,125,705
= Worldwide: $817,759,240

 

[warriorking]

So two more milestones fall this weekend..
300 Million Domestic ...
And it surpasses Wonder Women World wide...
Who would have imagined when all is said and done that TR will have grossed nearly 200 Million more than Justice League...
The Marvel staff will see a nice bonus in their Xmas stockings this year......

 

[warriorking]

https://youtu.be/4L2lqy6EaZA?list=RD4L2lqy6EaZA&t=47

Clearly this movie is benefiting from the momentum generated by the incredibly underrated Dark World.

Still to this day the Funeral scene and score brings a tear to my eyes..

https://youtu.be/4L2lqy6EaZA?list=RD4L2lqy6EaZA&t=7

 

[Ragnaroknroll]

Still to this day the Funeral scene and score brings a tear to my eyes..

That scene was amazing.

 

[Krystal]

Monday $753,838 -- 32nd day Dom total-- $292, 387, 373

JL had only $1,138,122 -- 18th day

 

[warriorking]

About right...
Will probably be around 295 to 296 Million by Friday..
It will clear 300 Million by Monday for sure...

 

[iEquinox]

It dropped only 13.6% from last Monday, great hold. On track to hit $300M next weekend.

Hoping it can keep up with Doctor Strange again next weekend. Doctor Strange dropped only 32.1%, so Ragnarok will need $6.71M to match that.

The 2 weekends after that is when it will face tough competition. First it'll take a hit from Star Wars, and the weekend after that the theater count will probably take an even bigger hit because of the sheer amount of new wide releases. But since we're using Doctor Strange as a comparison big theater losses for those weeks are already accounted for. Hope it can hold on to its theaters at least as well as(if not better than) Doctor Strange did. Ragnarok certainly has a few advantages over DS there, but on the other hand the competition its facing is also a bit stronger.

 

[ultradog]

The other MCU 2nd sequels, IM3 And Civil War, had multipliers of 2.35 and 2.28 respectively.

T:R needed only $289M to become the MCU 2nd sequel with the best legs.

It should also beat 3 of the 5 MCU 1st sequel's legs by the time it is done, with a final multiplier close to 2.6.

 

[Surfer]

It looks like Thor Ragnarok should be passing Wonder Woman's World Wide numbers some time later this week.

Surfer

 

[russian gal]

Thor 4 and no Earth please!

this!

International comparison.

Overseas ---- TR -------- SM:HC

Could you make the comp with all SMH TR & GOTG2??


what a great Mon hold!!
i really hope this positive tendency lets TR hold to more screens facing TLJ!

 

[Iceman]

It looks like Thor Ragnarok should be passing Wonder Woman's World Wide numbers some time later this week.

Surfer

Excellent! Another big achievement. Love both of those characters.

 

[Krystal]

Tuesday $1,023,330 -- 33rd day Dom total-- $293,410,703