Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

[blackops]

So, taking Fandango numbers as a proxy for ticket sales. They said 60% of current ticket sales are for MoS.

Last weekend 160 million were sold and there was no major openings. I guess, with MoS launch, it is safe to say this weekend could generate 200 million in ticket sales. If MOS represents 60% of that, I am currently betting on $120 million OW.

 

[FlawlessVictory]

^That would be fantastic. I was hoping for $110 mil - $130 mil.

 

[robot]

I see a prediction of 850M-1.2B...

The lies... Oh the lies... C'mon robot.

At least stick to your crazy predictions.

That's a 'range'... don't understand English much?

I have consistently said 1B in multiple posts... and I have said I would have upped my prediction to 1.2B (instead of 1B) if OS marketing was good, which it was not.. and you know that.. since it was in response to your post...

Anyways, doesn't look like you're confident with your own predictions... at least I am man enough to stand my ground...

 

[J.Howlett]

So, taking Fandango numbers as a proxy for ticket sales. They said 60% of current ticket sales are for MoS.

Last weekend 160 million were sold and there was no major openings. I guess, with MoS launch, it is safe to say this weekend could generate 200 million in ticket sales. If MOS represents 60% of that, I am currently betting on $120 million OW.

If you factor in 3D surcharge, probably closer to 130 million opening weekend.

 

[robot]

So, taking Fandango numbers as a proxy for ticket sales. They said 60% of current ticket sales are for MoS.

Last weekend 160 million were sold and there was no major openings. I guess, with MoS launch, it is safe to say this weekend could generate 200 million in ticket sales. If MOS represents 60% of that, I am currently betting on $120 million OW.

That would be awesome... I think people will be pleasantly surprised at the OW sales.. regardless of the mixed reviews... whether it has legs or not is another matter as it looks like WWZ is looking better and better now and MU is a sure thing for familes..

 

[JOE]

That's a 'range'... don't understand English much?

I have consistently said 1B in multiple posts... and I have said I would have upped my prediction to 1.2B (instead of 1B) if OS marketing was good, which it was not.. and you know that.. since it was in response to your post...

Anyways, doesn't look like you're confident with your own predictions... at least I am man enough to stand my ground...

You have a 350M range. Mine is 500-600 which is a 100M range. Who's more confident?

 

[robot]

So, taking Fandango numbers as a proxy for ticket sales. They said 60% of current ticket sales are for MoS.

Last weekend 160 million were sold and there was no major openings. I guess, with MoS launch, it is safe to say this weekend could generate 200 million in ticket sales. If MOS represents 60% of that, I am currently betting on $120 million OW.

Looks like they meant it for that ONE day sales... it might not be the same everyday...

see below:

LOS ANGELES, June 11, 2013 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- According to Fandango, the nation's leading moviegoing destination, advance ticket sales and positive fan word-of-mouth for "Man of Steel" are out of this world. The highly-anticipated film, opening this Friday, scored a rare 98 out of 100 points on the company's Fanticipation buzz indicator, and ranks as today's top ticket-seller on Fandango -- representing more than 60% of today's sales. "Man of Steel" soars high above the rest of the competition, including Seth Rogen's raunchy apocalyptic comedy, "This is the End," (score of 77), "Fast & Furious 6" (score of 68), "The Purge" (score of 67), and "The Internship" (score of 65).

 

[robot]

You have a 350M range. Mine is 500-600 which is a 100M range. Who's more confident?

My prediction is 1B (I based it on my own range).. why does it matter what range I used? I still put up a singular number for my prediction which is 1B..

You keep making excuses.. to be honest, you're not worth my time.. so, goodbye.. and good-riddance...

Everyone knows the challenge has been put out there and you failed to take it up...

 

[blackops]

Big openening weekends usually generate 250-300 million in ticket sales so I guess there is a considerable possibility that this number can suprise on the upside (120 million upwards).

Again, this movie, even if not loved by critics is a crowd pleaser, can potentially reach 300-350 domestic.

I must admit that I am a bit more skeptical internationally since the marketing campaign doesn't resemble the flawless domestic WB efforts.

 

[blackops]

Looks like they meant it for that ONE day sales... it might not be the same everyday...

see below:

Robot, you are right but then again last week Fandango reported that MOS was ouselling Fast & Furious and The Purge which in my opinion is even more impressive.

 

[sf2]

The oversea marketing sucks!!! Big time!!! Almost None.

 

[robot]

Big openening weekends usually generate 250-300 million in ticket sales so I guess there is a considerable possibility that this number can suprise on the upside (120 million upwards).

Again, this movie, even if not loved by critics is a crowd pleaser, can potentially reach 300-350 domestic.

I must admit that I am a bit more skeptical internationally since the marketing campaign doesn't resemble the flawless domestic WB efforts.

Yeah, that's a shame indeed.. I wonder why they dropped the ball on that.. the Marketing for Ironman 3 OS was superb... they even went so far as to create additional scenes / footage just for the Chinese market starring local chinese talents... (I might have to pick up a copy of that version)... and their effort have proven fruitful.. breaking almost every country's BO records...

 

[JOE]

My prediction is 1B (I based it on my own range).. why does it matter what range I used? I still put up a singular number for my prediction which is 1B..

You keep making excuses.. to be honest, you're not worth my time.. so, goodbye.. and good-riddance...

Everyone knows the challenge has been put out there and you failed to take it up...

All I'm saying is it's a lot of insurance for you to say, "I was right on my prediction." If I have a 350M window then I'll definitely be right. 500M-850M. If you get that type of insurance than so do I.

 

[robot]

Robot, you are right but then again last week Fandango reported that MOS was ouselling Fast & Furious and The Purge which in my opinion is even more impressive.

Right... let's hope it starts to go beyond the 60%.. t:t:

 

[sf2]

Joe u r getting tedious n no fun. Drop the topic if u dont wanna game on.

 

[robot]

All I'm saying is it's a lot of insurance for you to say, "I was right on my prediction." If I have a 350M window then I'll definitely be right. 500M-850M. If you get that type of insurance than so do I.

There's no insurance.. I am predicting ONE number.. forget my range..

and that's 1B

Your number is 500M

We meet at the middle which is 750M (which is still much higher than the number you said is IMPOSSIBLE for MOS to reach and you made that clear to many people on this board and in fact laughed at everyone)...

I am not the pretender here.. I just put up a number.. i respect everyone else' prediction.. that's what this thread is for.. it's fun... not a place to belittle others... but when a bully comes along, i stand my ground...

 

[robot]

Joe u r getting tedious n no fun. Drop the topic if u dont wanna game on.

Yeah, I am done with him... I have dealt with bullies like this before.. when you stand up to them.. they go wishy washy...

 

[Mjölnir]

The oversea marketing sucks!!! Big time!!! Almost None.

Judging from Sweden I can only agree. MOS premieres two weeks later here for some reason but I've basically not seen any advertising and no one in the media talks about it (at least not where I've seen). It's surprising.

 

[JOE]

Yeah, I am done with him... I have dealt with bullies like this before.. when you stand up to them.. they go wishy washy...

I'm a bully by saying it's not going to make 1B. I guess there are a ton of bullies on this forum then...

 

[blackops]

Last interesting piece of data, despite a relativelly dissapoiting RT tomatometer, the average rating stands at 7.0 while for instance FF6 at 6.2. IM3 average critic rating was 6.9. Cinemascore and IMDB, which is audience based, is usually higher than that so I think this could reach 8/ 8.5 with the crowd.

I am taking a contrarian stance and actually maintaining a more bullish prediction of $120 million on OW.

 

[JOE]

I still think hitting 100M OW isn't going to be as easy as some people think...

 

[Superhero 101]

all websites are predicting that mos will make 100

 

[JOE]

Didn't their own studio predict like 85M or something like that?

 

[Marvin]

HUH

plenty of people are liking this movie dude why because 15 critics gave it negative compared to the 33 who didn't??

or how at least 8 to 10 people on this very site were blown away by this movie

talk about a massive exaggeration

Well put.
Funny enough even if this film had Transformers scores(which it very much doesn't), how badly do the critics influence these opening weekend numbers in the case of big fat genre pictures like these?

Did raving reviews really have that big an impact on Avengers 3 day? Those first 3 days were kind of already sold were they not?

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

I guess I'll make some final predictions:

OW: $110-120 (That's being optimistic).
Dom: $375
OS: $325-350

Total: I think at most $750 would be it's ceiling.