The Rise of Skywalker Star Wars IX Box Office Thread

[psylockolussus]

Other Studios wishes they have a film that earned over a billion in 2019.

 

[BatLobster]

Instead of talking about why a billion is only "meh", we should be talking about how one studio this year released 8 (or 9 depending on if you count Far From Home) billion dollar + grossing films in one year, while also launching a streaming network with over 40 billion subs in record time.

By any measure, it's one of the most successful years for an entertainment company that one could imagine. But it's also more than a tad frightening to see just how powerful they are right now.

 

[Spider-Fan]

Other Studios wishes they have a film that earned over a billion in 2019.

WB and Sony each had 1

 

[dhandler01]

Instead of talking about why a billion is only "meh", we should be talking about how one studio this year released 8 (or 9 depending on if you count Far From Home) billion dollar + grossing films in one year, while also launching a streaming network with over 40 billion subs in record time.

By any measure, it's one of the most successful years for an entertainment company that one could imagine. But it's also more than a tad frightening to see just how powerful they are right now.

This is a thread about the box office for a film, not a Di$ney ******ing thread. I am sure there are plenty of those around

Not to mention it is complete lowering of expectations to pretend that ROS struggling to get to a billion (which it did) is some sort of victory especially with the critical reception it had. This film should have coasted to a billion especially with the holiday placement it had.

 

[dhandler01]

WB and Sony each had 1

And WB's didnt cost $300 million to make

 

[BatLobster]

This is a thread about the box office for a film, not a Di$ney ******ing thread. I am sure there are plenty of those around

Not to mention it is complete lowering of expectations to pretend that ROS struggling to get to a billion (which it did) is some sort of victory especially with the critical reception it had. This film should have coasted to a billion especially with the holiday placement it had.

The fact that it still got to a billion even with the mixed (at best) critical reception is probably a testament to the resilience of the brand if anything, and decent word of mouth.

Look, this movie could/should've performed better. I think we can all acknowledge that. But it's also not some unmitigated disaster. A billion is a billion, and they've released 4 films in 5 years to hit that mark. Star Wars may have taken some damage from older fans who felt burnt with this trilogy, but it's far from dead. Which is something I've grown really tired of hearing about over the past few years. There are lot of things to look forward to in the future with this franchise with streaming, and I'm glad it's going to be taking a few years off from the big screen before hopefully returning with something fresh and exciting.

It will probably never go back to its glory days of being the unquestioned biggest blockbuser franchise in the world. Even with the prequels, it was clear that was no longer going to be the case when AOTC got outperformed by Spider-Man. A sign of things to come. And I don't see anything overtaking Marvel in that regard any time soon. Still, it's not the end of the world, like people have been shouting about for the past 2 years. Star Wars is still a monster brand that's going to make Disney a lot of money for years to come. Imagine if we had data for the amount of people who signed up for Disney+ mainly because of The Mandalorian...

 

[Smurphftw]

Attack of the Clones was a poorly recieved movie, as was The Phantom Menace. The Force Awakens is the only movie since the OT that really had the majority of the audience in positive spirits. We'd be looking at very different results if all of the PT and ST movies had actually made the majority of the audience happy.

The Fantastic Four reboot was poorly received.

Post OT Star Wars movies have had at worst, mixed receptions amongst audiences and critics.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

 

[Agent Orange]

The Fantastic Four reboot was poorly received.

Post OT Star Wars movies have had at worst, mixed receptions amongst audiences and critics.

Also, kids don't care much for Star Wars. It's all about Marvel. The Star Wars brand, at this point, is heavily reliant on the adult crowd. When you couple that with it's non-entity status in China, well, it's still making terrific money in the Disney era.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

Theater count losses (Week 4 to Week 5): Percentage
TFA (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -7.55%
RO (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -23.94%
TLJ (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -26.98%
SOLO (May) (Week 4 to Week 5): -26.52% (Week 3 to Week 4 -26.60%, Week 2 to Week 3 -1.05%)
TROS (December) (Week 4 to Week 5): -28.53% (Week 3 to Week 4 -2.88%)

Source: Weekend Theater Counts: Dolittle Dominates as This Weeks Widest Release - The Numbers

 

[Mr. Peanut]

The Fantastic Four reboot was poorly received.

Post OT Star Wars movies have had at worst, mixed receptions amongst audiences and critics.

The point is, none of them have been anywhere near as well recieved as the OT.

It's just like all the other old franchises that are failing to maintain their former glory. It's not that people aren't interested in the premise of those franchises anymore (at least not usually), it's that those specific movies are failing to capture the audience's interest. You can't just ride on the coattails of past successes, you still have to actually put in the legwork to earn a positive reception from the audience.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Should be around 493 after the holiday weekend.

 

[Limonade]

Should be around 493 after the holiday weekend.

10 mil in 3 days?
So each day it pulls in approx. above 3 mil?

I'm low balling 3-4 million domestic. International? maybe matching that. 10 million is generous.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

10 mil in 3 days?
So each day it pulls in approx. above 3 mil?

I'm low balling 3-4 million domestic. International? maybe matching that. 10 million is generous.

$10 million domestic (more or less) over the four day holiday weekend.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

 

[Mandon Knight]

Latest....

Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker - Box Office Mojo

 

[Stark Bauer]

Total stands at 485 million domestic. I still believe it will not cross 500 million.

 

[8ulk87]

Over $490 mil EASILY after Sunday.

You ll lose this bet as well

Heading for ~$510 mil imho.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Also the OS figures have been updated to 534.

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (2019) - Financial Information

so the WW estimate is now at 1.028.

 

[8ulk87]

The final total will gonna be pretty close with Rogue One.
More than $10 mil left to add from both US & OS markets.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

The final total will gonna be pretty close with Rogue One.
More than $10 mil left to add from both US & OS markets.

Yup. Feels like 1.05-1.06 when all’s said and done.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

TROS = TLJ -2.3% Week 1
TROS = TLJ -24.3% Week 2
TROS = TLJ -45.3% Week 3
TROS = TLJ -34.4% Week 4
TROS = TLJ -27.8% Week 5 (based on official estimates for the 4-day holiday weekend and my projections for the next 3 days after)

If that -27.8% were to be locked for the remainder (which it won't be just like the domestic/foreign split comparisons), TROS would make another $16.2M for Week 6 to the finish and finish at $512.5M domestic. But the comparison wobbles from week to week as seen above and I can't account for an x factor like a theater expansion which would throw stuff off even more. If the difference continues to decrease the total will go up, if the difference increases the total goes down. If the foreign share of the split gets bigger the higher the final global total goes up, and vice versa.

 

[DarkKnight88]

Also, kids don't care much for Star Wars. It's all about Marvel. The Star Wars brand, at this point, is heavily reliant on the adult crowd. When you couple that with it's non-entity status in China, well, it's still making terrific money in the Disney era.

The irony will be in 20-30 years, when Marvel resurrects all these characters with the same actors, the kids of that era will be onto something else we don't even know about, and the same "disappointment" talk will be about that Avengers reunion.

The fact that a franchise has survived over 40 years and can still have a billion dollar movie, we'll see what other franchises that are popular now can do that. Time will be the ultimate victor.

 

[Stark Bauer]

Looks like I was wrong again. I am glad to be wrong however. As I absolutely adore the SW universe and hope that the future instalments are successful.

I miscalculated this prediction majorly- that doesn’t happen often - mostly because Disney did a masterful job scheduling this movie at the perfect time- during the lucrative Christmas to New Years break as well as MLK day (which allowed it to have a much better hold than I could foresee) with very little to weak competition.

I now raise my prediction to:

$515 million domestic
$555 million international
$1.070 billion worldwide

it is fitting that the conclusion to the mainline trilogy will surpass Rogue One. In spite of the problems i had with ROS completely disregarding Darth Vader’s sacrifice and the eradication of the actual Skywalker bloodline, this franchise deserves better than to make less than Rogue One. It deserves better writing and a vision that honours its past. Creators at the helm who will do the franchise justice and tell a story that die hard fans will eat up. If The Mandalorian and the Baby Yoda craze is any indication - and IT IS - something BIG is coming folks.

If ROS can make over a billion in spite of it being poorly planned and poorly written, as well as following up the dumpster fire that was TLJ, you can bet that the next trilogy will make a billion easy - like in its first week and then some - 2 billion will not be out of reach.

 

[writer0327]

The irony will be in 20-30 years, when Marvel resurrects all these characters with the same actors, the kids of that era will be onto something else we don't even know about, and the same "disappointment" talk will be about that Avengers reunion.

The fact that a franchise has survived over 40 years and can still have a billion dollar movie, we'll see what other franchises that are popular now can do that. Time will be the ultimate victor.

A 40+ year old franchise that many say is struggling gets a $1B movie and everyone thinks this is problematic for Disney. Disney has to be smiling ear to ear. After all the chaos and drama, SW looks to be just fine. People don't realize how strong the SW brand is. As long as they keep building their fanbase with new material and new characters, they'll be just fine.