Days of Future Past 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction - Part 1

[DarthSkywalker]

If it happens the next 3 summers it's a trend, for now this summer sucking is a trend of this summer sucking.

So in two weeks, when HTTYD starts its road to blasting past $300m domestically, will the summer still be "sucking"? t:

 

[T"Challa]

Its not about WOM. THis is the 7th movie in the X-series. Its very possible the franchise has a ceiling domestically.

As great as DOFP is, its not exactly a gateway movie to bring in a whole new generation of viewers that will significantly expand its box office. It's pretty much a love letter to longtime fans of the series.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

WOM has never helped this franchise.

Which makes me wonder why people think the original cast are a draw.

No, Godzilla fell 67% with an inflated weekend. Would have fell even more without the holiday boost. X-Men is falling as per expected of the frontloaded franchise ceiling, and off an inflated opening, nothing to do with word of mouth. If it continues to fall the same next week you may have a point. Although the word of mouth on this film seems to be only affect the overseas numbers.

While Godzilla fell a crazy amount, we are in summer now. There was a thought the film would buck the trend of the franchise being so frontloaded. 67% is big, no matter what. That the film didn't get close to cracking $100m makes the drop much worse. If people were in love with this film as much as was being talked about last week, it wouldn't have dropped this much.

WOM has nothing to do with the overseas. That is expansion.

 

[Tony Stark]

Again I think because this movie is written directly to the fan base, I think there is a certain audience segment that is just not invested in this film. That's the segment you need to have for a film to have legs.

 

[marvelrobbins]

Which makes me wonder why people think the original cast are a draw.


While Godzilla fell a crazy amount, we are in summer now. There was a thought the film would buck the trend of the franchise being so frontloaded. 67% is big, no matter what. That the film didn't get close to cracking $100m makes the drop much worse.

WOM has nothing to do with the overseas. That is expansion.

If the OT has new draw then why is this film doing better than FC?

I guess next you will say people are only going to theatres to see Jennifer Lawrence

 

[Electrix]

X-Men: First Class worldwide gross was $353 million. Days of Future Past has surpassed that in one week.

Keep positive folks

 

[marvelrobbins]

Its not about WOM. THis is the 7th movie in the X-series. Its very possible the franchise has a ceiling domestically.

As great as DOFP is, its not exactly a gateway movie to bring in a whole new generation of viewers that will significantly expand its box office. It's pretty much a love letter to longtime fans of the series.

Well come 2016 X-Men films will mostly be for FC fans.If even doing away with
Non-FC films In COntunity like Trek 2009 doesn't help domesticly who knows what will.

 

[BlackFox]

Well you can see why they went all out on the Worldwide tour now, thats where they were going to make any sort of money from. America is just not responding in the same way, I guess US audiences got burned too many times and are now more invested in the MCU.

 

[BlackFox]

X-Men: First Class worldwide gross was $353 million. Days of Future Past has surpassed that in one week.

Keep positive folks

Yep very much like TW it all about overseas in terms of making money it seems.

 

[Blackout]

IMO Fox needs to do away with the spinoffs, because those don't do much gross wise and only add to franchise fatigue.

 

[Eddie]

It's not just dofp tons of films are "underperforming" in the u.s.

Cap, The Lego Movie, and Neighbors all over performed big time. I don't think it's fair to just hand wave the situation.

 

[BlackFox]

IMO Fox needs to do away with the spinoffs, because those don't do much gross wise and only add to franchise fatigue.

TW did more than FC World Wide by over $60m or are you classing FC as a spin-off as well?

 

[DarthSkywalker]

If the OT has new draw then why is this film doing better than FC?

I guess next you will say people are only going to theatres to see Jennifer Lawrence

Are people only going to see only for Lawrence? No. But she is easily the biggest global star in the film. It is not close. Oscar winner, who plays the the most profitable character in US cinema this side of TDKT? The teens and 20-somethings care.

My belief was always to come out of this film with a new core. Get a young Jean, Cyclops and Storm to go along with the First Class group and Jackman's Logan. Perhaps start dressing them in something that doesn't look like the costume designer was holding a Comic-Con contest for the Matrix circa 2000. Make it young, fresh, fun. Peter got a great reaction because he is refreshing. This needs to be the original cast swan song.

 

[Serpico Jones]

Kevin Feige is a brilliant producer, he put Cap 2 in early April with zero competition. There was nothing that could challenge that movie for weeks.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

So in two weeks, when HTTYD starts its road to blasting past $300m domestically, will the summer still be "sucking"? t:

God I hope it makes 300mil and I still haven't even seen the first film. Don't kill me.

 

[T"Challa]

Kevin Feige is a brilliant producer, he put Cap 2 in early April with zero competition. There was nothing that could challenge that movie for weeks.

Its a bit of a head scratcher why more studios don't do this. Over the past year, we've had Cap 2, The Lego Movie, Gravity all do great business outside the typical summer months. The FF franchise and hunger games are also examples.

If you make a quality movie and market it well, it will sell regardless of where you place it on the calendar imo. Studio heads need to start thinking outside the box when it comes to release dates.

 

[Eddie]

Well you can see why they went all out on the Worldwide tour now, thats where they were going to make any sort of money from. America is just not responding in the same way, I guess US audiences got burned too many times and are now more invested in the MCU.

I think it's a mixture of this, parents not wanting to take their kids (I've even heard tv reviews mentioning things like the nude scene and saying it's not a good movie to take your kids to), and a bad marketing campaign. That bad marketing campaign is partially due to the Fox/Marvel situation, I think. Marvel isn't promoting the film the way they did for all of the earlier films, especially the first four.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Again I think because this movie is written directly to the fan base, I think there is a certain audience segment that is just not invested in this film. That's the segment you need to have for a film to have legs.

Nobody wants to hear this Mr. Stark but it's true. My mom liked the film but it confused her.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

God I hope it makes 300mil and I still haven't even seen the first film. Don't kill me.

I won't kill you. I'll just continue to sit here and think of you with nothing but pure disappointment.

Nobody wants to hear this Mr. Stark but it's true. My mom liked the film but it confused her.

Would this not lead to mixed general audience WOM? Unless you are a book series like Harry Potter or The Hunger Games, people don't want to need to "know" a lot before show up to the theater.

I just can't imagine people telling their co-workers or loved ones how awesome this film is, and it seemingly being completely ignored.

 

[BlackFox]

I think it's a mixture of this, parents not wanting to take their kids (I've even heard tv reviews mentioning things like the nude scene and saying it's not a good movie to take your kids to), and a bad marketing campaign. That bad marketing campaign is partially due to the Fox/Marvel situation, I think. Marvel isn't promoting the film the way they did for all of the earlier films, especially the first four.

Yeah I've heard this from a few people on the boards that the US marketing was poor which I found really confusing considering here in the UK its been wall to wall advertising in comparison to any film this year, I mean it opened to $5m more than Cap and ASM2.

Did they just give up on the US and say sod it we will just go all out overseas?

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I won't kill you. I'll just continue to sit here and think of you with nothing but pure disappointment.

lol I just haven't gotten around to it man.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

The US marketing was all over the same programming TWS, Godzill and TASM2 were. I could watch an NBA playoff game or ESPN without a constant reminder that the film was coming. That wasn't a problem.

 

[Serpico Jones]

Yeah I've heard this from a few people on the boards that the US marketing was poor which I found really confusing considering here in the UK its been wall to wall advertising in comparison to any film this year, I mean it opened to $5m more than Cap and ASM2.

Did they just give up on the US and say sod it we will just go all out overseas?

The marketing for the film was terrible early on but heated up around a month before the movie came out.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

lol I just haven't gotten around to it man.

Excuses, excuses. You know, like how "DoFP" didn't have enough advertising or that all movies this summer sucking at the box office. That will explain the drop

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I won't kill you. I'll just continue to sit here and think of you with nothing but pure disappointment.


Would this not lead to mixed general audience WOM? Unless you are a book series like Harry Potter or The Hunger Games, people don't want to need to "know" a lot before show up to the theater.

I just can't imagine people telling their co-workers or loved ones how awesome this film is, and it seemingly being completely ignored.

I don't know if it's even mostly word of mouth based with X-Men because we are 700 films into this uneven franchise. But yes if the word of mouth was just red hot I imagine an under 60% drop would have happened.