The Rise of Skywalker Star Wars IX Box Office Thread

[SomeOldGuy]

Deadline with some international numbers:

Disney/Lucasfilm’s Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalkerpowered up its light sabers in 46 material offshore markets through Thursday, grossing $59.1M at the international box office. That includes China where the force is, unsurprisingly, not strong with this final installment. Elsewhere, Episode IX has seen launches above Star Wars: The Last Jedi in most majors. With $40M in Thursday shows domestically, the movie is already at nearly $100M global in its first two days.

So far, all openings are No. 1 outside the UAE and China. The UK leads play at $8.3M through Thursday, followed by Germany with $7.2M, France at $5.3M and Australia at $4.3M. China, which had previews on Wednesday and Thursday, made $3.6M across those, and (not included in the total above) is now at about $6M through Friday, landing at No. 4 for the day behind some local titles including Ip Man 4: The Finalewhich ultimately stuck to its date, as well as Sheep Without A Shepherd and Feng Xiaogang’s Only Cloud Knows.

Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker Steps Out With $59M In 2 Days Overseas – Deadline

 

[Webhead38]

With China not a surprise they never got into star wars and even TFA made little there. Now the opening night number is a dissapointment has 40 is like 4 less then TLJ. So ow may only be like 180 and that would be like 40 million below TLJ. Now maybe it will have better legs but with TLJ making about 1.3 billion and having like a 700 milliin drop of from TFA it would be nice to see this movie do better. With its OW and internation numbers being down compares to TLJ the movie may only make like 1.1 billion or something. Now maybe it has better legs but even then maybe it would get to around TLJ 1.3. I thought this movie would bounce back after TLJ and make like 1.6-1.7 billion.

I don't think there's allot of apples to apples compare to offer here. TROS has an entirely different challenge in front of it, that TLJ did not have heading into it's opening weekend. TLJ enjoyed the winds at its back by riding in off the wave of TFA which had become the highest grossing film of all time domestically. It also enjoyed some of the highest reviews ever for a Star Wars film. So it had every conceivable advantage a film could have in opening, plus the added incentive of the holidays to ride that default decision many make to see the latest and greatest while off from work.

TROS has the winds in its face with the divide TLJ created, plus a years worth of bad press from every hit the brand took - under-performing theme park; a poorly received film commercially with Solo; poor selling merchandise; and then the nonstop bickering between artists, directors, and heads of Lucasfilm with fans. Star Wars has given the public a long and sustained profile of dysfunctional behavior the brand has never seen. It's one and only eleventh hour victory was Mandalorian. And many fans should be happy for that, because I think that handed back a bit of good will the brand had sorely lost.

So this film is truly in uncharted waters. $40 million is a solid opening, so that is descent. But if the film does come in around $180 million plus for the weekend and is off better than $40 million from the TLJ's opening weekend tally, I don't see an easy jog across the billion dollar mark by any stretch. With further depressed markets overseas, poor reviews, and another divided camp on what this film is about, TROS has allot of hurdles to clear to get even remotely close to that mark. At this point, I think we need to settle back and see how this weekend closes out and whether the movie can build any momentum into the holiday next week. Note too this is the last weekend before Christmas. That will pull people away as well. Realistically I believe by next weekend we'll have a better idea if that billion dollar goal is probable for this installment.

 

[Zorro]

So it's doing good domestically and overall internationally or actually bad?

 

[Elayis]

Is it at all conceivable that Lucasfilm would learn a lesson if this film underperformed? I hope TRoS is not a sign of where SW will be going in the future.

 

[Doctor Jones]

Jesus, it's not even gonna crack $200 mil. The envy of most movies, but for SW, the third film in a trilogy where there's an uptick, the supposed conclusion of "The Skywalker Saga" it's not the best news.

I'm curious what that drop off is gonna be.

 

[Sithborg]

We are still in relatively uncharted territory with how films that open this big do in the holiday season.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

89-92 Friday (including previews) per Rth at BOT.

 

[Iceman]

Is it at all conceivable that Lucasfilm would learn a lesson if this film underperformed? I hope TRoS is not a sign of where SW will be going in the future.

Money talks, eventually at least.

 

[Doctor Jones]

We are still in relatively uncharted territory with how films that open this big do in the holiday season.

Oh, yeah, it's going to be THE movie to see this weekend and during the holidays with everybody off so it's gonna be a giant hit. But this movie should be opening just as high if not higher than TFA. It's just not what's expected of this film for this franchise.

 

[Sithborg]

I mean, it is okay to acknowledge that maybe, TFA was an outlier in the popularity of Star Wars.

 

[psylockolussus]

Even with good reviews and a better reception for the last Jedi,it was never going to open as high as The Force Awakens. This is the 11th Star Wars film after all and the 5th film since 2015. Its not like they got a gimmick like the mcu has, to draw bigger audience with every new film.

 

[spiderman2]

I mean, it is okay to acknowledge that maybe, TFA was an outlier in the popularity of Star Wars.

Maybe but we could be looking at TLJ being like 700 million less and TROSW being around the same or maybe even like 200 million low or something then TFA that is a lot. It would be one thing if TFA did 2 billion and the other ones did 1.7 or something. Seeing that big of a difference means there is a lot more to it then just TFA being the first star wars movie in 10 years. Like i said before to TLJ made about 1.3 billion but could have been 1.5 with just like ok legs. You would also think TROSW would get some kind of bost over TLJ just because its the end of the skywalker saga.

 

[MadVillainy]

Expecting this to do as well as TFA is silly

 

[spiderman2]

‘Star Wars: Rise Of Skywalker’ Box Office: Thursday Night Scores $40 Million – Deadline

 

[spiderman2]

‘Star Wars: Rise Of Skywalker’ Box Office: Thursday Night Scores $40 Million – Deadline

 

[Iceman]

Doesn’t look like this will be a very exciting run. TFA’s was so crazy.

 

[Man in the Suit]

B+ Cinemascore rating. Lower than the prequels and Disney releases. It'll be interesting to see how this performs.

 

[Silver Surfer]

The Joker had a B+ Cinemascore and did a 3x multiplier run.

 

[spiderman2]

Doesn’t look like this will be a very exciting run. TFA’s was so crazy.

I remember at one point in time it looked like TFA might make 1 billion just in the USA but then it final had a more normal drop late in its run.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

I still think this will make a billion...but it will be in the 1.1 range i think.

 

[spiderman2]

So TLJ made about 220 OW and end at about 620 a multipler of about 2.8. TFA opened at about 248 and made about 936 multipler of about 3.8. If this makes the 195 number that deadline was saying earlyer tonight for OW and were to have TLJ multipler it would make 546. If it had TFA it would make 741. Now i dont see it having TFA but i do think it might have a better Multipler then TLJ though because from what i am seeing it seems like fans are likely it more then TLJ. I have seen several people i known on facebook that have seen the movie and loved it. On forums over the internet it seems like people are higer on it then TLJ. RT audience score is better to. If it were to have in the middle of TFA and TLJ multipler that would mean 3.3 multipler and that would mean 643.5 if you go off a 195 OW or about 23 million more over all then TLJ.

 

[Tony Stark]

It's not getting TFA's multiplier.

 

[spiderman2]

It's not getting TFA's multiplier.

Not saying it is i was just showing how TFA and TLJ compared. I do think it could get in the middle of the 2.

 

[8ulk87]

Its doing fine. It will outgross TLJ but not reach TFA which is to be expected.
In the Top15 of all time.

The 57-86 score on RT is also quite decent imho.

 

[Adder]

B+ Cinemascore rating. Lower than the prequels and Disney releases. It'll be interesting to see how this performs.

The final nail.