Estimated Box Office Take

[Iceman]

Usually is with Big Blockbusters

That's definitely true but does not apply to the same extent with comic book movies.

 

[Aiden]

The thing with these animated movies is that we underestimate them. Look at Ice Age 2. 70 million in one weekend. Cars will make big money. I'm sure of it. Over The Hedge has the potential to make big money. X3 will have a massive opening weekend. Above 80 million. Overall,including domestic and foreign, I'd say around the 500 million mark or there abouts

 

[flavio_lebeau]

i expect 550 million worldwide at least...X2 made almost 400 million, it will be easy for X3 to reach its top, since X2 was a great film.

 

[flavio_lebeau]

That's definitely true but does not apply to the same extent with comic book movies.

it does.

 

[YJ1]

Exactly, X3 needs to at least hit 250m domestically for a sequel to be greenlit and even then I think Fox will be cautious about doing that.

You people are insane. If X3 simply does X2 type numbers, it'll be a mega hit and X4 will be guaranteed in some form. Batman Begins limped to the 200 million domestic mark itself and the WB couldn't green light BB2 fast enough. BB spent 150 million to make and another 100 million to market. X3 won't have to spend near that to market the film with Fox's marketing juggernaut. DVD sales alone will be massive. X3 doesn't need to get anywhere near 300 million but it would be nice to see.

 

[TNC9852002]

My Estimates:

Domestic: 236m
Worldwide: 478m

Not enough for a X4 greenlight, IMO

-TNC

 

[Excel]

For me:

X3 (2006)
Domestic: $300,949,694 52.9%
+ Foreign: $350,500,000 47.1%

= Worldwide: 650,449,694

im sorry but no way any of those happen.

1. its domestic gross will be like the first 2 movies-more then the foreign take.
2. compition is huge, much bigger then x1 or x2.
3. the films is darker then the first 2, that will limit its appeal.
4. this doesnt appeal to kids, and is sandwiched between monster kid flicks CARS and OVER THE HEDGE


My prediction, basedon everything is :

-82 million 3 day
-101 4 day memoiral weekend
-246 million u.s. total
-217 million foreign take
=463 million worldwide

 

[berzerko89]

500 million worlwide!!! wohoooo!!!

 

[JP]

im sorry but no way any of those happen.

1. its domestic gross will be like the first 2 movies-more then the foreign take.
2. compition is huge, much bigger then x1 or x2.
3. the films is darker then the first 2, that will limit its appeal.
4. this doesnt appeal to kids, and is sandwiched between monster kid flicks CARS and OVER THE HEDGE


My prediction, basedon everything is :

-82 million 3 day
-101 4 day memoiral weekend
-246 million u.s. total
-217 million foreign take
=463 million worldwide

This makes the most sense.

 

[berzerko89]

im sorry but no way any of those happen.

1. its domestic gross will be like the first 2 movies-more then the foreign take.
2. compition is huge, much bigger then x1 or x2.
3. the films is darker then the first 2, that will limit its appeal.
4. this doesnt appeal to kids, and is sandwiched between monster kid flicks CARS and OVER THE HEDGE


My prediction, basedon everything is :

-82 million 3 day
-101 4 day memoiral weekend
-246 million u.s. total
-217 million foreign take
=463 million worldwide

AMEN !!!

 

[Sun_Down]

I think it'll pull down numbers close to X2's, but not much more. Maybe $450 million worldwide

 

[YJ1]

My prediction, basedon everything is :

-82 million 3 day
-101 4 day memoiral weekend
-246 million u.s. total
-217 million foreign take
=463 million worldwide

That looks about right.

I'm going to use my "Price Is Right" later post privilege and say...

463,000,001 worldwide.

 

[TNC9852002]

My prediction, basedon everything is :

-82 million 3 day
-101 4 day memoiral weekend
-246 million u.s. total
-217 million foreign take
=463 million worldwide

Pretty close to my estimates...

-TNC

 

[josh8]

neither x1 nor x2 had any legs after big openings. and they were both relatively well-received movies. add that and the fact that all movies these days are failing to last long, i think x3's opening weekend will be very crucial.

i'm pretty sure that x3 will be bigger than x2, since i dont think anyone has been turned off the franchise, and if anything more people will be interested. so i'm expecting a bigger opening weekend.

since it's a holiday (and with inflation), the 3-day figure might be a little better than x2's, at around $90 million, and then monday's gravy will make a 4-day total of about $110 million. i'd say after that, it can make about 2.3x that much.

final domestic take: ~$250 million. not at vast improvement, but still a growing franchise, which aint bad at all.

 

[chaseter]

I will guess X3 will pull in nearly 100 million opening weekend.

 

[Advanced Dark]

100+ Million opening weekend with a 250 domestic take and a 300 million international take. 550 million total.

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

im sorry but no way any of those happen.

1. its domestic gross will be like the first 2 movies-more then the foreign take.
2. compition is huge, much bigger then x1 or x2.
3. the films is darker then the first 2, that will limit its appeal.
4. this doesnt appeal to kids, and is sandwiched between monster kid flicks CARS and OVER THE HEDGE


My prediction, basedon everything is :

-82 million 3 day
-101 4 day memoiral weekend
-246 million u.s. total
-217 million foreign take
=463 million worldwide

I think you may be underestimating rewatchability factors. Sentinels, more action, etc., are guaranteed in this film. Nostalgic storylines, i.e. the rise of The Dark Phoenix, and character improvements for certain X-Men are also going to be front and center. When you combine all of these elements, plus the tremendous mainstream momentum produced by the first two films, it's highly possible that X3 will best its predecessors by a large margin.

And let us not discount FOX's marketing machine. You won't be able to hide in a nook or cranny anywhere in 5 weeks without facing an X and a 3.

 

[chaseter]

X3 will easily beat its predecesors.

 

[Downhere]

I think you may be underestimating rewatchability factors. Sentinels, more action, etc., are guaranteed in this film. Nostalgic storylines, i.e. the rise of The Dark Phoenix, and character improvements for certain X-Men are also going to be front and center. When you combine all of these elements, plus the tremendous mainstream momentum produced by the first two films, it's highly possible that X3 will best its predecessors by a large margin.

And let us not discount FOX's marketing machine. You won't be able to hide in a nook or cranny anywhere in 5 weeks without facing an X and a 3.

Amen! I think this could really do well and go over 500 million worldwide.

 

[josh8]

I think you may be underestimating rewatchability factors. Sentinels, more action, etc., are guaranteed in this film. Nostalgic storylines, i.e. the rise of The Dark Phoenix, and character improvements for certain X-Men are also going to be front and center. When you combine all of these elements, plus the tremendous mainstream momentum produced by the first two films, it's highly possible that X3 will best its predecessors by a large margin.

And let us not discount FOX's marketing machine. You won't be able to hide in a nook or cranny anywhere in 5 weeks without facing an X and a 3.

i would be nothing but ecstatic if x3 were to break out, but i just dont see it happening. the only big movies in recent years that have been able to pull off the feat of "legs" are kids movies (harry potter most notably), religiousy backed productions (passion, narnia), and few others (POTC and batman begins).

the x-men movies have never caught on like that, and unfortunately, i dont see that happening this late in the game. BUT, if any x-movie had the chance of doing so, i think this would be it because of all the changes that have been made that sound fan-friendly. it's a longshot, and i guess it is possible.

 

[MJB]

I think you may be underestimating rewatchability factors. Sentinels, more action, etc., are guaranteed in this film. Nostalgic storylines, i.e. the rise of The Dark Phoenix, and character improvements for certain X-Men are also going to be front and center. When you combine all of these elements, plus the tremendous mainstream momentum produced by the first two films, it's highly possible that X3 will best its predecessors by a large margin.

And let us not discount FOX's marketing machine. You won't be able to hide in a nook or cranny anywhere in 5 weeks without facing an X and a 3.

Well Lightning if you know something we don't, I doubt the Sentinals will show up. If they are in the movie, then in my opinion it's asinine for FOX to not use them in marketing. I think everyone knows the Sentinals, and it'll help if they are Marketed as opposed to being a surprise, whom I believe isn't in the movie.

The Sentinals are a merchindising asset alone it makes no sense what so ever not to use them to help sell the movie.

 

[Halcohol]

^That's a good point, but remember we haven't seen much of the marketing. Since Ratner essentially confirmed their presence in the movie, I'd bet we might catch a glimpse of them in the next trailer or something.

 

[Downhere]

^That's a good point, but remember we haven't seen much of the marketing. Since Ratner essentially confirmed their presence in the movie, I'd bet we might catch a glimpse of them in the next trailer or something.

I believe we will see a glimpse in the next trailer since Ratner confirmed it that Sentinels ARE in the film now. Took a while, but he finally confirmed it.

 

[Iceman]

it does.

Check my statement again

Comic book movies that made more domestically (US) than abroad:

Hulk, Daredevil, Batman, Batman Returns, Batman Forever, Batman Begins, Punisher, Blade, Blade 2, Blade Trinity, X-Men, X2, Hellboy

Comic book movies that made more abroad:

Batman & Robin, Spiderman, Spiderman 2, Sin City, Superman

 

[LEX]

If this ends up be really successful and be on the top of the box office all weeks straight until Superman Returns opens, it'd be a great surprise. After seeing the major advertisement w/ The Fantastic Four movie, everyone will know about X3. This movie is Fox's biggest movie of this year. (Right?) Surely, they wouldn't just let it slide.

Or maybe I'm just being too optimistic.