Civil War Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Erzengel]

Isn't there pirating for every movie, though?

 

[Johnglen]

Apparently the movie did 13.7 million in Tuesday, better than AOU . Wom seems to be kicking in .

 

[Iceman]

Lovely number!

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Isn't there pirating for every movie, though?

Yup. This one, however, is being described by bot's China posters as a fairly high-quality copy complete with Chinese subtitles. Pirates are stepping up their game.

 

[JOE]

I'm buying tickets to watch the movie again tonight at 7pm. Theatre is almost full, I'm shocked.

 

[take3]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/730415045495148544
Based on 5day start, WOM & calendar ahead, I forecast final domestic gross for #CaptainAmericaCivilWar to be $430-440M. Global $1.3-1.4B.

 

[Chesterfield]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/730415045495148544
Based on 5day start, WOM & calendar ahead, I forecast final domestic gross for #CaptainAmericaCivilWar to be $430-440M. Global $1.3-1.4B.

We'll see.

 

[Kanon]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/730415045495148544
Based on 5day start, WOM & calendar ahead, I forecast final domestic gross for #CaptainAmericaCivilWar to be $430-440M. Global $1.3-1.4B.

Seems about right. Multiplier a little under IM3.

 

[Superhero 101]

theres apparently a fairly high quality leak of the movie out so pirating may be an issue for this movie going forward.

Damn pirates...

 

[Joeyjojo72]

What's this guy's track record prediction wise?

 

[Silver Surfer]

What's this guy's track record prediction wise?

He always likes to pick conservatively. 470 is the median for this movie, with a shot at 500 mil

 

[Kanon]

Apparently the movie did 13.7 million in Tuesday, better than AOU . Wom seems to be kicking in .

That makes it the new fifth fastest movie to reach 200M

1-Star Wars: The Force Awakens (3 days to $247,966,675)
2-Jurassic World (3 days to $208,806,270)
3-Marvel's The Avengers (3 days to $207,438,708)
4-Avengers: Age of Ultron (4 days to $204,499,664)
5-Captain America Civil War (5 days to aprox. $206,131,018)
6-The Dark Knight (5 days to $203,773,518)

 

[Kanon]

Yup. This one, however, is being described by bot's China posters as a fairly high-quality copy complete with Chinese subtitles. Pirates are stepping up their game.

I checked out those releases. Superior quality indeed, I have never seen such quality pirated copy this close to release. Looks almost like a web rip.

 

[gerrym51]

Gitesh is usually high.

We will not really know about this until the end of the next weekend.

Tuesdays in Canada are discount days. most movies bump up tuiesdays in NA because of the discount.

BvS did not allow the discount on the first tuesday and suffered for it.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

So, guys, do we still think Civil War can hit a billion dollars globally this weekend? I mean it made $32.7M yesterday, $600K ahead of Monday's global number.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

So, guys, do we still think Civil War can hit a billion dollars globally this weekend? I mean it made $32.7M yesterday, $600K ahead of Monday's global number.

If pirating weren't biting into China's numbers so hard I'd say yes but now I don't know. Got a feeling it ends up in the high 900s after Sunday.

 

[ImSGirl95]

China Box Office ‏@ChinaBoxOffice 1h1 hour ago CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR earned est $6.6M on Wed. China's total now $119.7M, becomes #2 Marvel film behind Ultron

 

[Ctfxcwatcher]

Great Tuesday number.

 

[StormC]

Ugh, that pirating sucks. Still, how much business would it even knock off? 50 million or so max?

 

[ImSGirl95]

Ugh, that pirating sucks. Still, how much business would it even knock off? 50 million or so max?

I hope it doesn't that big of an effect to the boxoffice

 

[AvengerPA]

I predict a $90 million second weekend, a $500 million domestic finish, and $1 billion in international gross.

 

[Jeight]

So it just hit me. Is RDJ the highest-grossing actor of all time or is he getting there. I mean 1 bill is a lock for CW so that would make his last 4 (!!!!) MCU to have grossed over 1 bill. Damn!!!!

 

[gerrym51]

I predict a $90 million second weekend, a $500 million domestic finish, and $1 billion in international gross.

If it makes 500 million domestic it will end way over a billion

 

[Erzengel]

I think he means $1.5B. $500M Domestic plus $1B OS.

 

[InCali]

I predict a $90 million second weekend, a $500 million domestic finish, and $1 billion in international gross.

Shoot for the stars!!!