Man of Steel Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 4

[robot]

I'm treading this whole board very carefully (still haven't seen it) but have the numbers been released for opening day?

Nope.. but projected to be close to 50M (including the 9M thurs midnight)

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

It has to. Paramount is running out of franchises. First Marvel, then Dreamworks Animation, next up is probably Hasbro.

No way Paramount gives up Transformers.

It's their Spider-man.

 

[macphisto96]

If MOS can manage 350 m domestic I'd say 700 m WW is a lock.

It even has a chance at beating ASM's 752 m.

I'd say a very good chance. Often times the international box will go way past the US box on these types of films. I'm not sure it would double up (that tends to happen on more established franchises), but it's also hard to gauge because of Nolan's name being on the marquee and the recognizability of Superman. The action will be a major driving factor in this one.

So $350M domestic, which is very possible with just modest holds, could very easily mean at least $700M - but it could just as easily mean $800 or $900M as well. Those are very good numbers for the first film in a franchise. The real story will be how much total it earns this weekend with all the box offices reporting in. If the total is in the $250M+ range (possible with US + Int) then even a billion is within reach.

 

[KangConquers]

I'm thinking $350 M is very likely domestic. It'd be nice to see this become the 4th superhero movie in the last 13 months to make $1 Billion ww, but I'll need to see the foreign OW total before I make that statement.

 

[Poni_Boy]

No way Paramount gives up Transformers.

It's their Spider-man.

It wouldn't be their choice. Disney has been after Hasbro for years and now they have the money to buy it. Paramount doesn't own Hasbro, they have no say in the matter just like what happened with Marvel Studios.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

I'm thinking $350 M is very likely domestic. It'd be nice to see this become the 4th superhero movie in the last 13 months to make $1 Billion ww, but I'll need to see the foreign OW total before I make that statement.

Seriously?

 

[Monicabbm]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice 2m
Super, man! MAN OF STEEL took flight on Friday soaring to $44M--$56M including pre-sales.

 

[dnno1]

Box Office: ‘Man of Steel’ Opens Fresh With Nearly $50 million Friday
http://variety.com/2013/film/news/b...oars-to-21-million-thursday-night-1200497086/

I think this will easily top $120 million for the weekend.

 

[Mysteryman]

frustrating that they still dont have an exact figure .
Say, Jim El, have you given up on 200 million yet?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice 2m
Super, man! MAN OF STEEL took flight on Friday soaring to $44M--$56M including pre-sales.

Does ”pre-sales” = Wal-Mart?

 

[robot]

Does ”pre-sales” = Wal-Mart?

No, wal-mart sales are considered Thurs' earnings.. pre-sales meaning people who booked online or paid for online

 

[Mysteryman]

Seriously?

Yeah, making a billion isnt easy as it sounds .

 

[Ms. Marvel]

Yeah, making a billion isnt easy as it sounds .

Exactly
I think the range for this movie is $600-800 million.
But people did underestimate IM3 big time...so who knows?

 

[Mysteryman]

IM3 had The Avengers Effect.
That one didnt surprise me at all.

 

[rashad]

Excellent start!

 

[Ita-KalEl]

I clearly remember that only 3 years ago, in the boxofficemojo.com forum, the vast majority of people predicted 170-180m as the domestic final gross of a Superman reboot.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

IM3 had The Avengers Effect.
That one didnt surprise me at all.

Yeah but people are still predicting Cap 2 and Thor 2 to get $500 million-$600 million.
I think that is a worst case scenario for both of them.
People are going to underestimate every Marvel movie, regardless of the Avengers effect.

 

[sf2]

Yeah but people are still predicting Cap 2 and Thor 2 to get $500 million-$600 million.
I think that is a worst case scenario for both of them.
People are going to underestimate every Marvel movie, regardless of the Avengers effect.

Well if they r good, they will do good.

 

[kalhawj]

As long as we make enough to get a sequel... I would be happy... MOS have set the foundation for an epic sequel. I just hope Goyer can use Lex how he did with Joker in the next script. IMO Lex could be one of the best villain ever if done right,

 

[TheComicbookKid]

No, wal-mart sales are considered Thurs' earnings.. pre-sales meaning people who booked online or paid for online

No in this case they are talking about Wal-Mart. WB pre-sold 12 in tickets to wal-mart for advanced screenings.

 

[Monicabbm]

Friday Box Office: 'Man Of Steel' Grosses Super $56 Million*

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottme...office-man-of-steel-grosses-super-56-million/

 

[KangConquers]

Seriously?

If it makes $350 M domestic, there's no reason it can't make $650 M foreign. That's a typical blockbuster ratio in 2013, unless it's a cripplingly unpopular foreign property (see Star Trek.)

 

[Tony Stark]

Friday was only 44M, the 56 includes the Wal-Mart pre sales. Still a good number, but the weekend will probably be 105M for the 3day or 117 with presales, so this won't break the June record, but a good start none the less.

 

[Ita-KalEl]

Friday was only 44M, the 56 includes the Wal-Mart pre sales. Still a good number, but the weekend will probably be 105M for the 3day or 117 with presales, so this won't break the June record, but a good start none the less.

I can feel the sadness in your words :P

 

[Tony Stark]

If it makes $350 M domestic, there's no reason it can't make $650 M foreign. That's a typical blockbuster ratio in 2013, unless it's a cripplingly unpopular foreign property (see Star Trek.)

It will be interesting to see the foreign BO. I thing 350 will be difficult with the upcoming movies, but I agree with the ratios you laid out.