Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

Discussion in 'Captain America: Civil War' started by Thread Manager, Jun 6, 2016.

  1. kedrell Fork&SpoonOperator

    Joined:
    Jun 15, 2006
    Messages:
    21,379
    Likes Received:
    3
    It's gonna be a real squeker as to whether it or IM3 prevails DOM. They should finish within less than $1m of each other. WW however is done. IM3 will remain on top now.
     
  2. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

    Joined:
    Aug 7, 2014
    Messages:
    12,685
    Likes Received:
    4,546
    Summertime and us parents get sucked into watching cartoons by the curtain crawlers....repeatedly.....I don't even want to think about how many times I saw Lion King and Shrek...ugh.....
     
  3. Ctfxcwatcher Registered

    Joined:
    Apr 9, 2016
    Messages:
    395
    Likes Received:
    137

    Wow...
     
  4. KangConquers Purple Kang, Purple Kang

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2004
    Messages:
    7,158
    Likes Received:
    7
    They would be kind of inflated by the fact that China has grown exponentially in the past 3-4 years. China accounted for 25.4% of Civil War's foreign, 25.3% of AoU's and only 9.5% of A1's.

    Age of Ultron would narrowly beat Avengers 1 in "Chinese free" Foreign Box office total ticket sales. Civil War wouldn't. It makes it all really complicated to truly compare how films really did, but rest assured, the MCU isn't starting to bomb abroad. A stronger American dollar is just deflating the total.
     
  5. ImSGirl95 Doreen Green

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2015
    Messages:
    2,741
    Likes Received:
    12
    The MCU won't start to bomb in the near years.
     
  6. Doctor Octopus Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 8, 2006
    Messages:
    4,422
    Likes Received:
    1
    Agreed. It show no signs of slowing down. Ant-Man is character nobody heard of and he make good success. Marvel know how to make money.
     
  7. gerrym51 Registered

    Joined:
    May 5, 2014
    Messages:
    937
    Likes Received:
    19
    Has this finished overseas?
     
  8. metaphysician Not a Side-Kick

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2012
    Messages:
    12,337
    Likes Received:
    824
    *checks* Not quite, but close. It still made something well over 100K overseas last weekend.
     
  9. ironman_rick Registered

    Joined:
    May 22, 2010
    Messages:
    914
    Likes Received:
    192
    Looks like CW will be the 2nd highest grosser (domestic at least) this summer. Finding Dory is on target to hit $500M domestic ....
     
  10. Chesterfield Registered

    Joined:
    Nov 30, 2014
    Messages:
    4,134
    Likes Received:
    328
    The overseas numbers for Dory seem to be a little low.
     
  11. Zant Registered

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2009
    Messages:
    2,458
    Likes Received:
    64
    Japan should add another 100mil when its released there.
     
  12. Ozbridge Registered

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2016
    Messages:
    1,303
    Likes Received:
    112
    Dory has very, very staggered release, hasn't been opened in big markets like UK, Korea, Japan (which should indeed add about 100M+), Mexico, Germany, Italy, Spain, etc. I'm in Europe and I have to wait till mid-August.

    Back to CW, even though it can't match IR3 BO either DOM or OS but it's helped the MCU BO to cross 10B WW and today (July 4th) it'll cross 4B DOM.

    Disney has made 7.94B WW from the movies they distributed, which means roughly 4B revenue, minus 1.65B (total budget of those movies) and they get 2.35B profit. That means they're more than half way getting back the 4.24B they spent to buy Marvel back in 2009.

    (Obviously I have ignored the profit from other sources like merchandising, tie-ins, TV rights... for obvious reasons.)
     
  13. Chesterfield Registered

    Joined:
    Nov 30, 2014
    Messages:
    4,134
    Likes Received:
    328
    Damn I didn't realise Dory hadn't opened up in so many overseas markets. It definitely makes sense as to why the numbers appear low. It was just a bit jarring to see compared to the domestic intake.
     
  14. KangConquers Purple Kang, Purple Kang

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2004
    Messages:
    7,158
    Likes Received:
    7
    Civil War is still tracking ahead of IM3 domestic by $100k, and made $6k more than it Tuesday. It hasn't failed domestically yet.
     
  15. Doctor Octopus Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 8, 2006
    Messages:
    4,422
    Likes Received:
    1
    They both great movies.
     
  16. marcvader Lurker #1

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2006
    Messages:
    13,124
    Likes Received:
    8
    So far:

    Domestic: $405,730,681 35.3%
    + Foreign: $744,357,830 64.7%
    = Worldwide: $1,150,088,511

    Fantastic numbers.
     
    #116 marcvader, Jul 6, 2016
    Last edited: Jul 6, 2016
  17. Ozbridge Registered

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2016
    Messages:
    1,303
    Likes Received:
    112
    No CW only tracks ahead IM3 by 44k and made 1.9k more on Tuesday. And that's because for some reason IM3 didn't have Tuesday boost while CW's Tuesday is its "organic" Tuesday.

    CW might magically have stronger leg at the very end of its run but I won't (and don't advise anyone to) hold breath.
     
  18. Doctor Octopus Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 8, 2006
    Messages:
    4,422
    Likes Received:
    1
    Brilliant numbers.
     
  19. Ozbridge Registered

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2016
    Messages:
    1,303
    Likes Received:
    112
    CA:CW ended its theatrical run last Thursday with 408.084M DOM and 1.153B WW. It didn't passes IM3 (neither DOM nor WW) but it passes Hunger Games and is No 19 DOM right now (will be No 20 at the end of the year) so it's a quite ok. Final multiplier is 2.278X.

    On other note I don't understand why Jungle Book, which was released 3 weeks before CW, is still in theaters and still making money.
     
  20. AlluAllu Registered

    Joined:
    May 6, 2016
    Messages:
    1,405
    Likes Received:
    30
    Civil War's core audience looked forward to the film and went to see it as soon as possible. Whereas Jungle Book is that kind of a movie that attracts families who decide to go see something at movies.
     
  21. I Am The Knight Tonight's a good night.

    Joined:
    May 10, 2005
    Messages:
    23,975
    Likes Received:
    2,409
    I feel like this film didn't quite break out the way it was supposed to. I mean it did great, but not as great as I hoped it would.
     
  22. Vincanws Registered

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2014
    Messages:
    357
    Likes Received:
    1
    How much did you want it to make to be great as you hoped it would?
     
  23. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2005
    Messages:
    151,712
    Likes Received:
    31,393
    The numbers are great but I guess the expectations were even higher after announcements of Stark, Spidey and then 200 hundred other Avengers. :woot:

    We're getting a better hold on the range that these kind of films can do now although I hope IW makes us rethink that once more!
     
  24. ironman_rick Registered

    Joined:
    May 22, 2010
    Messages:
    914
    Likes Received:
    192
    Looks like Rogue 1 is gonna end its run with WW gross of < $1.1B

    So....it looks like CA:CW is the top grossing movie of 2016. :woot:
     
  25. Reek _____

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2006
    Messages:
    52,136
    Likes Received:
    1,582
    Who gives a ****?

    But thanks for bumping the thread...

    [​IMG]
     

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
    Dismiss Notice
  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
    Dismiss Notice
monitoring_string = "afb8e5d7348ab9e99f73cba908f10802"