Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Juha Bach]

Ben Fritz ‏@benfritz 9m Fandango: "'Man of Steel' is outselling all previous summer 2013 movies at the same point in the sales cycle."

Would it be appropriate to say that over 100 mill OW is a lock?

 

[G.Godfrey]

Would it be appropriate to say that over 100 mill OW is a lock?

I'd be pretty shocked at this point if it made below a 100 mil. I consider it a near lock.

 

[Juha Bach]

I'd be pretty shocked at this point if it made below a 100 mil. I consider it a near lock.

BTC had reduced their tracking to 90mil so i was kinda skeptical. However this fandango poll changes everything since they actually sell tickets.

 

[G.Godfrey]

BTC had reduced their tracking to 90mil so i was kinda skeptical. However this fandango poll changes everything since they actually sell tickets.

BTC reduced it because they were so very wrong with a few recent movies so they probably panicked over MOS. Now I bet they are regretting that. t:

 

[Excel]

BTC had reduced their tracking to 90mil so i was kinda skeptical. However this fandango poll changes everything since they actually sell tickets.

BTC recent tracking was horrible. World War Z at 65m, Lone ranger at 80m...yeah, no way in hell.

 

[Juha Bach]

BTC reduced it because they were so very wrong with a few recent movies so they probably panicked over MOS. Now I bet they are regretting that. t:

Lol!!Am sure they are. Though the projections they release on Opening day are usually close but am no longer keen on seeing what they have.

BTC recent tracking was horrible. World War Z at 65m, Lone ranger at 80m...yeah, no way in hell.

True. That recent tracking was weird across the board. They did not even provide any explanation.

 

[CK17]

118 OW, 365 DOM, 490 OS, 855 WW is my prediction.

 

[Donut]

Nice to see the advanced tickets

 

[snowball41293]

http://www.deadline.com/2013/06/man-of-steel-1-ticket-seller-online-today/

Warner Bros Pictures’ Superman reboot Man Of Steel doesn’t open nationwide until June 14 and in more limited release a day earlier for late shows. But as of 10 AM today, the Chris Nolan-mentored, Zach Snyder-directed, Henry Cavill-starring tentpole became the top ticket-seller on Fandango. It’s already outselling this weekend’s new releases, Twentieth Century Fox’s The Internship and Universal’s The Purge. And, in terms of advance ticket sales, Man of Steel is outpacing the previous Summer 2013 movies at the same point in the sales cycle.

Of course, IM3's advance ticket sales stats were hampered by the studio's dispute with theater owners, so there probably should be an asterisk for that last sentence.

 

[JOE]

I'm still thinking it break the 600M marker and it's good enough for a sequel.

 

[DorneyDave]

I think MOS is going to have a very very strong walkup crowd and the word of mouth will result in HUGE Saturdays and Sundays.

 

[Marvin]

This two weeks of no event/dud films is going do to wonders for the antip.
I still think 850 - 900 mill is the final. Up or down given how things come together.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Not taking the "Advanced Ticket Sales" report to heart.

It's gonna be a huge hit. But those are very spotty. More miss than hit. Remember when Watchmen was set to out-open 300? Incredible Hulk do the same to Iron Man? Superman Returns to Spider-Man 2? All because of advanced ticket sales.

 

[Str8 Rippin]

Not taking the "Advanced Ticket Sales" report to heart.

It's gonna be a huge hit. But those are very spotty. More miss than hit. Remember when Watchmen was set to out-open 300? Incredible Hulk do the same to Iron Man? Superman Returns to Spider-Man 2? All because of advanced ticket sales.

That's slightly different though: I like 300 more than Watchmen, Iron Man more than The Incredible Hulk, and I prefer Spider-Man 2 to Superman Returns. I'm pretty confident that I'm going to like MOS more than say IM3 and STID though from what I've seen and heard, and I think general movie-goer tastes should be the same.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Best for you to re-read what I said. Spoke nothing of quality. But its box-office earnings in the opening 3 days.

 

[dnno1]

http://www.deadline.com/2013/06/man-of-steel-1-ticket-seller-online-today/

Of course, IM3's advance ticket sales stats were hampered by the studio's dispute with theater owners, so there probably should be an asterisk for that last sentence.

I think the promotion they had at Wallmart helped out a lot. We will know for sure if the IM3 dispute with theater owners had any significant impact after we see the final box office tally for the summer (supposedly the same people who wanted to buy the advance tickets eventually saw the film).

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Not taking the "Advanced Ticket Sales" report to heart.

It's gonna be a huge hit. But those are very spotty. More miss than hit. Remember when Watchmen was set to out-open 300? Incredible Hulk do the same to Iron Man? Superman Returns to Spider-Man 2? All because of advanced ticket sales.

Agreed, advanced ticket sales have led to over predictions before. They aren't the be all end all. I especially remember SR and Watchmen's tracking being way off. I'm going to be very cautious this time or at least I think I am being cautious.

 

[TheFlamingCoco]

http://www.cosmicbooknews.com/content/man-steel-selling-better-iron-man-3

 

[Tyrone Parker]

Would it be appropriate to say that over 100 mill OW is a lock?

Easily

 

[NeoQuaker]

Would it be appropriate to say that over 100 mill OW is a lock?

Avengers made over 100m in its SECOND weekend. I'm sure a 100m OW is a lock. My prediction is 135m OW.

 

[Mysteryman]

Easily

At this point because of the dispute with exhibitors,I am not even sure IM3 was selling tickets yet.

 

[Mysteryman]

I was trying to respond to the Cosmic Book News story, Clicked on the wrong quote.
Sorry about that Tyrone.

 

[kendalag]

It's certainly a good start ... but doesn't mean much outside of that.

BTW, listening to notfabio on hsx.com ... mentioned the 'Walmart screening' on Thursday night and the tickets.

Said that Walmart 'bought' 1 million tickets ... so WB has sold them to them, whether they all sell or not, he's just not sure how that will be reported with the boxoffice. Will they just say, $10 million in 7pm screenings ... because tickets were sold? ... could be interesting.

So if people are seeing a certain # during the day based on projections ... and a final # comes in 5-10 million higher ... this is what it might be.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

What does Avengers second weekend have to do with Man of Steel? I understand if we were bringing it up if we were talking about Justice League but we are talking about a Superman reboot. It's sad how some people are just setting themselves up for disappointment by comparing this film to a record breaker.

 

[GreenKToo]

yeah. No way this thing is gonna do avengers numbers. ( well, it's not impossible, but you know )
650/700 mill should be considered a HUGE success by all here.
Thats the numbers i'm looking for, but closer to 700 mill.