The Rise of Skywalker Star Wars IX Box Office Thread

[David Alexander]

Don't get caught up with the opening night numbers. Those tickets were bought and sold because this is the final Star Wars of the trilogy. Now people are seeing it look at the box office starting Saturday and you will see the affect. This could be a BVS situation.

 

[Gothamsknight]

saw the film last night and loved it despite the pacing issues, as did my audience. I really hope this movie doesnt take the plunge because of critics. its way better than what they were saying.

 

[AverageMan]

As predicted, the force isn’t strong with the Middle Kingdom.

ouch

 

[NotNickFury]

Not off to a good start. But then again, these films have never really done well in China. At least The Last Jedi didn't, anyway.

 

[MadVillainy]

But Star Wars never had done well in China right?

 

[Silver Surfer]

No one should be surprised or disappointed by the China number. Star Wars has severely declined with every single movie since TFA. The Chinese audience don't care about Star Wars, quality of the movie doesn't matter one way or the other, they simply don't care for the franchise.

 

[MadVillainy]

saw the film last night and loved it despite the pacing issues, as did my audience. I really hope this movie doesnt take the plunge because of critics. its way better than what they were saying.

It won't be because of critics. Stop the false narrative.

 

[Silver Surfer]

But Star Wars never had done in China right?

Correct, the original trilogy was never released in China, they have no connection to it what so ever. The MCU is their Star Wars.

 

[Gothamsknight]

It won't be because of critics. Stop the false narrative.

The only point I was trying to make is that people should go see this and decide for themselves.

 

[MadVillainy]

The only point I was trying to make is that people should go see this and decide for themselves.

But why does that need to be said? Why are you acting like people don't already do this? There are so many well received movies that flop and there are poorly received movies that do well.

This is like BvS all over again. People getting pissy at critics and trying to start false narratives.

 

[TheGuy]

Oof. Voted 1.6-1.8b WW, but that is looking like a 100% impossibility right now.

 

[shinlyle]

The only point I was trying to make is that people should go see this and decide for themselves.

I will.

That being said, you can't always use the "see it for yourself before you judge it" logic. That's why critics, film review sites, and word of mouth exist. If someone is on the fence about seeing it, and they see the critics didn't love it (critics don't hate it, it's mixed reviews, people are just grading on the Star Wars curve), they see their friends with similar tastes don't like it, and then they see the hardcore fans don't like it, then there's no reason to shuck out money for it.

That's why I haven't seen Indy 4, nor will I ever. I can confidently say it sucks without having seen it because I know there is a scene with a 60 year old man getting shot out of a nuclear site in a refrigerator, landing, and getting out without being reduced to a paraplegic. I find that sucky.

That being said, I expect we'll see this film do equal or less than The Last Jedi. They have a good weekend lined up, people will take their families, and even Episode 2 made a boatload of cash, and that was a dumpster fire in a radioactive wasteland...and it came out when the first Spider-Man was kicking butt at the box office. This movie will be fine...and if it isn't, then we have our answer for how the world received it.

Either way, I still have the original (UNALTERED) trilogy and Rogue One to keep my Star Wars movie collection glistening.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

44-48 from previews is just fine. And bombing in China was 100% expected. I honestly don’t know why Disney even bothers releasing these films there anymore. Foreign studios only get so many slots a year and it seem dumb to waste one on a franchise the Chinese clearly don’t care about.

 

[AcidRain]

I will.
Either way, I still have the original (UNALTERED) trilogy and Rogue One to keep my Star Wars movie collection glistening.

Where do you get the Unaltered Original Trilogy ? Every Blu-Ray I am aware of has the unwanted Lucas enhancements.

 

[Hotwire]

Where do you get the Unaltered Original Trilogy ? Every Blu-Ray I am aware of has the unwanted Lucas enhancements.

Pre-1997 VHS.
Its an old code, but it checks out.

 

[Webhead38]

Its worth noting just to be completely transparent and factual on the data, those early estimates are just that....estimates. Most sources I have spoken to indicate even the bottom number is inflated based on their reporting. But until we see the actual numbers, those estimates are what we have. The actuals should be coming out very soon and then we can project from there.

If the question from this is why is Deadline's reporting appear inflated? Because they appear to be overstating turn out for late night and overnight showings which most are reporting as flat or nonexistent. So they might have gone with previous averages from other Star Wars films to build in that total before they had to meet a deadline to report estimates. We'll know soon if those averages applied here or not. It remains an interesting weekend to watch.

 

[Detective Conan]

 

[Webhead38]

Yep. The consensus worked out. Deadline was pretty off on the estimates. With that number now firmly in place, that definitely plays to a sub $200 million weekend. I would say $180 to $185 million is a good ballpark.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

That works.

 

[antsman41]

True. And if the legs fall out from under this film, from bad word of mouth--then even 1B is a pipe dream.

That's crazy that the last Star Wars film, of the sequel trilogy, may potentially fizzle out in this way.

Well, it fits... JJ writing fizzled out this way.

 

[Mysteryman]

That works.

How do you mean?

 

[shinlyle]

Where do you get the Unaltered Original Trilogy ? Every Blu-Ray I am aware of has the unwanted Lucas enhancements.

It came out on DVD in the early 2000's. It was a direct port of the laser disc copies. So, they are the same as the pre "Special Edition" copies. They came out right after Episode 3. It was actually the bonus disc. You even had to buy them all individually....which sucked, but I now laugh whenever the Blu-rays come out. A movie not filmed in HD put in HD with "new footage" and an AWFUL Krayt Dragon scream. You can get them on ebay, now...but they're pricey, I think.

Star Wars Original Unaltered Theatrical Trilogy 6 DVD Han Shoots First w/inserts 24543559856 | eBay

 

[SomeOldGuy]

How do you mean?

I mean, 40 is fine. It’s likely to end up in the same ballpark as Rogue One and Last Jedi. Now, that’s what I expected, so others’ mileage may vary.

 

[spiderman2]

With China not a surprise they never got into star wars and even TFA made little there. Now the opening night number is a dissapointment has 40 is like 4 less then TLJ. So ow may only be like 180 and that would be like 40 million below TLJ. Now maybe it will have better legs but with TLJ making about 1.3 billion and having like a 700 milliin drop of from TFA it would be nice to see this movie do better. With its OW and internation numbers being down compares to TLJ the movie may only make like 1.1 billion or something. Now maybe it has better legs but even then maybe it would get to around TLJ 1.3. I thought this movie would bounce back after TLJ and make like 1.6-1.7 billion.

 

[Galactus123]

It came out on DVD in the early 2000's. It was a direct port of the laser disc copies. So, they are the same as the pre "Special Edition" copies. They came out right after Episode 3. It was actually the bonus disc. You even had to buy them all individually....which sucked, but I now laugh whenever the Blu-rays come out. A movie not filmed in HD put in HD with "new footage" and an AWFUL Krayt Dragon scream. You can get them on ebay, now...but they're pricey, I think.

Star Wars Original Unaltered Theatrical Trilogy 6 DVD Han Shoots First w/inserts 24543559856 | eBay

The movies are on 35 mm film so they are basically filmed in HD.