The Rise of Skywalker Star Wars IX Box Office Thread

How much money will Star Wars IX make? (Please choose 2 options, domestic and worldwide)

  • Less than 300M domestic

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 300M - 400M domestic

    Votes: 2 3.0%
  • 400M - 500M domestic

    Votes: 11 16.4%
  • 500M - 600M domestic

    Votes: 13 19.4%
  • 600M - 700M domestic

    Votes: 1 1.5%
  • 700M - 800M domestic

    Votes: 8 11.9%
  • 800M - 900M domestic

    Votes: 6 9.0%
  • Over 900M domestic

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Under 1B worldwide

    Votes: 7 10.4%
  • 1B - 1.2B worldwide

    Votes: 20 29.9%
  • 1.2B - 1.3B worldwide

    Votes: 5 7.5%
  • 1.3B - 1.4B worldwide

    Votes: 5 7.5%
  • 1.4B - 1.5B worldwide

    Votes: 6 9.0%
  • 1.5B - 1.6B worlwide

    Votes: 7 10.4%
  • 1.6B - 1.8B worldwide

    Votes: 3 4.5%
  • Over 1.8B worldwide

    Votes: 6 9.0%

  • Total voters
    67
  • Poll closed .
Its doing fine. It will outgross TLJ but not reach TFA which is to be expected.
In the Top15 of all time.

The 57-86 score on RT is also quite decent imho.

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Below $200m opening weekend is disappointing.
 
Yeah, BOM, is a bit of a crapfest now.
It’s been virtually useless since the redesign.

Speaking of crapfests, BOT is melting down on one of their insiders’ pegging Saturday at 47.5, which would point to a 175-180 OW. Which of course would be in line with pre opening projections...
 
Opening Day:

The Rise of Skywalker
(2019): "Updated PostTrak for Skywalker shows guys over 25 (43%) in attendance followed by men under 25 (24%), females 25+ (22%), and females under 25 (10%)." (audience 67% men, 32% women)

The Last Jedi (2019): "Opening day demographics show the film played to an audience that was 58% male vs. 43% female and of that audience 37% was 25 years old or under."

First 2 weeks:

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* MPAA Reports: "Comscore/Screen Engine's 'PostTrak' collects domestic survey data for all films in release in at least 800 theaters, which links box office grosses to gender and ethnicity of attendees. The surveys are conducted during the first two weeks of a film's wide release."
percentage values in table may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding


Sources: Solo: A Star Wars Story, 2017, 2016, 2015
 
I am kind of surprised it was that low. I mean, I didn't think the movie was great by any means, but if you would have asked me last year if we'd see a Saga Star Wars movie open to less than 200 million dollars domestically in the opening weekend, I just wouldn't have believed it. Yet, here we are. Even more surprised that it would miss that mark by about 25 mil.
 
Between the mixed RT score and the poorer Cinemascore(indicating audiences aren’t as thrilled with it as the previous movies) there is a slight chance this movie doesn’t join the billion dollar club. I’m very curious to see how steep the drop off is for this movie next weekend.
 
It's funny because $175M is still a lot of money and a number most studios would kill for as their OW for any of their blockbusters, but for a finale in something as hugely popular as Star Wars I definitely see it as underwhelming, especially when the third films in this franchise have increased in the past from their predecessors. I never imagined this going sub $200M and hearing about its OS in certain territories doesn't sound very promising either. It really makes me wonder if it could go below $1B WW which would be an utter disaster IMO.
 
Between the mixed RT score and the poorer Cinemascore(indicating audiences aren’t as thrilled with it as the previous movies) there is a slight chance this movie doesn’t join the billion dollar club. I’m very curious to see how steep the drop off is for this movie next weekend.

Same here dude. I don't think this movie is going to have wonderful legs personally, but I'm going to be curious to see this all play out
 
Guess beating the $1332,5 mil of The Last Jedi is now out of the question.

Probably gonna end in the $975 - 1275 mil range.

Not what most people thought but for me its still good.

TFA was a genie in a bottle after all. I think people overestimated the power of the SW franchise.
TFA had EVERYTHING going for it.

The Avengers franchise is the SW of this era. PERIOD.

I dont think its reasonable to attribute the "low" numbers to the "failures" of Solo and TLJ.

SW just isnt that strong as it used to be. It doesnt resonate with younger generations like it does with older ones.
 
Guess beating the $1332,5 mil of The Last Jedi is now out of the question.

Probably gonna end in the $975 - 1275 mil range.

Not what most people thought but for me its still good.

TFA was a genie in a bottle after all. I think people overestimated the power of the SW franchise.
TFA had EVERYTHING going for it.

The Avengers franchise is the SW of this era. PERIOD.

I dont think its reasonable to attribute the "low" numbers to the "failures" of Solo and TLJ.

SW just isnt that strong as it used to be. It doesnt resonate with younger generations like it does with older ones.
Forget TFA though. Star Wars Episode films should still be making more than the likes of Aquaman and Joker. At least well clear of a billion even if nowhere near TFA, as we’ve already had 8 films get over that mark this year.
 
That number is alarming for a star wars movie, just shows a steady decline
 
I’m going to wait and see how it goes. It’s kind of a tough weekend to open, just five days before Xmas. Last time this calendar arrangement happened in 2013, there were no major releases this weekend. That year’s biggie, Desolation of Smaug, opened the weekend before. And both TFA and TLJ opened further out as well. My guess is next Wed-Sat will be good.
 

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