The Rise of Skywalker Star Wars IX Box Office Thread

[Limonade]

You guys think any layoffs or re-organization is in order over at Lucasfilm once this film has finished it's run?

 

[MahvelBaby!]

I can see Kennedy resigning after her contracts up but imo I don't think a ton of people will be clamoring to replace her thankless job. She will put someone in place to deal with things that no one will agree upon. Lol

 

[TheRandomWhoa]

I can see Kennedy resigning after her contracts up but imo I don't think a ton of people will be clamoring to replace her thankless job. She will put someone in place to deal with things that no one will agree upon. Lol

If they let Kennedy pick her replacement she will just pick someone with the same type of thinking as her

Probably best avoiding that or things get worse & not better

 

[Stark Bauer]

She should have been replaced after Solo

 

[SomeOldGuy]

14-14.5 domestic Tuesday estimate at BOT as well.

 

[dataSlave]

The new Monday estimate from BOT is 15.25m.

14-14.5 domestic Tuesday estimate at BOT as well.

And this is where the calendar turns ugly for TRoS:
Day 11: $15+ million; Day 12: $14+ million; Cume (12 days): $391.5 mil

Rogue One
Day 11 (12/26) was $32.1 million; Day 12: $22.5 mil; Cume (12 days) $340.6 mil

The Last Jedi:
Day 11 (12/25) was $27.5 mil; Day 12 - $27.7 mil; Cume: $423.4 mil

Dailies are tracking about half of RO and TLJ now that we are comping mostly apples to apples. All 3 films were in the heart of the holiday season with everyone off work and school. The Cume is still 15% above RO and 8% below TLJ. Again that looks OK on the surface but the daily day to day numbers are now way off the pace for those two movies.

I don't expect the daily comps to get better for TRoS for a while. We are now coming up on post New Years for TRoS while RO and TLJ still have 5 days and 6 days of audience vacation on the calendar still ahead of them. TLJ showed a -26% hold in WE3 with a holiday to holiday comp. RO did a -20% hold in WE3 with similar calendar. That is likely to really show up this weekend which will be a non-holiday WE comp to a holiday WE. Under those circumstances a -50% hold would probably be a solid performance for TRoS.

 

[dhandler01]

Yeah BOT has the Thursday drop being steep. Weekdays are gonna be in single digits after the weekend if not sooner. Rogue One is has gonna from being the floor, to possibly being the CEILING. (that is the pessimistic side obviously) Despite Deadline and Forbes saying it can reach $600 million DOM (maybe if Di$ney buys 10 million tickets!) the truth is it will be lucky to hit $525 million DOM (which again was the floor before opening week) and if the drop is as steep as some think it could finish below $500 million DOM.

As for changes at LucasFilm...KK will be allowed to finish her contract. I doubt there are any layoffs or changes because it seems Di$ney only does that with ESPN. They will phase out the people they think are responsible over time and replace them with big splashy announcements and Directors for films. Half of them wont get made and if I had to guess the ones that do will be meh overall. I say this because the Di$ney model works for most things but doesnt for Star Wars. You cant half ass the story and let the spectacle take you home. You cant go all nostalgia when you run out of new ideas. You cant just assume that because of the name people are just going to give you the benefit of the doubt. That has been Di$ney's modus operendi for 40 years. (if not longer) It works to perfect with almost everything they do...but with Star Wars it is fading.

 

[Holy Slapper]

Were is that? I thought frozen 2 had already been out ever where.

Finland. Other Nordic countries as well. Baltics too. Doesn't open in Argentina and Brazil until January 2nd.

 

[writer0327]

That has been Di$ney's modus operendi for 40 years. (if not longer) It works to perfect with almost everything they do...but with Star Wars it is fading.

The way SW has operated in the past, it is a limited franchise, stuck in a box, far too beholden to the past. Eventually if they don't open this up, directors won't want to play in this fantastic world. Favreau has me excited however. He's showing what the franchise can really do if allowed to breathe.

 

[Stark Bauer]

And this is where the calendar turns ugly for TRoS:
Day 11: $15+ million; Day 12: $14+ million; Cume (12 days): $391.5 mil

Rogue One
Day 11 (12/26) was $32.1 million; Day 12: $22.5 mil; Cume (12 days) $340.6 mil

The Last Jedi:
Day 11 (12/25) was $27.5 mil; Day 12 - $27.7 mil; Cume: $423.4 mil

Dailies are tracking about half of RO and TLJ now that we are comping mostly apples to apples. All 3 films were in the heart of the holiday season with everyone off work and school. The Cume is still 15% above RO and 8% below TLJ. Again that looks OK on the surface but the daily day to day numbers are now way off the pace for those two movies.

I don't expect the daily comps to get better for TRoS for a while. We are now coming up on post New Years for TRoS while RO and TLJ still have 5 days and 6 days of audience vacation on the calendar still ahead of them. TLJ showed a -26% hold in WE3 with a holiday to holiday comp. RO did a -20% hold in WE3 with similar calendar. That is likely to really show up this weekend which will be a non-holiday WE comp to a holiday WE. Under those circumstances a -50% hold would probably be a solid performance for TRoS.

don’t forget the avg per screen numbers will give a us another metric to gauge audience interest, WOM. it will likewise be interesting should ROS lose any screens in the coming weeks and what percentage will be taken over by new releases- 1917 taking IMAX screens comes to mind

 

[Stark Bauer]

The way SW has operated in the past, it is a limited franchise, stuck in a box, far too beholden to the past. Eventually if they don't open this up, directors won't want to play in this fantastic world. Favreau has me excited however. He's showing what the franchise can really do if allowed to breathe.

yes and the potential that we had in STAR WARS 1313 makes many gamers cry

 

[Mysteryman]

St

yes and the potential that we had in STAR WARS 1313 makes many gamers cry

SW 1313?

 

[TheVileOne]

Star Wars 1313 was the cancelled game that was like Star Wars meets Uncharted before the Disney buyout and Lucasarts got shuttered. To this day, I maintain that cancelling Lucasarts was a mistake.

 

[Stark Bauer]

Star Wars 1313 was the cancelled game that was like Star Wars meets Uncharted before the Disney buyout and Lucasarts got shuttered. To this day, I maintain that cancelling Lucasarts was a mistake.

basically cyberpunk x Star Wars it showed that the franchise can grow/mature/expand with the core audience who were once children but are now in their 20s-40s

 

[Mani-Man]

There are and have many Star Wars projects that show what is possible when you let it breath like many say, when you arent afraid.
WB has a bit the same problem with the DC property where they are so afraid to take risks and all that.

They dont have enough faith in their brands and i dont get why.
Disney will surive easily, Star Wars will survive easily, hell they already made back the 4 billion they paid for it.

So i dont get the fear they have, stuff like star wars 1313 would have worked fantastic...look at the mandalorian for proof of that.
You dont need to lock Star Wars into a small box to work...expand it, be open to literally everything and take risks.
Let it freaking breath...there will never be something like the star wars universe with such an unlimited potential...let this potential run free.

 

[Detective Conan]

Star Wars 1313 was the cancelled game that was like Star Wars meets Uncharted before the Disney buyout and Lucasarts got shuttered. To this day, I maintain that cancelling Lucasarts was a mistake.

That looked amazing when I first saw that, and I’m saddened it never came to fruition.

 

[Lilbaz]

There are and have many Star Wars projects that show what is possible when you let it breath like many say, when you arent afraid.
WB has a bit the same problem with the DC property where they are so afraid to take risks and all that.

They dont have enough faith in their brands and i dont get why.
Disney will surive easily, Star Wars will survive easily, hell they already made back the 4 billion they paid for it.

So i dont get the fear they have, stuff like star wars 1313 would have worked fantastic...look at the mandalorian for proof of that.
You dont need to lock Star Wars into a small box to work...expand it, be open to literally everything and take risks.
Let it freaking breath...there will never be something like the star wars universe with such an unlimited potential...let this potential run free.

There will be other universes with the potential of star wars. There are now look at the mcu. Dune will be out next year.
Star wars captured the attention and was added to by lots of different storytellers in different mediums adding to the lore. But it started as a simple fairytale set in space.
There will be others.

 

[Iceman]

Star Wars 1313 was the cancelled game that was like Star Wars meets Uncharted before the Disney buyout and Lucasarts got shuttered. To this day, I maintain that cancelling Lucasarts was a mistake.

I was really looking forward to that. All that work wasted.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

 

[Mysteryman]

Star Wars 1313 was the cancelled game that was like Star Wars meets Uncharted before the Disney buyout and Lucasarts got shuttered. To this day, I maintain that cancelling Lucasarts was a mistake.

This the first that I heard of it. I am not a gamer.But this looks quite visually stunning.Who knows? this cancelled project might have been the game for me.

 

[Stark Bauer]

That’s a 35% drop from last week. Smallest weekly drop so far. It remains to be seen how much it will drop once the winter break is over we should know from next weekend’s Numbers

 

[dhandler01]

Thursday drop will be the key. If it can hold decent then the weekend should be alright and it might be able to leg out the $525 million. If it drops as far as the pessimists think it will...then it will be a struggle.

 

[dhandler01]

Today's number looks to be disappointing.

For you conspiracy theorists out there:

(no I dont buy it)

 

[Iceman]

How are the overseas numbers at the moment?

 

[Mysteryman]

How are the overseas numbers at the moment?

The current worldwide gross is $774 million and change.