Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Baba3231]

Early reviews aren't promising.

 

[Silver Surfer]

A sub 100 million OW, sub 250 million Domestic, sub 700 million WW.

 

[Avalanche]

I feel like releasing the embargo so early is really going to bite them on the ass. X-Men movies always have bad legs. We saw the huge drops with BvS and I'd expect this to be even worse given the increased competition and coming off the back of potential superhero fatigue.

 

[Tilapia]

Wow... Singer was out of his element tackling this. I think they rushed it. Needed a breather after DoFP, but they milked JLaw and the FC crew. Last Stand here, possibly worse. Not banking on sequels unless this new team of actors can be had on the cheap.

 

[GuestStar2004]

Milking them wasn't the issue.

 

[kineticist]

Needless to say this probably won't be the highest grossing X-film. lol

 

[Sithborg]

Still a tad early to say that. We don't know how the audience will react to it.

 

[RLAAMJR.]

I will still watch the movie.

 

[psylockolussus]

They should embargoed the reviews until next week when it opens in UK next Wednesday!

 

[StormC]

Still a tad early to say that. We don't know how the audience will react to it.

X-Men isn't an instant butts-in-seats franchise anymore. It has to prove itself with the bumpy ride it's had. 500 million feels like the cap here.

 

[RLAAMJR.]

Because of the bad reviews, it will not reach $1 billion but it will outsell BvS.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

This is probably the most interesting box office to me now besides Doctor Strange and the whitewashing effect.

People are ready to write it as DOA and it's coming out on Memorial Day weekend.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Because of the bad reviews, it will not reach $1 billion but it will outsell BvS.

Based on what?

 

[RLAAMJR.]

Based on what?

Lots of Xmen Apocalypse posters.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Lots of Xmen Apocalypse posters.

 

[josh8]

X-Men isn't an instant butts-in-seats franchise anymore. It has to prove itself with the bumpy ride it's had. 500 million feels like the cap here.

That's ridiculous first and foremost because internationally, reviews are not that important haha.

 

[josh8]

X3 was a total turd and made more than X2. Everyone stop exaggerating about this being doomsday!

XM:A doesn't sound like an outright bad movie. It just isn't perfect and not groundbreaking.

 

[Silver Surfer]

I think it's a race between this and Suicide Squad for the lowest grossing CBM of the year.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

I think it's a race between this and Suicide Squad for the lowest grossing CBM of the year.

What, you TMNT2 is gonna blow the lid off both?

 

[brandeezy89]

Because of the bad reviews, it will not reach $1 billion but it will outsell BvS.

Best joke i've seen today. Alice will outsell X-Men, quote me on that

I think it's a race between this and Suicide Squad for the lowest grossing CBM of the year.

Lol i'll bet that SS outgrosses X-Men

 

[Silver Surfer]

What, you TMNT2 is gonna blow the lid off both?

Ah, forgot that TMNT2 is also a CBM.

 

[Sithborg]

X-Men isn't an instant butts-in-seats franchise anymore. It has to prove itself with the bumpy ride it's had. 500 million feels like the cap here.

Because there in no way was 2 immediate preceding movies that built goodwill. DOFP did well. And I know many want to dismiss Deadpool as an X-men movie, but he said the damn name enough to make it clear it was involved with the X-men movies.

I'm not saying that the reviews are not a problem. But I know enough people who are not hard core internetters who got excited for the movie by the trailers. And there is time for the marketing to pick up.

The box office is not as certain as many make it out to be.

 

[SAUspartan]

It will do fine. it may be low on RT but RT isn't what drives Box Office.

 

[def28]

X-Men has never flopped even with poor reviews.

What is does have to worry about is how this will hurt the next X-Men film if wom stays like this. X-Men has had too many ups and downs. One film's reception does hurt the other. Right when they grab their audience back it's not good to lose them again. People are gonna be even more conflicted with the franchise if this is somewhere in-between X3 and Origins.

 

[Smilodon]

One thing I do want Fox to do is keeping pushing the story forward (with obvious retooling, course corrections, adjustments etc. of course). As we've seen with characters like Hawkeye, it is possible to build upon characters over multiple films. We just haven't able to see that besides a select few in this franchise. Being a power display is one thing, but being a one and done power display is even worse.

Deadpool can help a bit with trying to create a unified brand/universe for Fox, but they'll have to make sure those other spinoffs are hits so they're not carrying all of their eggs in one basket with the flagship X-Men film (and a basket that can only contain a limited amount of mutants it seems)