Civil War Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Sithborg]

Kids movies are a bit more critic proof than normal movies. Civil War may have issues post Memorial Day, just because of the constant onslaught of movies coming. Just purely on keeping screens.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Only $57M left til CW hits $1B WW.

 

[spiderman2]

Saw the movie for the 2nd time and I think this is around my 4th favorite CBM of all time now. I was surprised there where only like 5 other people in the theater with me. So what did Monday's numbers look like?

 

[Erzengel]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya 3m3 minutes ago
#CaptainAmericaCivilWar broke $300M dom MON. $14.1M global day. New totals $300.7M dom, $656.4M intl, $957.1M ww. Shd hit $1B THU or FRI.

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya now40 seconds ago
Only 5 films ever hit $300M dom faster than #CaptainAmericaCivilWar - #StarWars TFA, JurassicWorld, #Avengers, DarkKnight & #Ultron.

 

[Kanon]

A little bit better than expected monday, matching almost exactly Iron Man 3 multiplier, and amount.

Today will be crucial to see proyect how much it makes before X-Men Apoc. Looks like 360M, and then an unknown drop

 

[Erzengel]

I'm thinking $25M over the holiday day weekend.

 

[kedrell]

Looks like a $4.71m Monday DOM. That's a 77.6% drop from Sunday which is slightly better than the 77.8% drop IM3 had on it's comparable 2nd Monday and a 64.5% drop from CW's last Monday's number. IM3 dropped 59% Monday-to-Monday on the same time in it's run as did AoU(-59.2%). That's easily accountable due to the inflated Monday & Tuesday of last week for CW due to Mother's Day Sunday being deflated. Should hold just slightly ahead of IM3 from here on out.

 

[Golgo-13]

The only way this doesn't cross 1 billion at this point, is if they pull every print, out of every theater..... globally.

 

[JB33]

With approx. $4.7M on Monday, it dropped more than both Iron Man 3 and Avengers: Age of Ultron dropped on their 2nd Mondays but, as kedrell mentioned, the bigger drop is probably due to it having an outlying 1st Monday (ie. it really shouldn't have been on par with AoU on its first Monday like it was).

The drop from Sunday, however, is right in line with IM3.

 

[Doctor Octopus]

The only way this doesn't cross 1 billion at this point, is if they pull every print, out of every theater..... globally.

lol and we know that never happen. It will make it for certain.

 

[gerrym51]

1.1 bilion

 

[Iceman]

Not long at all till the 10 figure mark.

 

[InCali]

Just got back from seeing a morning show (3rd and probably final time) and I didn't find it repetitious in the slightest. At this point, I don't even care what the final BO #s are. It was a terrific movie and set the stage for more of the same.

Oh, BTW, I saw it at the Arclight in Culver City. What a nice specialty theater. Decent food, a bar (yahoo!!!!), a little store with CBM paraphernalia, and a little place where you can get your picture taken with Angry Birds lol. Very tastefully decorated and a nice environment. I think I'll have to do a write up on my website and take some pictures next time I go (Prolly Apocalypse).

 

[JB33]

Just got back from seeing a morning show (3rd and probably final time) and I didn't find it repetitious in the slightest. At this point, I don't even care what the final BO #s are. It was a terrific movie and set the stage for more of the same.

Oh, BTW, I saw it at the Arclight in Culver City. What a nice specialty theater. Decent food, a bar (yahoo!!!!), a little store with CBM paraphernalia, and a little place where you can get your picture taken with Angry Birds lol. Very tastefully decorated and a nice environment. I think I'll have to do a write up on my website and take some pictures next time I go (Prolly Apocalypse).

Sounds really cool!

I saw it 3 times as well. That's probably it for me, unless I really have an inkling to go once more down the line right before they pull it from theatres.

 

[JB33]

Confirmed: $4.75M on Monday
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

Domestic: $300,717,303
Foreign: $656,400,000
Total: $957,117,303

With that, it just hit $300M domestically and is now the 6th fastest film to do that, having done it in 11 days.

 

[third3ye]

Latest forecast I saw for Angry Birds was $43m OW, so I'm guessing CW will drop to #2 this weekend

 

[JB33]

Latest forecast I saw for Angry Birds was $43m OW, so I'm guessing CW will drop to #2 this weekend

Looks like it. I think anything above $36M would be excellent. An IM3-like 3rd weekend drop should give it roughly $35.8M. That's my target.

 

[Raiden]

Looks like it. I think anything above $36M would be excellent. An IM3-like 3rd weekend drop should give it roughly $35.8M. That's my target.

It's hard to maintain #1 during summer with so many competitions.

 

[spiderman2]

So are we still looking at like Friday to get to a billion? Also I updated my CBM of all time list has you can see in my segiture thing and I have civil war at number 5.

 

[Flint Marko]

So what are the chances of this passing Deadpool domestically?

 

[spiderman2]

So what are the chances of this passing Deadpool domestically?

A lock it only needs about 62 million or so. The crazy thing though is that deadpool did it with out 3d.

 

[Iceman]

Oh yeah it's definitely beating Deadpool.

 

[JB33]

So are we still looking at like Friday to get to a billion? Also I updated my CBM of all time list has you can see in my segiture thing and I have civil war at number 5.

I think it'll end up just under $1B by Friday. My estimate for the rest of the week (aka today, tomorrow and Thursday) is $36M - $12M domestic + $24M foreign - which would bring the total up to around $993M.

 

[samsnee]

I honestly thought this had a decent shot at being #1 three weeks in a row. But I guess there hasn't been an animated movie in a while so kids are itching for it.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Well, at least Marvel and DC can end with a tie and no one on top for most weeks for a comic book brand movie studio.