font's fine!
I'd argue that Will Smith himself is one of the biggest brands in Hollywood.
I have seen those but the actual critic reviews seem to focus more on the quality/lack thereof of the acting, writing, et al as opposed to the Scientology. Any remarks on nepotism are made only as regards the result (Jaden not being good enough for the part) and not on the act itself (i.e.: nepitism is ok IF the beneficiary is adequate to the task).
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You can see my response to cosmic about alleged white audience reluctance to watch movies with black cast.
So again, if Disney knows this as a fact - if Black Panther the movie fails, skin color will be a factor that should be considered due to the real history of racism in this country - don't you think Disney would rather say 'Screw it, let's focus on something less potentially volatile.'?
While Will Smith is a very big name in Hollywood, After Earth was a brand new thing and it didn't have any goodwill that a Bad Boys III, Independence Day 2, or maybe even a MIB IV would engender among fans. And Smith's own MIB III did good business but didn't burn up the box office like previous outings.
By contrast a Black Panther film could be supported by the billion-plus Avengers franchise which is very hot right now. You are talking about one actor and I am referring to a franchise that is bigger than any one actor and right now could largely sell itself. Smith, like many big actors, can stumble, but that should have no bearing on whether a Panther film should be made. Panther is not going to be After Earth 2.
As for critics, there are reviews that mention quality or lack thereof and Scientology and nepotism. Of course those critics might not meet your definition, but further I think we do have to take into account the internet criticism, which is laden with Scientology and nepotism charges.
I saw your response regarding Hollywood racism and I think Paradox made some very good replies. I think there is something you haven't taken into consideration. Why is there a BET or TV One for example? Or Jet, or Ebony? Many of these media outlets were created because black people didn't have mainstream (white) media institutions so they created their own. And there are still issues with media representation and access. There are websites like Shadow and Act and to some extent, Racialicious that explore these kind of issues often.
Your initial idea that a hypothetical Black Panther film might hinge on the success/failure of films like Red Tails and After Earth points to some of the racial divide that black filmmakers, screen writers, etc. still have to deal with. Most wouldn't think the success of Flyboys and Sunshine would factor into whether a Ghost Rider film should be greenlit or not, but with the trio of films you named-which have little relation to each other except for black actors-it just shows how much of a burden it can be to get projects made through the Hollywood system because these creators are contending with racial assumptions from the suits before they even get to be exposed to potential racial assumptions or hang ups from the mass audience. White directors and actors don't have those burdens or assumptions placed on them from out the gate.
