Age of Ultron Early Avengers 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[8ulk]

Something to consider about this circumstance.
When the american actor Ledger died and 'boosted' TDK's intrigue/reception that was mainly seen in it's domestic performance, which makes sense given he was a 'big' american actor. When it comes to Paul Walker boosting this particular films revenue, just what has he done for it's domestic numbers? It's not doing TDK freak domestic numbers clearly, it's not doing hunger game stuff, I'm not even sure it's doing GOTG numbers..
What's odd is that this american actors death is being attributed to boosting the films foreign numbers? Notice how this didn't really happen with TDK....
I just find that odd and interesting.

Granted alot of this is fails to take into account that TDK did not get a China release(even back then it may have been pretty significant).

Long story short, Pauls death, like ledgers should be reflected in the domestic numbers I think(and I don't really see anything 'that' impressive happening). Explaining china has to take other things into account to a degree. Such as the emerging Car culture over there.

Well thats not true at all.

Even though OS numbers reflect the boost MUCH MUCH MORE domestic increase is still there.

fast 5 had a 86 mil o.w. and 210 mil total (corrected error inputing fast 4 numbers)
fast 6 has 97 o.w. and 238,5 mil total
and fast 7 EXPLODED to 147 o.w. and its going for a 347 mil total.
so yeah the boost is there although its not that significant.

btw FF7 has little chance to beat the original Avengers gross. 51,5 more mil are not happening for a movie that is almost out of theaters

 

[Bruce Malone]

Well thats not true at all.

Even though OS numbers reflect the boost MUCH MUCH MORE domestic increase is still there.

fast 5 had a 71 mil o.w. and 155 mil total
fast 6 has 97 o.w. and 238,5 mil total
and fast 7 EXPLODED to 147 o.w. and its going for a 347 mil total.
so yeah the boost is there although its not that significant.

btw FF7 has little chance to beat the original Avengers gross. 51,5 more mil are not happening for a movie that is almost out of theaters

Fast 5 grossed almost 210 million total domestic and it opened with 86 mil OW. Where did you pull those figures?

 

[SomeOldGuy]

It's still a huge success

When all is said and done, I feel completely confident that AoU will be the highest-grossing disappointment of all time.

 

[Vartha]

When all is said and done, I feel completely confident that AoU will be the highest-grossing disappointment of all time.

hahaha YEAH I do agree with this statement hahaha

 

[Mysteryman]

When all is said and done, I feel completely confident that AoU will be the highest-grossing disappointment of all time.

Well Said!

 

[DarthSkywalker]

They shouldn't be. Fast 7 was just a much better movie overall. It was just a good movie, and didn't get stuffed with a bunch of babbling nonsense nobody really gives a crap about.

Yeah, no. F7 is horrible. But after today, I am sure both F7 and AoU can stand in their respective corners and stare at the brilliance of the Road Warrior.

 

[Wildcard]

When all is said and done, I feel completely confident that AoU will be the highest-grossing disappointment of all time.

Haha can't help but agree with this sentiment.

 

[8ulk]

Fast 5 grossed almost 210 million total domestic and it opened with 86 mil OW. Where did you pull those figures?

By accident i inputed fast 4 numbers
anyways corrected it thanx for pointing it out

 

[8ulk]

Yeah, no. F7 is horrible. But after today, I am sure both F7 and AoU can stand in their respective corners and stare at the brilliance of the Road Warrior.

Fast 7 was a brilliant movie....for what it was...and the movie knew it..it knew what it was.

It was a total OUTLANDISH SCENARIO which anyone wasnt supposed to take seriously.

it was a PURE POP CORN flick dedicated to entertain people and nothing more.

If you go to fast furious movies with Oscar level expectations you re doing something wrong and its not surprise you will hate the film .

Learn to appreciate films for what they are and you will find out its fun that way.

Fast 7 was a rollercoaster of a joy to kill 2 hours of your life. If you take it seriously it will never be half decent of a movie but then again you re not supposed to.

FF7 = A+ cinematic experience but definately not a FILM. its a GARBAGE of scriptwriting but its a guilty pleasure. a pretty darn good one.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Fast 7 was a brilliant movie....for what it was...and the movie knew it..it knew what it was.

It was a total OUTLANDISH SCENARIO which anyone wasnt supposed to take seriously.

it was a PURE POP CORN flick dedicated to entertain people and nothing more.

If you go to fast furious movies with Oscar level expectations you re doing something wrong and its not surprise you will hate the film .

Learn to appreciate films for what they are and you will find out its fun that way.

Fast 7 was a rollercoaster of a joy to kill 2 hours of your life. If you take it seriously it will never be half decent of a movie but then again you re not supposed to.

FF7 = A+ cinematic experience but definately not a FILM. its a GARBAGE of scriptwriting but its a guilty pleasure. a pretty darn good one.

This excuse died with Fast 5, which was a very good film.

 

[JOE]

Furious 7 is going to hit 1.5B... Jesus.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I enjoyed Furious 7 more than Age of Ultron. Furious 7 isn't a great film at all but neither is Age of Ultron. I'm still waiting for that great or even good Avengers movie.

Age of Ultron is a massive success but I'm hoping the criticism of the film will make Marvel step up their game. It won't because it was a huge success but a girl can dream. I was far more hyped about Civil War anyway because the directors of the best Marvel film are on the case.

 

[Tymminator]

Of course I don't mean all Avengers fans but a lot seem jealous of Furious 7's success.

It's not like Furious 7's success negates Age of Ultron's success. Both films are smash hits.

It doesn't and I'm not pissy either, but I have to agree IMO the boost its getting is because of what sadly happened to Walker.

At the same time I don't even think that nessessarily a bad thing, it just is. And like you stated it doesn't negate Avengers or any other success.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

When the american actor Ledger died

Australian.

 

[Tymminator]

When all is said and done, I feel completely confident that AoU will be the highest-grossing disappointment of all time.

THAT is so true. There is nothing to really be disappointed about.

To me, as long as a movie does good enough to keep the franchise moving forward, celebrate it. If it crushes records by all means, be happy about that as well.

But now we live in a age where a movie is going to get over 400 domestic for sure and be over a billion world wide for sure and its "disappointing".

Its crazy.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Avatar 2 will be the new biggest disapoointment when it grosses "only" 1.8 billion.

 

[Tymminator]

I heard from a buddy who saw Mad Max and said it is AWESOME. She told me she doesn't see me watching it any less than at lease twice. If it's that good (and I trust her) that may cause a big dent in AoU as well.

That said, AoU will still be fine, but adjust expectations this weekend (and in general) is all.

 

[Spideysays]

I enjoyed Furious 7 more than Age of Ultron. Furious 7 isn't a great film at all but neither is Age of Ultron. I'm still waiting for that great or even good Avengers movie.

Age of Ultron is a massive success but I'm hoping the criticism of the film will make Marvel step up their game. It won't because it was a huge success but a girl can dream. I was far more hyped about Civil War anyway because the directors of the best Marvel film are on the case.

The first film was perfection. AoU, if you remove the widow and hulk crap and the Hawkeye family, is Avengers action and dynamics perfection! If with that you're still "waiting for that great or even good Avengers movie" I don't know what to tell you. The problem may be with you cuz it's definitely not with their portrayal on screen at this point. Those movies were comics come to life!!!

 

[obredaan]

I enjoyed Furious 7 more than Age of Ultron. Furious 7 isn't a great film at all but neither is Age of Ultron. I'm still waiting for that great or even good Avengers movie.

Age of Ultron is a massive success but I'm hoping the criticism of the film will make Marvel step up their game. It won't because it was a huge success but a girl can dream. I was far more hyped about Civil War anyway because the directors of the best Marvel film are on the case.

Marvel stepped up their game with AoU as far as I'm concerned so I hope they ignore the whiny critics who can't look past the surface and focus on critics like these..

http://www.rogerebert.com/reviews/avengers-age-of-ultron-2015

http://birthmoviesdeath.com/2015/05...-the-character-arcs-of-avengers-age-of-ultron

 

[Tony Stark]

I heard from a buddy who saw Mad Max and said it is AWESOME. She told me she doesn't see me watching it any less than at lease twice. If it's that good (and I trust her) that may cause a big dent in AoU as well.

That said, AoU will still be fine, but adjust expectations this weekend (and in general) is all.

I think it can still do 37M regardless if it ends in third place. I don't know if that's "reduced expectation" or not. On the low side 34-35, but it should easily make more than IM3's 32M as it's been consistently running ahead. The film to watch out for is PP2 not Mad Max, although I'm very much looking forward to seeing this, and think it's great that it's getting so highly praised for its practical effects and rollercoaster ride experience.

The fact is, no matter how great the reviews, I think 50M might be the high end for it, but then again it could just as easily fall to 3rd place and be around 35M. I've seen predictions all over the place. It's hard to gauge because it's a rated R film.

The positive reviews should push it toward higher figures, but the film has a limited market because of the rating.

I've no doubt that PP2 will be the no 1 movie this weekend, and I'll eat crow if it's not (although I'd be glad to see MM end up no. 1 but I just don't think it's going to happen). Still 2nd place with 40-50M, would be good for MM.

 

[Tony Stark]

To be fair, this franchise has never realy had an amazing villain, the best one was by far the Rock in Fast Five, but then allied with the heroes, all the other villains are usualy given a strong introduction, but then become jokes as the movies go on.

Agreed, but just saying that Statham is given far, far less a backstory than any of the other villains in the other films. They built him up so much in the post credit scene from FF6, that when we finally get to see him it just falls flat.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The first film was perfection. AoU, if you remove the widow and hulk crap and the Hawkeye family, is Avengers action and dynamics perfection! If with that you're still "waiting for that great or even good Avengers movie" I don't know what to tell you. The problem may be with you cuz it's definitely not with their portrayal on screen at this point. Those movies were comics come to life!!!

Nah the problem isn't with me.

 

[Tymminator]

Let's not say something is wong with someone just because they have a difference of opinion.

I love the Dark Knight Trilogy, but I possibly fall in the minority that feels the best was Batman Begins and Dark Knight is second, it's OK to have a different opinion than popular (or any) opinion.

 

[Tony Stark]

Agreed, art is subjective, not everyone is going to like these films, or like them as well as others.

 

[Pond]

Nah the problem isn't with me.

Nor with those who think its the best Marvel movie yet.