Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

Discussion in 'Captain America: Civil War' started by Thread Manager, May 11, 2016.

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  1. regnak Registered

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    That may be but there was an article a page or two back about how CW would have already surpassed IM3 & the Avengers in the overseas gross if not for the difference in exchange rates. Big blockbusters during the recession may be extremely difficult to surpass for that reason.
     
  2. JOE _________________________

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    I don't want to get technical, but RDJ as Tony Stark is the real draw. The proof is in the pudding.
     
  3. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Yes RDJ as Tony Stark in the MCU is the magical combo..ideal role for him. He'll struggle to get a billion dollars playing a different character.
     
  4. ImSGirl95 Doreen Green

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    Yeah, RDJ as a random character in a drama movie like The Judge means about nothing. It may even end up being a flop.
    But RDJ as Tony Stark is a whole different thing.

    Same with the other actors
    Evans as Cap
    Hemsworth as Thor
    etc.

    even Jackman as Wolverine and Reynolds as Deadpool.
     
  5. gogolbb Registered

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    RDJ as Sherlock Holmes was quite a draw too.

    The judge is a cliche family drama directed by a hack, containing absolutely ZERO elements that would make it a success at box-office. It would never have got a wide release without RDJ's name attached.

    Movie stars are there to make sure a good movie not getting overlooked, they do not turn a bad movie into a good one.
     
    #955 gogolbb, Jun 3, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2016
  6. Ctfxcwatcher Registered

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    1,118,289 for Thursday
     
  7. Erzengel |-o-| (-o-) |-o-|

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    Using the standard weekend drop we have been seeing and whatever remaining foreign gross this weekend. CW should be the new #12 all time by the end of Sunday.
     
  8. JtheDreamer Slangin Grannys Peach Tea

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    Certain actors make various roles their own like RDJ did with Stark or Depp did with Jack Sparrow. There is some trickle down effect from that into their other roles, but for the most part we're no longer seeing the days when Arnold headlining any ol' action movie brought everybody to the yard to watch.

    The "type" of movie/role they're taking on influences the effect of the trickle down.
     
  9. daddydivine I'm black, I can say it.

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    Thats because Arnold was always the same guy in every movie.

    I think thats why Downey does well with the Sherlock franchise because he's basically Stark with an accent.
     
  10. StormC Custom User Title?

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    RDJ would be a draw if he did blockbusters besides Iron Man.
     
  11. Mysteryman Registered

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    it depends on the role.
    Sherlock Holmes is a good fit for him.
     
  12. TheVileOne Registered

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    Well he hasn't done too many movies recently outside of Marvel and The Judge. Had the cameo in Chef. And then there was Due Date. So his high concept stuff outside Marvel post-Iron Man has a pretty good track record.
     
  13. Zant Registered

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    RDJ is no Leo Di Caprio when it comes to book office draw, that's for sure.
     
  14. gogolbb Registered

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    Not so sure about who the bigger draw is considering Leo DiCaprio works mostly with established directors. But I do think that DiCaprio is much better at picking his movies.
     
  15. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    RDJ is a great actor but I think Leo might be THE best (of his age). He can play very different personas and have the same draw while RDJ is loved most when he's RDJ (who is a very awesome person :woot:).
     
  16. JB33 The Eternal Deviant

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    BoxOffice Pro projects about $7.5M for this weekend.
     
  17. Ctfxcwatcher Registered

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    Estimated 7,591,000 for the weekend.



    CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR made est. $4.2M overseas this weekend, for a $742.6M overseas / $1.131B global total. #CaptainAmerica #CivilWar
     
  18. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Looks like we are about done. The guy who said $1.1B a while back was pretty much right.
     
  19. Coolkid Registered

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    I thought 1.3-1.4 billion would be an easy task for CW after the amazing reviews... It should've easily topped Age of Ultron for the word of mouth it received... I don't know what went wrong...!!!:huh:
     
  20. Spider-Fan SHHFFL 2014/2019 Champion

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    Looking like it won't beat Iron Man 3 then?
     
  21. Ctfxcwatcher Registered

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    Seems like the GA are rejecting sequels at the box office this year. Well rejecting might be the wrong word but yeah...
     
  22. bubbadoom Registered

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    needs another $84 million ...
     
  23. StormC Custom User Title?

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    Lack of an Avengers brand name and not playing like an Avengers movie are what kept it from performing like an Avengers movie.

    My only expectation was it would beat Iron Man 3, but we're gonna look at Harry Potter-like performances from here on out.

    A billion's still a billion. Let's not get up in arms here.
     
  24. gerrym51 Registered

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    it might in North America though i don;t think so but overseas it's probably going to be 50 million short.
     
  25. gogolbb Registered

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    A simple way to explain this is:

    CW is a Cap-centric Avenger movie,

    AOU is an IronMan-centric Avenger movie,

    IronMan is more popular than Cap among general audience, which leads to the difference in box office performance.
     
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