The Rise of Skywalker Star Wars IX Box Office Thread

How much money will Star Wars IX make? (Please choose 2 options, domestic and worldwide)

  • Less than 300M domestic

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 300M - 400M domestic

    Votes: 2 3.0%
  • 400M - 500M domestic

    Votes: 11 16.4%
  • 500M - 600M domestic

    Votes: 13 19.4%
  • 600M - 700M domestic

    Votes: 1 1.5%
  • 700M - 800M domestic

    Votes: 8 11.9%
  • 800M - 900M domestic

    Votes: 6 9.0%
  • Over 900M domestic

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Under 1B worldwide

    Votes: 7 10.4%
  • 1B - 1.2B worldwide

    Votes: 20 29.9%
  • 1.2B - 1.3B worldwide

    Votes: 5 7.5%
  • 1.3B - 1.4B worldwide

    Votes: 5 7.5%
  • 1.4B - 1.5B worldwide

    Votes: 6 9.0%
  • 1.5B - 1.6B worlwide

    Votes: 7 10.4%
  • 1.6B - 1.8B worldwide

    Votes: 3 4.5%
  • Over 1.8B worldwide

    Votes: 6 9.0%

  • Total voters
    67
  • Poll closed .
Yeah, my kids didn't even enjoy Solo. It's not that it's bad, there is just nothing exceptional about it. "Lukewarm" would be how I would put that.

My ranking for the new films is as follows:
1) Rogue One
2) TFA
3) TLJ
4) Solo

I just really loved Rogue One. It's probably my second or third favorite Star Wars movie.
Solo is one of those movies that is good but there's no real drive to see it. I did see it in theaters because i love star wars but I didnt watch it again until last november actually. I thought Rogue One was a better spin off film personally
 
Solo is one of those movies that is good but there's no real drive to see it. I did see it in theaters because i love star wars but I didnt watch it again until last november actually. I thought Rogue One was a better spin off film personally

Well...that, and the last 5 minutes of Rogue One can be watched on a loop for like...ever.

I'm trying to get through Solo again on Netflix...works just fine as background noise as I draw.
 
Ranking SW films of the Disney era go like this for me

  1. Solo: it's so much fun and played on Nostalgia for other franchises for me. I don't care for the original trilogy or any of the characters I could never find more interesting than a cracker.
  2. Rogue One: Seems like I like spinoffs significantly more than main series in this run
  3. The Force Awakens: This one I liked quite a bit.
  4. The Last Jedi: What was that? What did I watch?
 
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* 2019 results not final

Other movies that could chart:
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (previous in 2017 did $620M/1.33B World)
Frozen 2 (previous in 2013 did $401M/1.28B World)
Jumanji: The Next Level (previous in 2017 did $405M/$962M World)
It Chapter 2 (previous in 2017 did $327M/$700M World)
Joker (DC universe unadjusted average since 2013 is $295M/$754M World)
 
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MWLq5fN.png

SyLPsMd.png

* 2019 results not final

Other movies that could chart:
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (previous in 2017 did $620M/1.33B World)
Frozen 2 (previous in 2013 did $401M/1.28B World)
Jumanji: The Next Level (previous in 2017 did $405M/$962M World)
It Chapter 2 (previous in 2017 did $327M/$700M World)
Joker (DC universe unadjusted average since 2013 is $295M/$754M World)


Hi Magnar, I think another Google Trends graph of Star Wars interest over the last 5 years might be interesting about now. I had a quick look and people seem remarkably disinterested in Star Wars right about now, and the last couple of years since TLJ.
 
The sense I've been increasingly getting is indifference from people I know. I've been getting Justice League vibes for Episode 9 for the last 18 months.
 
The sense I've been increasingly getting is indifference from people I know. I've been getting Justice League vibes for Episode 9 for the last 18 months.
And here we go with the justice league comparisons again. From the people I know, the hype is through the roof. I do find it funny how people think this is gonna be a justice league dud at the box office. The last Jedi was not like BVS in any way. It wasnt a critically panned movie in any way, just divisive among star wars fans.
 
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And here we go with the justice league comparisons again. From the people I know, the hype is through the roof. I do find it funny how people think this is gonna be a justice league dud at the box office. The last Jedi was not lie BVS in any way. It wasnt a critically panned movie in any way, just divisive among star wars fans.

Theres plenty of evidence that since The Last Jedi Star Wars has lost the general audience they definitely lost the international audience. Star Wars merchandise not selling well over all (while Disneys other properties are selling just fine) & Galaxy's Edge is an over all failure at this point. Episode 9 will make money thats not in question but how much is in question & just because people you know are hyped does not mean everyone is
 
And here we go with the justice league comparisons again. From the people I know, the hype is through the roof. I do find it funny how people think this is gonna be a justice league dud at the box office. The last Jedi was not like BVS in any way. It wasnt a critically panned movie in any way, just divisive among star wars fans.

Calling it like I see it. I’m seeing too many comparisons to dismiss the idea. The fact the new park is apparently not performing as expecting is another sign. Continue to ignore the warning bells if you like. History has a tendency to repeat itself.
 
The latest Star Wars cartoon just got cancelled after two seasons add that on the pile
 
Theres plenty of evidence that since The Last Jedi Star Wars has lost the general audience they definitely lost the international audience. Star Wars merchandise not selling well over all (while Disneys other properties are selling just fine) & Galaxy's Edge is an over all failure at this point. Episode 9 will make money thats not in question but how much is in question & just because people you know are hyped does not mean everyone is
So where is your evidence the last Jedi is to blame for the toys and theme park? The same thing happened with the toys during the prequels too. it's common during the middle of a trilogy for things to slow down. I don't see you blaming the pricing of things at Galaxy's edge as a factor when it's likely that's it too. And star wars was never big in China anyway


And just because some people you know aren't excited doesn't mean it either.
 
So where is your evidence the last Jedi is to blame for the toys and theme park? The same thing happened with the toys during the prequels too. it's common during the middle of a trilogy for things to slow down. I don't see you blaming the pricing of things at Galaxy's edge as a factor when it's likely that's it too. And star wars was never big in China anyway


And just because some people you know aren't excited doesn't mean it either.

Out of curiosity what would change your mind?
 
So people are lying about not being excited ? We can say the same thing about people telling you they are excited its funny how that works
never said some people weren't excited, but this agenda that "not that many are" is a joke. The internet is a hive for negativity and not a true representation of what goes on in the real world. Star Wars Celebration was all the evidence I needed to see that the "star wars is dead" arguement is BS. But I do find it funny how the first thing you people blame is the sequel trilogy for the low attendance for Galaxys Edge. Couldn't be the hundreds of dollars for a single item? naaaaah, no way. That one keeps making me laugh because there's a number of reasons, including the parks biggest ride not even open yet. its interesting, my brother, a lifelong star wars fan, didn't care much for TLJ at first (appreciates it now and is super excited for TROS), decided not to go to Galaxys Edge this year. Why? not because of TLJ, but because the biggest ride is not open yet. Plus they need to save money too.

now I'm not saying that just because my brothers reason is because of that it means others are too, just pointing it out as a possibility.

Out of curiosity what would change your mind?
About it being about something other than the sequel trilogy?
 
I would like to know what would convinced you might be wrong in your assessment on TLJ having no baring on the current apathy surrounding the franchise.
 
I would like to know what would convinced you might be wrong in your assessment on TLJ having no baring on the current apathy surrounding the franchise.
Well i do think it's had maybe some impact on possible a small portion of fans, but not to the point where an entire theme park is "failing" as clickbait youtubers like to put it. Once December rolls around, and if TROS is loved by all fans, the entire dialogue will shift once again I'm sure as it always does. the Internet tends to blow these things massively out of proportion. Like the other day when someone on reddit tried to tell me TROS is going to be a box office bomb making less than a billion. Oh yes, the conclusion to a 40+ year saga is gonna fail dramatically pffft. and unless I see direct proof that TLJ is responsible for the downfall of an entire theme park, I just can't see that as the sole reason.
 
never said some people weren't excited, but this agenda that "not that many are" is a joke. The internet is a hive for negativity and not a true representation of what goes on in the real world. Star Wars Celebration was all the evidence I needed to see that the "star wars is dead" arguement is BS. But I do find it funny how the first thing you people blame is the sequel trilogy for the low attendance for Galaxys Edge. Couldn't be the hundreds of dollars for a single item? naaaaah, no way. That one keeps making me laugh because there's a number of reasons, including the parks biggest ride not even open yet. its interesting, my brother, a lifelong star wars fan, didn't care much for TLJ at first (appreciates it now and is super excited for TROS), decided not to go to Galaxys Edge this year. Why? not because of TLJ, but because the biggest ride is not open yet. Plus they need to save money too.

now I'm not saying that just because my brothers reason is because of that it means others are too, just pointing it out as a possibility.

About it being about something other than the sequel trilogy?

Its not just the theme park failing its everything else added up. So what would it take in you people admitting that Star Wars is in trouble ? Episode 9 not making $1 Billion ? The Episode 9 merchandise NOT selling like The Last Jedi merchandise DID NOT SELL specifically ?

Keep in mind Disneys other IPs are selling merchandise just fine

Why did Resistance get cancelled after two seasons ? How can The Clone Wars & Rebels last longer ?

What will it take for you to admit that Star Wars or specifically Disney's Star Wars is in trouble

By the way Galaxys Edge in Orlando is replacing Kylo Ren with Darth Vader
 
Its not just the theme park failing its everything else added up. So what would it take in you people admitting that Star Wars is in trouble ? Episode 9 not making $1 Billion ? The Episode 9 merchandise NOT selling like The Last Jedi merchandise DID NOT SELL specifically ?

Keep in mind Disneys other IPs are selling merchandise just fine

Why did Resistance get cancelled after two seasons ? How can The Clone Wars & Rebels last longer ?

What will it take for you to admit that Star Wars or specifically Disney's Star Wars is in trouble

By the way Galaxys Edge in Orlando is replacing Kylo Ren with Darth Vader
Come on, man, you literally sound like Geeks & Gamers. You also have no basis in saying TROS won't hit 1 billions and there's no merchandise available for TROS yet, so you can't say that either. if TROS somehow, some way bombs, then I'll see it, but there's no evidence of that. The response to the teaser was overwhelmingly positive too, so there's that.
 
Well i do think it's had maybe some impact on possible a small portion of fans, but not to the point where an entire theme park is "failing" as clickbait youtubers like to put it. Once December rolls around, and if TROS is loved by all fans, the entire dialogue will shift once again I'm sure as it always does. the Internet tends to blow these things massively out of proportion. Like the other day when someone on reddit tried to tell me TROS is going to be a box office bomb making less than a billion. Oh yes, the conclusion to a 40+ year saga is gonna fail dramatically pffft. and unless I see direct proof that TLJ is responsible for the downfall of an entire theme park, I just can't see that as the sole reason.

I heard the exact same reasoning with Justice League. That one film couldn’t derail an entire franchise. Star Wars is no longer immune from a similar fate. The warning signs are all there, the TLJ backlash, the Home media sales, the toys, Solo, the theme park not living up to expectation. Star Wars should be the talk of the town and yet it’s not. All it takes is one card to be removed for the entire house of cards to fall.
 
Come on, man, you literally sound like Geeks & Gamers. You also have no basis in saying TROS won't hit 1 billions and there's no merchandise available for TROS yet, so you can't say that either. if TROS somehow, some way bombs, then I'll see it, but there's no evidence of that. The response to the teaser was overwhelmingly positive too, so there's that.

Star Wars is still to big to fail it wont bomb like Solo but under performing is very likely. The teaser hype died off very quickly & other recent teasers have higher views than TROS such as a two movie franchise in Frozen with the Frozen 2 teaser having higher views than TROS. If Disney did not extort theaters over The Last Jedi Jumanji 2 likely makes $1 Billion as well
 
Ill end my part in this with one last comment. TLJ is a commercially and critically successful film, and was also the #1 selling Blu Ray of 2017. I really enjoyed the film btw, even though I still love Force Awakens more, but my point is that it seems its always those that dislike these new movies that try to somehow tie under selling into the TLJ. It doesn't add up for me. People keep dismissing the other reasons because of their dislike of the new films and that's just weird to me.

TROS is still the biggest film for the rest of the year, and the marketing will start by next week. Once that second trailer drops, I expect the dialogue to change once again.
 
Ill end my part in this with one last comment. TLJ is a commercially and critically successful film, and was also the #1 selling Blu Ray of 2017. I really enjoyed the film btw, even though I still love Force Awakens more, but my point is that it seems its always those that dislike these new movies that try to somehow tie under selling into the TLJ. It doesn't add up for me. People keep dismissing the other reasons because of their dislike of the new films and that's just weird to me.

& your dismissing whats in front of you about the franchise as a whole. The Last Jedi Blu-Ray came out at the end of the year it came out. Of course it will have set some records but the numbers died off very quickly. Lets not forget that at least Domestically Jumanji 2 ended up beating The Last Jedi on a week by week basics by The Last Jedi's 4th weekend or so & The Last Jedi never got back the high ground. The Last Jedi did have bad legs after its 3rd / 4th weekend
 
The sense I've been increasingly getting is indifference from people I know. I've been getting Justice League vibes for Episode 9 for the last 18 months.

I could kinda see that, but the difference is that TROS looks like it was designed to be proper course correction (We're bringing back the Emperor and the Death Star!!) While Justice League was...Just a complete mess of a production and people weren't onboard with the way the film was shaping up. It didn't have support from the GA due to BvS, it didn't have real support from the DCEU fans because of the Snyder firing / Whedon reshoots and in general, it was just an awful looking movie. TROS looks good, so while it may not outgross TLJ, it will probably review well, be fun and make enough money over the holiday season. Although, I am curious about how "safe" Abrams is going with this one, based on some of the things he's said.

I guess we have to consider the Jumanji 3 factor as well.
 
The
I could kinda see that, but the difference is that TROS looks like it was designed to be proper course correction (We're bringing back the Emperor and the Death Star!!) While Justice League was...Just a complete mess of a production and people weren't onboard with the way the film was shaping up. It didn't have support from the GA due to BvS, it didn't have real support from the DCEU fans because of the Snyder firing / Whedon reshoots and in general, it was just an awful looking movie. TROS looks good, so while it may not outgross TLJ, it will probably review well, be fun and a make enough money over the holiday season. Although, I am curious about how "safe" Abrams is going with this one.

I guess we have to consider the Jumanji factor as well.

The over all legs of The Last Jedi were bad after its 3rd or 4th weekend. The Last Jedi was very front loaded & made that $1 Billion by weekend 3 out of fan curiosity. After that it was down hill from there. Good reviews meant nothing for The Last Jedi after its 3rd weekend

Box Office: ‘Jumanji’ Overtakes ‘The Last Jedi’ for First Time on New Year’s Day
Box Office: 'Jumanji' Overtakes 'Star Wars: The Last Jedi' on New Year's Day
How Jumanji Took On Star Wars - And Won
Jumanji, Insidious beat out The Last Jedi in first weekend of 2018
Jumanji Passes Justice League & Star Wars: The Last Jedi At Box Office
Jumanji Keeps Offshore Box Office Crown; Last Jedi Now At #10 Globally – Deadline
'Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle' Takes Down 'Star Wars: The Last Jedi' on New Year's Day
'Jumanji' just won't go away — it's No. 1 at the box office again

I can find a whole lot more
 
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