Age of Ultron Early Avengers 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Steelsheen]

well guys for some perspective, its only been 3 weeks-ish. and AOU is already gonna get to $1B for sure.

not losing out hope that it can match Avengers 1's $1.5B. but even if it only reaches $1.2-1.3B thats nothing to snort at. one always has to account for a dip when novelty is no longer a factor.

 

[KangConquers]

well guys for some perspective, its only been 3 weeks-ish. and AOU is already gonna get to $1B for sure.

not losing out hope that it can match Avengers 1's $1.5B. but even if it only reaches $1.2-1.3B thats nothing to snort at. one always has to account for a dip when novelty is no longer a factor.

Being unable to beat Iron Man 3's total would be an underperformance.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Being unable to beat Iron Man 3's total would be an underperformance.

Iron Man 3 was arguably the Avengers 1 sequel. At least that's how it was treated to an extant by the public. It definitely benefited from the good will of A1 perhaps more than AoU has.

 

[jmc]

One of my box office predications might actually come true for once.

 

[Wildcard]

Well, with the film now opening in large markets like China I'd be more than shocked if this didn't match or exceed the first one's overall total.

I agree that it at least needs to surpass the WW gross of IM3.

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Have we crossed a billion yet?

 

[8ulk]

Im 100% sure it will hit the 1,4 bil figure.

You can quote me on this but you wont have to.
1,5 bil is still in play. I honestly cannot see how China makes "only" 150-175 mil in order to miss the 1,5 bil mark ww.


We ll have to wait for the weekend numbers in China.

Nevertheless im quite optimistic about beating 1520 mil and taking the n3 spot of all time.

 

[take3]

looks like my predictions were way too high

 

[marcvader]

My prediction was on point. 1.4-1.6 and that's a first for me.

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Looks like my 2 bil prediction was WAY off.

 

[Lord]

I would risk and say that i think the film could have made more with better marketing, i see a few people who didn't even have any idea this film was coming out until a few days before its release, i felt like when it comes to Phase II films, Age of Ultron had the weakest marketing.

 

[JB33]

Have we crossed a billion yet?

In reality, I think it did yesterday. We just might not actually see it on paper until the worldwide figures are tallied, which might not be until Monday. It was sitting at $936.5M yesterday afternoon and that was without counting the reported $15M Wednesday gross from China and the other overseas totals from Wednesday. I figure you add that up, plus all worldwide grosses from yesterday and the film is probably right around the billion mark going into the weekend.

EDIT:

Update:

Okay, well, it seems my comment about the film being around the billion dollar mark going into the weekend was a bit of a gross understatement.

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 7m7 minutes ago
AVENGERS: AGE OF ULTRON $990M Overseas Total / $1.23B Global Total #Avengers #AgeOfUltron

I don't know if that's including all weekend projections or what, but holy....didn't see that coming already.

 

[Pokkle]

"Today, Marvel’s Avengers: Age of Ultron will cross the $1 billion mark in its 24th day of global release."
http://www.superherohype.com/news/3...1-billion-at-global-box-office-today#/slide/1

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

I thought it would have at least challenged Furious 7's 17 day record. Remember when hitting a billion was a HUGE deal... now it's like ''congrats, go and join the other 20 movies that have already done it''.

 

[JB33]

Avengers: Age of Ultron hits $1B Worldwide in 24 days
http://pro.boxoffice.com/news/2015-05-15-avengers-age-of-ultron-hits-1b-worldwide-in-24-days

It's a shame, really. AoU could have easily set the record for fastest film to $1B, in my mind, if the international release and domestic release weren't so spread out. Avatar, The Avengers and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 all tied for the record at 19 days until Furious 7 just set the new record in 17 days.

 

[JB33]

I thought it would have at least challenged Furious 7's 17 day record. Remember when hitting a billion was a HUGE deal... now it's like ''congrats, go and join the other 20 movies that have already done it''.

See my post below yours. It's not exactly fair because AoU was released so damn early overseas. It's why the "fastest to 1 billion" record is sort of imperfect. Not much a film like AoU can do when it's waiting 9 or so days to be released in its biggest market (North America) after its initial release.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I would risk and say that i think the film could have made more with better marketing, i see a few people who didn't even have any idea this film was coming out until a few days before its release, i felt like when it comes to Phase II films, Age of Ultron had the weakest marketing.

Oh please, everybody knew the film was coming out.

 

[Tony Stark]

Yeah, marketing was not this films problem. If there even was a problem, we are talking about the second biggest opening ever. It didn't perform like the first. C'est la vie!

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

"Problem" is a strong word to use for a film that has grossed over 1 billion dollars in 24 days. If there is even a slight issue I'd say it's a word of mouth issue in North America. The word of mouth isn't bad or anything but it's not as good as the first film's.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Looks like my 2 bil prediction was WAY off.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

"Problem" is a strong word to use for a film that has grossed over 1 billion dollars in 24 days. If there is even a slight issue I'd say it's a word of mouth issue in North America. The word of mouth isn't bad or anything but it's not as good as the first film's.

It is an expectation thing. The film isn't playing nearly as well domestically and while the international numbers are great, they seem a product of the natural growth.

I make my jokes about Star Wars, but if it crosses a billion, I'll be celebrating.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

Speaking of sky high expectations that might not come true.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

It is an expectation thing. The film isn't playing nearly as well domestically and while the international numbers are great, they seem a product of the natural growth.

I make my jokes about Star Wars, but if it crosses a billion, I'll be celebrating.

It's true that certain box office expectations are making the film look like a slight disappointment to a lot of people. Intellectually I get that even though it frustrates me when it comes to certain films.

I can't really argue with your assessment of the international numbers so far but as you acknowledge they are great numbers.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

It's true that certain box office expectations are making the film look like a slight disappointment to a lot of people. Intellectually I get that even though it frustrates me when it comes to certain films.

I can't really argue with your assessment of the international numbers so far but as you acknowledge they are great numbers.

I wonder how Marvel and Disney feel. On one hand, they are making a truck load of money. On another, I think it is falling under their expectations, especially with their investment here. This movie probably ended up costing a lot more then TASM2. Any chance that all said and done, they didn't spend well over $500m?

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I wonder how Marvel and Disney feel. On one hand, they are making a truck load of money. On another, I think it is falling under their expectations, especially with their investment here. This movie probably ended up costing a lot more then TASM2. Any chance that all said and done, they didn't spend well over $500m?

Considering the first film made 1.5 billion I'd be surprised if they didn't spend more than TASM 2 overall.

As for Marvel's feelings I'm sure the film is going to make a lot of money for them but there are slight cracks or maybe dents in their flagship franchise's armor. I mean it sounds ridiculous for me to say and I've resisted even thinking it because it sounds stupid saying this about a film that has made so much money.

I'm not saying that they are in trouble because they aren't I'm saying that they could get in trouble if they ignore the criticisms. And I don't mean whining fanboy/fan girl nitpicking, I mean actual criticisms.