May Box Office Predictions

[WorthyStevens]

How many movies have made over 100M during its first three days? Last I checked, not very many. Spider-Man still holds the record and X3 will NOT make a run at those type numbers.

If Shrek 2 and Harry Potter 4 can make over $100 million in 3 days, so can X3.

 

[YJ1]

If Shrek 2 and Harry Potter 4 can make over $100 million in 3 days, so can X3.

I knew Potter recently did but I didn't remember Shrek 2. Hmmmmmmmmm.... you may be right.

 

[Fanticon]

yeah...I said 110m opening weekend but I'm including its entire 4 day holiday take...so quite possibly 90m-95m 3day take.

 

[danoyse]

Anyone watch Jimmy Kimmel tonight? He mentioned how much he loved the first two movies and the audience response was definitely in agreement. That's a good sign for the movie, I think.

 

[eXperiment]

5 Billion

 

[ororoandme]

how accurate are the folks at Box office prophets?

 

[chaseter]

I say X3 opens right at or just below 100 million.

 

[ororoandme]

I say X3 opens right at or just below 100 million.

AMEN to that!

 

[berzerko89]

X-Men 3 = BOXOFFICE = MILLIONS OF CASH = SEQUEL???

 

[Mike059jig]

i agree with coming soon.net income...just alittle more for superman and x-men..POTC..is a great pick!!

 

[chaseter]

I don't think superman will beat x-men. Especially not the first weekend. Only die hard fans of superman will go see it opening weekend. X-Men movies are more recent and has a broader fan base. The original superman fans were the comic book readers and the ones who were old enough when the movies came out. X-Men has a broader fan base than superman does today.

 

[MJB]

I don't think superman will beat x-men. Especially not the first weekend. Only die hard fans of superman will go see it opening weekend. X-Men movies are more recent and has a broader fan base. The original superman fans were the comic book readers and the ones who were old enough when the movies came out. X-Men has a broader fan base than superman does today.

What? I love the Xmen more the Superman, and I hope it makes more, but come on man. Superman is an American Icon. Supes is going to make more then Xmen. I really believe that it'll be number one at the box office for the summer. If it doesn't it'll be because of POTC.

 

[TNC9852002]

Yeah...The general audience is still undecided about Superman it seems...I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't make as much as everyone initally thought..

-TNC

 

[berzerko89]

But woulndt it be odd if SR became more successful than X3?

 

[Celestial]

I think there's a good chance that SR will exceed X3's box office but still be considered a b.o. disappointment (like KK) whereas X3 only has to do better than X2.

For me, Superman Returns seems similar to King Kong ($218m domestic, $549m worldwide):
- iconic character
- based on (or following on from) a film that everyone has seen repeatedly
- successful director with a big fan base
- big budget and SFX
- long runing time
The test is whether the tv spots can sell it to the general audience.

With X3, the audience is pretty well understood. It's the people who saw X2 in the theatres plus anyone who's discovered the franchise since through DVD and tv or because they're fans of the actors. It's not going to turn in Spider-Man numbers but it should exceed X2 in the US and do even better overseas (still an expanding market and with a weak dollar, overseas rentals are worth more).

My finger in the air projections:
US 4-day opening $100m
US total $240m
Worldwide total $500m

 

[TNC9852002]

Yeah...I definitely see SR becoming this summer's King Kong and POTC2 will be Narnia and X3 will be Harry Potter..

-TNC

 

[berzerko89]

Im just hoping that X3 maintains the topspot for at least 3 weeks lol.

 

[TNC9852002]

MI2 got 215m domestic gross with a 125m budget back in 2000.

X2 got a 214m domestic gross with a 110m budget back in 2003.

MI3 looks like it could possibly go the distance...Let's hope that X3 does the same and not get affected in the same way by Matrix Reloaded.

-TNC

 

[WorthyStevens]

Yeah...I definitely see SR becoming this summer's King Kong and POTC2 will be Narnia and X3 will be Harry Potter..

-TNC

Snakes on a Plane will be this summer's Family Stone.

 

[lordofthenerds]

MI2 got 215m domestic gross with a 125m budget back in 2000.

X2 got a 214m domestic gross with a 110m budget back in 2003.

MI3 looks like it could possibly go the distance...Let's hope that X3 does the same and not get affected in the same way by Matrix Reloaded.

-TNC

Hey TNC. Do you live in Farmington Hills, MI?

 

[TNC9852002]

Snakes on a Plane will be this summer's Family Stone.

Hey! I liked the Family Stone!..

-TNC

 

[TNC9852002]

Hey TNC. Do you live in Farmington Hills, MI?

Nope...MOW-TOWN.

-TNC

 

[WorthyStevens]

Hey! I liked the Family Stone!..

-TNC

Fine then. Snakes on a Plane will be the next Rumor Has It.

 

[lordofthenerds]

Nope...MOW-TOWN.

-TNC

Oh, I thought you said you did ealier. Never mind...maybe that was just a dream. JC I'm out of it.

 

[MJB]

MI3 was damn good.We're all going on about X3 and hoping it or some knowing it'll be better then SR, but has anyone seen MI3?? I'm hoping to god that X3 tops that out. MI3 was really good. I can't believe WB let Abrams script go. Yeah the script had some shyt like Krypton still being around and Luthor is an Alien, but take that out and that script rocked. I did say back when that script was leaked that it was good, but needed fixing.

I know some are going to be pissed at me, but I don't think that X3 will be better then MI3. I don't have much faith that Kinberg and Penn are going to top Abrams and his crew in the writting dept.