The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Nokio]

Impressive numbers indeed. I can't believe this film is doing so well already. Come on fellow Americans lets make 200 million happen.

 

[ElMariachi]

Why do they always do that to Japan? There must be a good reason for this.

 

[Vulklin]

damn the source i saw was wrong it not 18 million pounds but dollars

i checked on other source

18 million dollars UK is not as impressive at all


it is not gonna be getting a billion now, no way

 

[kedrell]

Actually all that we were talking about was dollars. HP8 opened to $23M dollars, not pounds.

 

[Vulklin]

Actually all that we were talking about was dollars. HP8 opened to $23M dollars, not pounds.

no it was 23 million pound, i remember reading all the figures yesterday on an uk box office site

i hope it at least beats inbetweeners crap, that made ~13 million pounds


i cannot remebmer the site, but here is the news story of potter

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-14183632

 

[Superhero 101]

Woke up to some good news today! I think A billion is very possible now!

 

[Bim]

The strategy of releasing TA to take advantage of the respective countries' holidays is paying off incredibly well.

Indeed, it's also a holiday weekend here, and the cinema gets very crowded, which is very good news for this movie, not to mention that WOM is picking up even among my friends. I have some saying that they hadnt planned on seeing this movie, but seeing everyone praise it on facebook has changed their mind

 

[kedrell]

no it was 23 million pound, i remember reading all the figures yesterday on an uk box office site

i hope it at least beats inbetweeners crap, that made ~13 million pounds


i cannot remebmer the site, but here is the news story of potter

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-14183632

well then those guys doing the tally at boxoffice .com are using the wrong figures.

 

[ElMariachi]

damn the source i saw was wrong it not 18 million pounds but dollars

i checked on other source

18 million dollars UK is not as impressive at all


it is not gonna be getting a billion now, no way

Relax. 18 million dollars is the equivalent of 11 million pounds. Thats what Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides did with a five day UK opening weeeknd and that movie made over a billion WW. It's higher than Transformers 3 I believe as well. How can you say that isn't impressive for the opening weekend in the UK? That number that Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 made in the U.K. was pretty insane and was never going to be matched by Avengers. It made like $40 million in it's opening weekend there. Avengers isn't going to beat Breaking Dawn but it's opening weekend is pretty close to that. That movie had the biggest opening in the U.K. for an American movie (excluding HP, I'd imagine). Pretty impressive to me, considering Avengers doesn't have a huge, mad fanbase of screaming teens like Twilight or Harry Potter.

 

[Chewy]

That 18M figure is without Sunday. It will be close to 25M with Sunday.

 

[ElMariachi]

That 18M figure is without Sunday. It will be close to 25M with Sunday.

Ok, well then that equates to over 15 million pounds. That is a very impressive number!

 

[Iceman]

Whatever Avengers makes in the UK I've been surprised at the lacklustre marketing here. I watch hardly any TV so I won't comment on TV spots but for eg other big franchise films like Star Wars, LOTR & Harry Potter (even Spider-man) get good coverage in national newspapers leading up to release. I haven't seen this for Avengers

 

[Joeyjojo72]

For anyone who thinks a hack like Bay is somehow necessary I give you a list:
Whedon, Fincher, Cameron, Nolan,PT Anderson, anyone who has directed a harry potter movie except collumbus, peter Jackson, Spielberg, Duncan Jones, Guillermo del torro, numerous young talented tv directors on shows like breaking bad and GOT, Ridley Scott, and a dozen others I don't feel like typing, including euro and Latin and Asian directors. **** Michael Bay. Plenty of directors cinematographers with technical proficiency who also understand and care about story/characters.

Really you only need to look at the harry potter movies, starting with azkhaban, to see what true artists can do when given the reins of a blockbuster, and I am hardly a harry potter fanatic.

Another great example is the Bourne franchise.

 

[Tony Stark]

no it was 23 million pound, i remember reading all the figures yesterday on an uk box office site

i hope it at least beats inbetweeners crap, that made ~13 million pounds


i cannot remebmer the site, but here is the news story of potter

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-14183632

It's better than most American made films. Most of the top 16 in the UK consist of Potter films and Bond films, with Shrek, the Simpson's and Pirates of the Carribean filling out the top slots.

Just to give you a reference Spidey 3 had a bigger opening than TDK in the UK, both of which were beaten by Avengers.

 

[Tony Stark]

For anyone who thinks a hack like Bay is somehow necessary I give you a list:
Whedon, Fincher, Cameron, Nolan,PT Anderson, anyone who has directed a harry potter movie except collumbus, peter Jackson, Spielberg, Duncan Jones, Guillermo del torro, numerous young talented tv directors on shows like breaking bad and GOT, Ridley Scott, and a dozen others I don't feel like typing, including euro and Latin and Asian directors. **** Michael Bay. Plenty of directors cinematographers with technical proficiency who also understand and care about story/characters.

Really you only need to look at the harry potter movies, starting with azkhaban, to see what true artists can do when given the reins of a blockbuster, and I am hardly a harry potter fanatic.

Another great example is the Bourne franchise.

I actually liked the first two Harry Potter movies.

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

Marvel’s ‘The Avengers’ $178.4M Overseas: Continues Breaking Box Office Records

Excellent. And this is only the beginning.

 

[04nbod]

Actually I think it only needs about $5M to match or beat HP8's opening.

Harry Potter did that over a 3 day weekend, Avengers has a 4 day weekend. It opened on Thursday.

Also, bear in mind that last year's biggest comic book movie in this country was X Men because it had McAvoy and Fassbender in it. British and Irish talent is important in our industry, Hiddleston isn't enough. In fact, before my screening there was a massive montage of British actors appearing in this years movies, Beckinsale, Cumberbatch, Bale, Radcliffe etc...The Hobbit is the movie that will break UK records this year.

 

[rashad]

Full report.

Around-the-World Roundup: ‘The Avengers’ Assemble $178.4 Million Overseas Debut
by Ray Subers

The Avengers
April 29, 2012

A week ahead of its U.S. debut, Marvel's The Avengers opened in 39 foreign territories and scored a truly heroic $178.4 million. The movie took first place in all of its markets, and set new opening weekend records in a dozen of them as well.

The Avengers had its top start in the United Kingdom ($24.7 million), though that only ranks 16th all-time there. In Australia, the movie's $19.7 million is the second-highest opening ever, while its $15.9 million debut in Mexico is a new record. It also set records in Brazil ($11.3 million), Taiwan ($7.7 million), the Philippines ($6.5 million), Hong Kong ($4.6 million) and seven other smaller markets.

While not quite reaching all-time levels, the movie also had very strong starts in South Korea ($12.9 million), France ($12.7 million), Italy ($10.4 million), and Spain ($7.3 million). Oddly, it only opened to $6.7 million in Germany, though looking at past Avengers movie grosses it doesn't appear the Germans are as fond of the team as the rest of the world.

Across the 12 markets where estimates are available, The Avengers opened over twice as high, on average, as Iron Man 2, which currently holds the team's overseas record with $311.5 million (a number The Avengers is going to annihilate within the next few weeks).

The $178.4 million debut ranks ninth on the all-time foreign openings chart, which on the surface might not look all that astounding. However, it reached that level in only 70 percent of its potential theaters, and it has yet to debut in major markets China, Russia, and Japan. Chinese and Russian audiences get the movie with the U.S. this coming weekend, while the Japanese need to wait until August.

Based off this opening, The Avengers could reasonably finish with nearly $600 million overseas, and it could even wind up higher than that.

Thanks to The Avengers debut, Battleship plummeted 63 percent to an estimated $22.5 million this weekend. It added $8 million in China and held first place in Russia with $3.2 million (as previously noted, both of these markets didn't have The Avengers). The movie has now made $170 million overseas, and should be able to push past the $200 million mark with this batch of territories. The board game adaptation opens in Latin America on May 10, and in the U.S. on May 18.

Titanic 3D continued its remarkable run in China by adding an estimated $12.5 million this weekend. That brings its total there to $126.1 million, which is a little less than half of its $260.6 million overseas total. Thanks to the re-release, Titanic's overall foreign gross has now passed $1.5 billion.

American Reunion added an estimated $14.5 million from 41 markets this weekend. In Germany, the movie opened to an outstanding $6.6 million, which ranks second right behind The Avengers. The comedy sequel has so far earned $75.2 million overseas.

In its sixth weekend in release, The Hunger Games earned an estimated $7.4 million overseas. That brings its foreign total to $228.5 million, and its worldwide (domestic plus foreign) total past the $600 million mark.

http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3431&p=.htm

 

[ElMariachi]

How in the hell is American Reunion popular in other countries? Germany of all places!

 

[FreeRadical]

Whatever Avengers makes in the UK I've been surprised at the lacklustre marketing here. I watch hardly any TV so I won't comment on TV spots but for eg other big franchise films like Star Wars, LOTR & Harry Potter (even Spider-man) get good coverage in national newspapers leading up to release. I haven't seen this for Avengers

I've seen quite a bit of marketing over here. Mark Ruffalo was on Graham Norton, The Avengers special on Sky, Sky movies showing Captain America and Thor, seen some TV spots today showing UK reviewer ratings, billboards, newspaper reports etc. Iron Man is even being shown on Film4 tonight, and ITV2 is showing The Incredible Hulk right now.

My local cinema (Showcase cinema de lux) had to add an extra 2D showing yesterday. It was packed when I was there. Disney's marketing team have done well, really well.

 

[ElMariachi]

This movie is going to clean up in China, Russia, and the US.

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

This movie is going to clean up in China, Russia, and the US.

No question.

 

[Iceman]

I've seen quite a bit of marketing over here. Mark Ruffalo was on Graham Norton, The Avengers special on Sky, Sky movies showing Captain America and Thor, seen some TV spots today showing UK reviewer ratings, billboards, newspaper reports etc. Iron Man is even being shown on Film4 tonight, and ITV2 is showing The Incredible Hulk right now.

My local cinema (Showcase cinema de lux) had to add an extra 2D showing yesterday. It was packed when I was there. Disney's marketing team have done well, really well.

Well that's good. Sounds like the TV coverage isn't too bad (like I said I hardly watch TV). With the newspapers I've read all I've seen are the actual reviews. For eg even the premiere I hardly saw mentioned. With the other big films they normally run a daily promotion for at least a week before the films come out and then report whenever one of them does really well at the box office. Seems surprising as Avengers is very tabloid friendly especially with character based giveaways etc. My midnight screening in Leicester Square was only half full and I think it might be down to lack of awareness than people choosing not to see it. From what you've seen it doesn't compare to Star Wars/LOTR/HP marketing right?

 

[Iceman]

Getting back to being positive though, Avengers is already not that far off from Hunger Games' total foreign gross. $178m Vs $228m. Pretty crazy!

Further comparison:

Iron Man: $267m
TIH: $128m
IM2: $311m
Thor: $268m
Cap: $192m

 

[Iceman]

Double post