BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - - Part 13

[Poni_Boy]

BvS will make a profit. Like it or not.
The problem is they have ruined the anticipation for JL for over half the folks who saw BvS.

Anywho, 25/30 mill this next weekend, 10/15 the next.

25/30 mil would actually not be a bad drop all things considered

 

[Raiden]

BvS will make a profit. Like it or not.
The problem is they have ruined the anticipation for JL for over half the folks who saw BvS.

Anywho, 25/30 mill this next weekend, 10/15 the next.

ASM2 made a profit, but clearly it was still perceived as a disappointment by Sony. It will be the same for BVS.

 

[GreenKToo]

25/30 mil would actually not be a bad drop all things considered

It may be more, who knows. Predicting this thing has been like getting a tooth pulled.

 

[Kobra]

BvS will make a profit. Like it or not.
The problem is they have ruined the anticipation for JL for over half the folks who saw BvS.

Anywho, 25/30 mill this next weekend, 10/15 the next.

"over half"



I'm still wondering how some of you come up with these "facts"

 

[GreenKToo]

Easy. The, gasp, BO.

 

[GR8GODZILLAGOD]

I wonder how many times people here have had to repeat the whole cinemascore, BO, Tweet ratio, and the RT percentage statistics in this thread when it comes to viewer reception.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

So for some box office talk, where do you guys see this ranking for 2016, both domestically and WW?

Domestically, I could see it finishing behind Deadpool, Zootopia, Civil War, Dory, and Rogue One. Maybe Moana and Fantastic Beasts as well.

Internationally, I imagine Zootopia, Civil War, Dory, Rogue One, and Ice Age 5 may finish higher. Other notable films that might have an outside or very slim chance at beating it: Jungle Book, Alice, XMA, ID4, BFG, SS, Doctor Strange, Moana, and Passengers.

I wouldn't sleep on Resurgence. I think it's chances are far better than outside or slim.

 

[Poni_Boy]

I wonder how many times people here have had to repeat the whole cinemascore, BO, Tweet ratio, and the RT percentage statistics in this thread.

It doesn't matter because every time we do these same four jokers ignore it and miraculously disappear, then show up again hours later with the exact same comments

 

[Poni_Boy]

ASM2 made a profit, but clearly it was still perceived as a disappointment by Sony. It will be the same for BVS.

Maybe I'm remembering wrong but I think they had to wait till home release sales and TV/cable rights before turning a profit on that one. If the BO keeps trending this way for BvS then WB will be in the same situation. Guess the biggest disappointment is the same for both properties: unclear cinematic future

 

[johnboy3434]

So, I'm thinking 3.5 for Tue. It will be interesting to see if discount Tue actually helps this time.

I'm going to live dangerously and say $3.4 million. That's actually what I said for Monday, but then BvS had to go all underachiever on me.

 

[Maximum_Maximus]

The biggest problem is the long term ramification, especially when it comes to WW and JL. There is no reason to expect those films to do better, and considering how MoS and BvS did at the box office, they should do much worse without a big turn around in the reviews.

One possible ramification from the disappointing BO numbers is WB getting leery of pumping more money into a franchise that may not get good returns on the investment and settle for safer ones like Batman. Delaying JL seems inevitable to me at this point. Not sure if they want to spend another $400-500 mil or maybe more for a JL movie when they can save a lot of that money on a Batman solo flick. We will know soon what WB decides to do.

 

[Gerontophobe]

I wouldn't sleep on Resurgence. I think it's chances are far better than outside or slim.

I don't know what to expect for it. The original made $817M back in 1996, before major international market expansion as well as PLF and 3D adoption. Adjusting for inflation, it made over $600M domestically.

The best comparable title might be Jurassic World but I feel like that was an exception to the rule, namely that most very late sequels tend to do poorly. Granted, most of the examples we have are for films much smaller than ID4.

 

[Atharun]

ya know, for only being in theaters for 13 days, I am confident this movie will hit closer to 900 overall. I mean, for goodness' sake, by then end of the month between domestic and international, It'll do alright. Will it be some super billion mega money maker, prob not but the truth is it is making some decent cash so far.

I enjoyed the movie and hope it does well.

 

[Pickle-El]

So, I'm thinking 3.5 for Tue. It will be interesting to see if discount Tue actually helps this time.

I'll see your %9.5+ from Monday and raise to 16%+ for a $3.7 million Tuesday.

 

[jmc]

Fantastic Beasts is a tricky one. Honestly will have to see it beforehand predicting BO expectations. It could very well be a BvS situation where the characters aren't what the majority of people/HP fanbase want. OR it could be WB's big hit of the year.

A friend of mine is a massive Potter fan, I'll ask her what her thoughts are on Fantastic Beasts next time I talk to her. Potter is undoubtedly the Star Wars for the kids of the 80's and 90's, I imagine WB are banking on them to make Fantastic Beasts a hit. If FB works and draws the Potter crowd in then that might offset the box office problems facing JL, then again FB is at present only planned as trilogy, so it's only a short term solution unless Rowling agrees to expand beyond 3 films.

If FB doesn't really work or under performs, well I'm not sure what WB does. BvS literally let slip hundred of millions of dollars due to its quality, and it's going to be difficult to hype up JL after this because the novelty factor is now gone. Avengers saw a decline in box office from film one to film two, at present it's hard to see JL not doing the same, especially since it's likely not going to feature Superman heavily. All the pressure is sadly on Gal Gadot right now, which is entirely unfair to her. Suicide Squad I feel won't change things much regardless of its quality. It's funny that BvS was suppose to course correct things after MoS and now BvS has just made things worse.

 

[kalelvis]

It is going to be interesting to see what happens over the next few weeks in the BvS box office and the JL behind the scenes.

I think the ga is generally more forgiving of franchises that due fared fans. Look at the mixed reception the hp films got from the most dedicated fans. James Bond is another good example of a franchise that has seen good and bad days. Make a good well received film and people will watch it.

 

[Tymminator]

For weekends I'll stick with my original guess of 20 million this week and I'll add a 8.5 million for the week after that.

 

[kguillou]

Next Monday is going to be a very interesting day indeed. That's the day JL commences principal photography right?

 

[SomeOldGuy]

I don't know what to expect for it. The original made $817M back in 1996, before major international market expansion as well as PLF and 3D adoption. Adjusting for inflation, it made over $600M domestically.

The best comparable title might be Jurassic World but I feel like that was an exception to the rule, namely that most very late sequels tend to do poorly. Granted, most of the examples we have are for films much smaller than ID4.

I can't speak to the OS piece but domestically it's got a huge nostalgia factor for both people who were kids and adults in the 90s, it's played forever on TV, and the sequel is returning most of the cast except for Will Smith, which might be a plus considering everything he touches now turns to poop. If it can hit the "big dumb pew pew pew fun" factor of the original, it will bust theater doors. I like what I've seen so far in trailers but we'll see.

 

[Flint Marko]

I LOVED Independence Day as a kid (haven't seen it since grade school) but I'm one of the few people not even remotely interested in the sequel. If will smith were back I'd be on board though.

 

[kalelvis]

Next Monday is going to be a very interesting day indeed. That's the day JL commences principal photography right?

It is supposed to but you never know. The cast should be gathering in prep for the shoot over the couple of days. That would be one thing to watch for. My guess is that it is moving forward. But if the box tumbles even further you just never know.

 

[kalelvis]

The Boss is finally popping up on on line ticket tracking. Right now BvS is holding spots 1 (2d) and 4 (3D). Zootopia is at number 2 and the Boss is at number three. The boss can be expected to pick up steam over the next couple of days before it starts showing on Thursday night. If the Boss wins Thursday night there is a good chance it will take the top spot this weekend. There is still a chance to see the sports and zombie fans who didn't go to the movies show up for BvS this weekend and help stabilize its numbers. Zootopia beat bvs in the Monday box office in London, so like I said yesterday it might actually be the movie to take the top spot if BvS stays on such a down hill trajectory.

 

[Petelancer]

I think they should release the full 3+ hour extended fleshed out cut in a couple of months and with some solid advertising there could be a lot more theatrical revenue generated. Plus we get to see the full version of what is currently a terribly edited non-sensical film

 

[akfj]

If audiences weren't drawn to the 2.5 hour version of the movie, I don't know why they would pay a ticket to see 30 more minutes of the same movie. They'd be better off releasing a shortened version, at least that would get more screenings in.

 

[JtheDreamer]

If audiences weren't drawn to the 2.5 hour version of the movie, I don't know why they would pay a ticket to see 30 more minutes of the same movie. They'd be better off releasing a shortened version, at least that would get more screenings in.

Only fanboys and CB enthusiasts would pay to sit in a movie that long that without any real previous cache built up.