Age of Ultron Early Avengers 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Iceman]

I think it will beat them both.

It's doing extremely well in the US and China and had one of the biggest global OW ever.

THE biggest. Beat Potter overseas marginally so it is biggest both domestically and overseas (and by extension biggest worldwide).

 

[DarthSkywalker]

This is exactly why I don't get why people are underestimating Star Wars. It is in a similar situation to JW, but with bigger brand awareness.

 

[metaphysician]

This is exactly why I don't get why people are underestimating Star Wars. It is in a similar situation to JW, but with bigger brand awareness.

Bigger brand awareness, but also a longer time since there was a good movie. The generation count is also an issue: the people who knew the excitement of Jurassic Park as kids, now have kids of their own. The people who knew the excitement of Star Wars as kids. . . had kids of their own during the prequels. *ahem*

 

[jaqua99]

Makes me happy for Chris Pratt.

Me too. I had so much more fun watching it. I didn't spoil much for JW really, and as a result, I enjoyed myself and that movie so much more than I have watching any other movie in recent years.

Also, that last 25 minutes my heart was literally pounding out of my chest, and that fight filled me with child like emotions and excitement I haven't felt in a movie theater since forever, not even with Avengers 1, and Thanos.

Jurassic Park is sentimental to a lot of kids, and people my age I feel like. As well as adults, I'm not surprised in the least that it did as well as it did.

 

[8ulk]

OM*G at JW numbers. They are crazy.

Honestly i watched all the trailers and i cant really believe those results.

This movie was my least anticipated out of all summer/blockbusters movies.

I guess i will have to watch it to have a better opinion but im pretty sure it will be meh.

Anyways.

Looks like JW will be the n1 movie of 2015 after all unless its legs are horrible.
I cant believe we got a 2nd bombshell after FF7 box office performance.

Whats next ? SW7 TFA makes 2 billion ?
---------------------------
1.)JW = 1,55-1,65 bil
2.)FF7 = 1,51 bil
3.)AoU = 1,43-1,45 bil

im pretty sure no other movie except SW7 TFA will get even close to those 3.
2015 is shaping up to be a great BO year with 4 movies reaching the 1,5 bil mark. Amazing.

 

[Tony Stark]

This is exactly why I don't get why people are underestimating Star Wars. It is in a similar situation to JW, but with bigger brand awareness.

I'll grant you brand awareness, the one difference here is that if there's a bigger star in Hollywood right now than Chris Pratt, I don't know who it is. That guy craps box office money right now.

Other than the established veterans, the new actors are going to need to prove themselves.

I don't doubt TFA will make more than JW, as JW isn't going to make as much as Avengers did (domestically), It's the question of the opening weekend.

More impressive than JW beating the OW record (which is essentially a tie, with some studio number crunching) is how JW slaughtered the June record.

June had been a dead spot for films which is why that first weekend in May became so coveted for the last 15-20 years. MoS opened up the window a bit for films coming back in June, but JW just blew the lid off June. Unfortunately it's also going to suffer a bit, in that if it can hold to a -60% that's going to be good with In and Out opening up. So JW isn't going to have a 3.0 multiplier like Avengers did. It should be able to cruise to $525-550 pretty easily.

 

[JB33]

I think it will beat them both.

It's doing extremely well in the US and China and had one of the biggest global OW ever.

THE biggest. $524.1 million. In 5 days of release (3 domestically). Insane!

EDIT: Woops, someone beat me to it.

 

[JB33]

In its 7th weekend domestically Avengers: Age of Ultron pulled in $3,675,057, which brings its domestic total to $444,777,275.

It pulled in an additional $2,000,000 in foreign grosses over the weekend (and about $5,000,000 for the week from Monday to Sunday), which brings its foreign total to $917,200,000.

Global total: $1,361,977,275


It's pretty much a lock for $1.4 billion now, barring a pedestrian box office performance in Japan. There are also a few milestones left that it can reach. It's only about $4 million short of passing The Dark Knight Rises for 7th all time on the domestic chart and a further couple million from hitting the $450 million mark. It could also pass the $960,500,000 foreign gross of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 for 4th all time on the foreign chart.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

AOU is inching closer to 450 m DOM/1.4 b WW.

Most years that would be enough to win the domestic and worldwide crown for the year.

 

[Dark Raven]

I'll grant you brand awareness, the one difference here is that if there's a bigger star in Hollywood right now than Chris Pratt, I don't know who it is. That guy craps box office money right now.

Other than the established veterans, the new actors are going to need to prove themselves.

I don't doubt TFA will make more than JW, as JW isn't going to make as much as Avengers did (domestically), It's the question of the opening weekend.

More impressive than JW beating the OW record (which is essentially a tie, with some studio number crunching) is how JW slaughtered the June record.

June had been a dead spot for films which is why that first weekend in May became so coveted for the last 15-20 years. MoS opened up the window a bit for films coming back in June, but JW just blew the lid off June. Unfortunately it's also going to suffer a bit, in that if it can hold to a -60% that's going to be good with In and Out opening up. So JW isn't going to have a 3.0 multiplier like Avengers did. It should be able to cruise to $525-550 pretty easily.

He's in the remake of the Magnificent Seven as well, and if he is cast as Indiana Jones as rumoured, his star will go into the stratosphere. Will he end up too big for Guardians that he might want to get out of it?

 

[Bruce Malone]

He's in the remake of the Magnificent Seven as well, and if he is cast as Indiana Jones as rumoured, his star will go into the stratosphere. Will he end up too big for Guardians that he might want to get out of it?

More like will Marvel want to pay him what he's likely going to demand?

Marvel is notoriously cheap with its actors with the big exception of RDJ and Marvel is likely trying to keep it that way.

 

[Lord]

Disney also gives Johny Depp giant paychecks.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Depp like RDJ have amazing deals big front-end salaries with usual back-end profits too.

They are more so the exception to the rules now though. Even with Depp there seems to be diminishing returns to his mega salary.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

the one difference here is that if there's a bigger star in hollywood right now than chris pratt

rdj?

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

He's in the remake of the Magnificent Seven as well, and if he is cast as Indiana Jones as rumoured, his star will go into the stratosphere. Will he end up too big for Guardians that he might want to get out of it?

Ahh yes but Indy is also a Disney property so that will work in their favor. And one of the reasons they cast Pratt for GotG is he was a steal at the time for the quality he delivered. Not sure of what his specific contract is with Marvel but no doubt it is at least 6 films with one being GotG so it will be quite sometime before they renegotiate that. But if Disney gives him what he is worth for Indy he will be much more likely to get what he wants when it comes time to renew with Marvel. It's a synergy thing. Plus Pratt is also the human face of Marvel cosmic right now

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I doubt we'll see Pratt get so big that Disney can't afford him. From numerous stories I've seen and read, he's actually one actor that has some of the least onerous demands written into his contract. The biggest stipulations he typically has for any movie contract he signs is that he be given 20+ plane tickets so he can fly his family in and out and that he gets a couple weeks off during to take a family vacation. I think the biggest reason that his movies are drawing a lot (besides them being entertaining and fun) is that he appeals to both men and women equally, which can't be said for a lot of actors/actresses.

 

[hafizbat]

^^Good posts guys.

Really happy for Pratt, and I'm very glad Marvel got him in the fold just as he was budding. The sky's the limit for him, and I'm not worried at all that he won't be Star-Lord in the future. He has the potential to really own that franchise and take it to the next level, it's one thing to be a part of classic franchises like Jurassic and Indiana Jones, but imagine GotG becoming the next Indiana Jones level franchise and Pratt being the face of it for all time. I could see him like Harrison Ford, being the face of multiple franchises (or one of the faces for Star Wars).

Both he and Disney are too smart for him not to play the role of Peter Quill. I mean, after just one movie he's already like Marvel's cosmic RDJ.

 

[Wildcard]

Pratt isn't going to back out of wanting to return as Star-Lord. He has no reason to...plus, that would only help keep his star power up, me thinks. All in all, I expect him to remain as the same goofy, charismatic, humble guy. I'm extremely happy for his success, he definitely deserves it.

Not to mention with RDJ getting older, Pratt has now easily become top choice for who can be the (new) face of the MCCU.

 

[First Avenger]

Right now Pratt is Marvel's greatest weapon for Infinity War's success.

 

[Iceman]

This is exactly why I don't get why people are underestimating Star Wars. It is in a similar situation to JW, but with bigger brand awareness.

I think expectations for Star Wars might rise as a result of the unexpected results so far for JW. I was saying monthly records for months in which films have never made big bucks are irrelevant as the films likely to open biggest have never been released in those months. So now we are seeing those records being annihilated all over the calendar as studios step outside of the traditionally biggest months.

 

[Spiderdevil]

So its not enough the Furious 7 outgrossed it, now Jurassic Park will do it too..!

No matter what people say, imo AoU underachieved, first time I had to say about a Marvel movie since TiH

 

[Spiderdevil]

Ironically Marvel is one of the major reasons for Chris Pratt's popularity

 

[Marvin]

So its not enough the Furious 7 outgrossed it, now Jurassic Park will do it too..!

No matter what people say, imo AoU underachieved, first time I had to say about a Marvel movie since TiH

it's not the only time imo.

 

[Iceman]

Ironically Marvel is one of the major reasons for Chris Pratt's popularity

Pratt responsible for the biggest box office surprise of this year and last year. Are we sure he didn't get a cameo in the Chinese version of F7? t:

 

[JKKS085]

No matter what people say, imo AoU underachieved, first time I had to say about a Marvel movie since TiH

I think there is a good portion of people, both on the thread and outside, that find that AOU's numbers qualifie as a disappointment. This is not exactly an unpopular opinion.

Even though it may be useful to keep in mind that most studios' head would probably consider a deal with the devil for these numbers. And that the MS folks are probably crying on their way to the bank for loosing the ow recording and not winning the summer.