Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Pickleweasel]

I think some of you are putting small numbers because you scared or something to be disappointed lol. Oz the great and powerful made 700 mil, Alice and Wonderland and The Hobbit made a Billion, all three of these movies had bad reviews and were not overly fond of even with audiences, except for the Hobbit which was pretty positive. These were all basically reboots based on very popular characters/books, just like what Man of Steel is going to be. This movie will make money for the sole reason that it is Superman, one of the most recognizable characters in the world.

If you add to the fact that if this is as good as what it looks like it will be, it will be labeled as a must see movie by critics and fans alike. IF that happens Man of Steel could easily crack a billion. Nobody was going to see inception to see a story about Dominic Cobb and that movie got 825 mil because it was labeled as a must see. Avatar got labeled a must see and there are plenty others.

I'm just saying, I think 600 world wide would be a disappointment because that means the movie probably wasn't all that great.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

I think some of you are putting small numbers because you scared or something to be disappointed lol. Oz the great and powerful made 700 mil, Alice and Wonderland and The Hobbit made a Billion, all three of these movies had bad reviews and were not overly fond of even with audiences, except for the Hobbit which was pretty positive. These were all basically reboots based on very popular characters/books, just like what Man of Steel is going to be. This movie will make money for the sole reason that it is Superman, one of the most recognizable characters in the world.

If you add to the fact that if this is as good as what it looks like it will be, it will be labeled as a must see movie by critics and fans alike. IF that happens Man of Steel could easily crack a billion. Nobody was going to see inception to see a story about Dominic Cobb and that movie got 825 mil because it was labeled as a must see. Avatar got labeled a must see and there are plenty others.

I'm just saying, I think 600 world wide would be a disappointment because that means the movie probably wasn't all that great.

I don't know why you're making that number up. It made $486 million.....

 

[Iceman]

It's a reboot after a semi-failed reboot. If there was no Superman Returns ahead of it I think this would be guaranteed a billion (assuming the quality of the film holds up..& maybe even if not). The 1st Superman film after all that time should do big bucks but SR didn't fully deliver what everyone was looking for from a Superman film. But if the reviews put this up with the Nolan Batman films I think it can still get there.

 

[Pickleweasel]

I don't know why you're making that number up. It made $486 million.....

I read it wrong my bad, I was seeing it made 486 over seas and 230 in the US.

No need to get cranky

 

[Mysteryman]

Batman Begins didnt make a billion,I dont expect this reboot will either .
But, it can still do Great at the box office without making a billion.

 

[hopefuldreamer]

Well Begins came out at a different time though.

We're currently at a time where Superhero movies in general make huge bucks. People are lapping them up in a way they weren't as much in 2005. They are bigger. They are the movies everyone wants to see in the cinema, cause they know it'll be an experiance.

Add the financial boosts of 3D, and I think this movie is most definitely going to do better than BB.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Not to mention the overwhelmingly huge boost in the international film market.

 

[Iceman]

Batman Begins didnt make a billion,I dont expect this reboot will either .
But, it can still do Great at the box office without making a billion.

Batman Begins came out before the international market totally took off. If IM3 was released back then it would be making half of what it's making abroad. Also don't forget BB was following Batman & Robin!

 

[djsunyc]

I'm excited for it but alot of people at work really aren't talking about it at all. (I work in a company of 400 people so you have a huge grouping of different demographics) The Avengers had major hype for weeks heading into it but this one doesn't. I think it will do well but not great.

 

[Mysteryman]

Part of the problem is that Marvel used the other movies to build up The Avengers.
There are no movies to lead up to MOS, I think that would have helped.

 

[Tobias]

I'm excited for it but alot of people at work really aren't talking about it at all. (I work in a company of 400 people so you have a huge grouping of different demographics) The Avengers had major hype for weeks heading into it but this one doesn't. I think it will do well but not great.

Yeah. SR doesn't help. It's probably a slight negative.

I think it will hold down OW but that the WOM will be good and generally the reviews too. So it will have legs but the crowded summer of blockbusters each week will be an issue.

It will do OK IMO. 550 million. Though WB will see that as a disappointment. But getting to 600 million will be tough and w/o that no JL possibly. IMO many of the predictions are way over the top as to how well it will do. Remember SR was predicted by many as doing 600 million or more.

Avengers and TDKR had huge successful previous films leading into them. That is why they were able to do a billion. Ironman 3 also.

The top predictions here seem to cluster around 750 million. I reduce that by a third (SR's predicted 600 million turned out to be 400 million) and get 500 million. But adjusted for inflation that would be not a lot more than SR and with Nolan involved I think there will be an extra boost. To 550 million.

 

[Mysteryman]

Batman Begins came out before the international market totally took off. If IM3 was released back then it would be making half of what it's making abroad. Also don't forget BB was following Batman & Robin!

if MOS makes a billion , I will run naked in Los Angeles .

 

[Kryptonian Titan]

Unfortunately, MOS is debuting in June. Historically the lowest in terms of box, of May, June and July. Dunno what WB was thinking. It should have been scheduled as Pacific Rim was.

It's right in the middle of all these blockbusters. MU and Z will likely take a big ding out of MOS week 2. It could drop 60% or more - hope not though.

How much the poor scheduling hurts MOS we'll know come late June.

Sorry, but WWZ will be a non factor. It has ''bomb'' written all over it (and that's coming from a big zombie fan!).

 

[Bruce Malone]

Sorry, but WWZ will be a non factor. It has ''bomb'' written all over it (and that's coming from a big zombie fan!).

It's actually all the big zombie fans who are saying that. I'm a huge fan of the book but the film looks terrible.

 

[Iceman]

if MOS makes a billion , I will run naked in Los Angeles .

Yeah, because you're so happy about it getting there! t:t:

 

[Mysteryman]

Exactly!

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Sorry, but WWZ will be a non factor. It has ''bomb'' written all over it (and that's coming from a big zombie fan!).

This.

 

[Mysteryman]

Well , they are not even advertising the zombies, that ought to tell you something.

 

[Rogzilla]

Sorry, but WWZ will be a non factor. It has ''bomb'' written all over it (and that's coming from a big zombie fan!).

Yeah. I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't make its money back. The studio might be thinking as much too. I'm not seeing a big marketing push for it.

 

[DACrowe]

Not that it is worth anything but I see $800 to $900 million WW being in the cards with around $280+ million domestic.

Just a wild guess.

 

[LordofhouseEl]

Batman Begins didnt make a billion,I dont expect this reboot will either .
But, it can still do Great at the box office without making a billion.

Batman Begins didnt have a bunch of super powered aliens tearing at each other, the casual movie goer that saw Avengers and loved it will eat this **** up. Watch this movie break records and hit a billion.

 

[Pickleweasel]

If amazing Spider-Man can get 750 mil I don't see how Man of Steel won't at least do something similar

Also, batman begins and superman returns didn't get that 3D IMAX money that Man of Steel is going to be getting either

 

[Fenrir]

If there is a pattern to the kinds of films that generally make a crapload of money overseas lately, it is that those films tend to have a combination of huge spectacle and some sort of brand recognition (a known franchise, director or actors) with 3D premiums thrown in for good measure. I mean, that is why Hollywood films are popular in the foreign market. Man of Steel has all of those elements, so even if one were to err on the side of caution, it's not too far fetched to assume that the new Superman film is going to make a lot more overseas than most people here are expecting it to.

 

[Dark Knight]

Not that it is worth anything but I see $800 to $900 million WW being in the cards with around $280+ million domestic.

Just a wild guess.

I could see something like that. I think it is safe to project that MOS will make more domestically and overseas than SR.

The question is....by how much?

The IMAX AND 3D viewings will bump it up even more. I think 1 Million WW is a possible. I think overseas 450-500 and domestic 400.

More like 800-850 most likely I think.

 

[Tyrone Parker]

Unfortunately, MOS is debuting in June. Historically the lowest in terms of box, of May, June and July. Dunno what WB was thinking. It should have been scheduled as Pacific Rim was.

It's right in the middle of all these blockbusters. MU and Z will likely take a big ding out of MOS week 2. It could drop 60% or more - hope not though.

How much the poor scheduling hurts MOS we'll know come late June.

No chance in hell it drops 60%. Your going to get proven wrong in all of your predictions.