Estimated Box Office Take

Discussion in 'X-Men 1, 2 & 3' started by bjgroves, Apr 2, 2006.

  1. invincible mann

    invincible mann Registered

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    piracy is always a problem
    but i think hollywoods cracking down on it
    so far no bootleg editions of X3
     
  2. Halcohol

    Halcohol Suit up

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    That's cause the movie's probably not even finished yet lol
     
  3. josh8

    josh8 Registered

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    unfortunately, inflation and a bunch of other factors are also having a negative effect on moviegoing. the current trend is seeing less people going to movie theaters (i cant remember the percent).

    but you're right, if the same amount of people go see this movie (hopefully) than x3 will make more than x2. however, the bread and butter of big blockbusters comes from repeat business, and i hear that's down a lot now too, no matter how good the movies are.
     
  4. Pickle-El

    Pickle-El Registered

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    Thanks in large part to X2, I think the opening for X3 should be in similar range to X2. (Around 80 Million, which is MUCH more now than it was 3 years ago)

    Taking all considerations into account, even if X3 doesn't quite have the 'heart' of X2. (Which many fear for) The action should pick up. I don't see why X3 shouldn't hit around 220-240 Domestically. And about the same Internationally.

    WorldWide, I think it'll be in the 450-510 range IF the story is told in such a fashion that people won't see it the first time and walk out saying, 'Wow. There were so many explosions!' There has to be a real placement on the 'cure' storyline....(One reason why Singer is such a good storyteller, he knows how to deal with character in real life situations)

    Basically, it should open big like X2. A lot though, will be left to Ratner's ability to let a story unfold on the screen.....I don't worry about the action. I just hope the story is up it.
     
  5. invincible mann

    invincible mann Registered

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    trust me that doesnt stop pirates
    often bootlegs are released with unfinished effects
    bootlegs arent known for their quality
     
  6. phantom47

    phantom47 Registered

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    so much much do you think this movie needs to make to secure a x4
     
  7. YJ1

    YJ1 Armed and Dangerous

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    The only thing that concerns me is word of mouth for general movie goers. If these "deaths" aren't handled right, they could turn people off in a hurry. Daredevil did very well at the box office but "killing" Elektra like they did turned off a lot of repeat customers and hurt the word of mouth business. Please don't chime in on what you thought of the Daredevil movie, the quality of the film isn't my point here. It's the death of any character that general movie audiences have grown an attachment to that matters. I think it's safe to say that Scott, Xavier and even Jean aren't exactly sure bets to finish this trilogy still breathing.

    Anything equal to or surpassing X2's numbers will guarantee future X-Films. $220 million domestic or above...
     
  8. RagingTempest

    RagingTempest Registered

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    Over 400 million is great number!! How would that not green light an X4!!!:confused:
     
  9. aaron

    aaron bullet in your face

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    thinking bout 450 worldwide
     
  10. TNC9852002

    TNC9852002 Banned User

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    They would need a worldwide gross north of $475m, IMO

    -TNC
     
  11. Excel

    Excel O-bama-ama-ama-ay-ay

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    if anythingim underestimating the hype, and while im sure the fox marketing will be out of this world, the film flat out doesnt appeal to enough people(kids mainly) to give an opening weekend over 90 million while opening on memorial day. if x3 was released say, may 5th with no compitition, itd open to about 95 million. but the fact is, alot of people on friday,saturday, and sunday will wait till monday, which will lower the weekend. rewatchability isnt an issue-i gave this a 3.0 multiplier while x2 had a 2.5 and x1 had a 2.8.

    yeah its possible itll beat its predecsors by a lot, but not all that much.

    Final Predictions:

    FRIDAY, may 26th- 32.8 million
    SATURDAY, may 27th- 26.2 million
    SUNDAY, may 27th-23.4 million
    3 day total - 82 million
    MONDAY, may 28th- 20.2 million
    4 day total-102 million
    2nd WEEKEND, june 2nd-4th - 36.6 million, -55%
    U.S. total-246 million
     
  12. phantom47

    phantom47 Registered

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    saturday alwys seems to do better that friday totoals, so i would think that friday and saturday should be switched.....and just lower monday a little less, but i think it will make about 92 that holiday weekened
     
  13. Advanced Dark

    Advanced Dark Registered

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    Those totals are way low. Ticket prices are higher than X2 and there are more screens for X3 to be released on.
     
  14. GothicPowerMix1

    GothicPowerMix1 Registered

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    $100,000000000000,0000000000000000000,0000000000000000000,0000000000.00

    :o
     
  15. WorthyStevens

    WorthyStevens Green Man

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    My guess...

    05/26 $39,000,000
    05/27 $37,000,000 $76,000,000
    05/28 $33,000,000 $109,000,000
    05/29 $27,000,000 $136,000,000
     
  16. MJB

    MJB Registered

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    I wish I shared you faith in the goodness of the script. The trailer look good, but Kinberg(especially Kinberg) and Penn does not inspire confidence.
     
  17. demitri_vampiro

    demitri_vampiro Registered

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    well i hope x-3 does the same amount as PotC did. 300+ in the us and another 350+ outside us.
    that would be enough for x-4
     
  18. Advanced Dark

    Advanced Dark Registered

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    ^ That would be more than enough for X4. All we need for X4 is a profit cause that pays everyone. 200 domestic and 200 international would be more than enough but Fox is gonna go all out on this one. I think 300+ would be completely unexpected but great.
     
  19. PhoenixRisen

    PhoenixRisen Registered

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    I guess I am lucky in that I am a "blank slate" when it comes to the writers. But even so, I know that someone can strike out a bunch of times and suddenly hit a home run...And then proceed to strike out again...Or vice versa...Just because someone makes a bad movie (let's see, "1941"?) doesn't mean their next will be bad ("Raiders")...and just because someone makes a great movie doesn't mean their next will be great...(umm, "Close Encounters"..."1941").
    Although I think the movie will be great, I'm not going on "faith," just what I have actually seen with my own eyes, opposed to speculation or judging on past performance. For example, the fact that FOX is showing X3 at Cannes is just another "good sign." So far, I haven't seen anything of the actual product I don't like.
    P.S. I am now leaning toward the high end of my previously stated ranges... :D
     
  20. Excel

    Excel O-bama-ama-ama-ay-ay

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    x3 is the kinda movie thatll have midnight screenings wh8ich mean an inflated opening dsay and no saturday rise.

    see fantastic four.
     
  21. Lightning Strykez!

    Lightning Strykez! Former Mod On Pension Pay

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    Fantastic Four didn't have midnight showings.
     
  22. Eros

    Eros Registered

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    whats hte point most people will just download it and avoid the theaters.
     
  23. Excel

    Excel O-bama-ama-ama-ay-ay

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    my theater did i believe..anyways its not even that-most big event movies-like x3-have bigger opening days then saturday, unless it has major kid appeal. mid night screenings, presales, fanbases, and just all around hype make this.

    see star wars, harry potter, ect.
     
  24. Psionic Force

    Psionic Force Registered

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    So now that the judge has decided that the author of DaVinci Code is not at fault for anything, and the movie will STILL be released on May 19th, how do you all think it will do? Minds change?
     
  25. Advanced Dark

    Advanced Dark Registered

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    I don't think anyone thought the movie was going to be delayed in reality. There was a hope that it might but it won't effect opening week at all. Not sure how many X-Men fans under the age of 18 are going to rush to DaVinci code, and DaVinci code isn't likely a movie fans will see over and over. X3 is that type of film and will get multiple viewings. Having a best selling book doesn't mean best selling movie. DaVinci should do good but it won't touch X3's final tally.
     

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