The Dark Knight Rises The TDKR Box Office Thread III

[Reek]

Legs? I'm pretty sure the highest anticipated movie... since Phantom Menace... will have fine...magic legs...

 

[db85usa]

Me too, but since my AC is down, I wouldn't really call it "comfort". t:

I just started BB, and I forgot I don't have it on Blu Ray, but in HD DVD. "welcome to HD DVD, it's like your DVDs just got a.whole.lot.better".

RIP: HD DVD.

No AC and HD DVD... must be hell for you. I spent two summers once without AC. Yeah, I don't think the word comfort can be used in this type of situation lol. Still, I can't wait to see BB converted into IMAX. The surround sound is deafening at my AMC IMAX theater.

 

[Travesty]

No AC and HD DVD... must be hell for you. I spent two summers once without AC. Yeah, I don't think the word comfort can be used in this type of situation lol. Still, I can't wait to see BB converted into IMAX. The surround sound is deafening at my AMC IMAX theater.

The sound for BB in IMAX was GREAT. I saw it when it first came out, but I think they transferred the picture a little better. Still looked great when I saw it back in '05, though. The Tumbler scene is amazing in IMAX.

 

[Boom]

Legs? I'm pretty sure the highest anticipated movie... since Phantom Menace... will have fine...magic legs...

You are killing it with the perfect posts today .

 

[Travesty]

I just noticed that Ra's has his hands on his collar like Bane does, when he's talking/training Bruce.

Oh, and Bruce's bed looks like a pair of boobies.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I just noticed that Ra's has his hands on his collar like Bane does, when he's talking/training Bruce.

Someone (about two weeks ago) posted an image displaying Bane and Ra's both clutching their collars.

 

[Iceman]

Only 3 months ago I'm sure nearly everyone (certainly me included) thought $200m was impossible for an opening weekend. Now we could have 2 films get there within months of each other. And for the combined worldwide box office of the 3 comic films of the year the only question is how many 100s of millions it will smash past $3BN by, not if!

 

[db85usa]

The sound for BB in IMAX was GREAT. I saw it when it first came out, but I think they transferred the picture a little better. Still looked great when I saw it back in '05, though. The Tumbler scene is amazing in IMAX.

True IMAX or LieMAX? I don't think BB was in true IMAX but I could be wrong. I saw ASM in AMC's LieMAX theater not long ago. The sound in there is much better than the regular theater. Yes the screen size is a little bigger than normal and not true IMAX size but the picture is a lot clearer to me.

I plan to make a trip out of town to catch TDKR in true IMAX sometime next week.

 

[Travesty]

True IMAX or LieMAX? I don't think BB was in true IMAX but I could be wrong. I saw ASM in AMC's LieMAX theater not long ago. The sound in there is much better than the regular theater. Yes the screen size is a little bigger than normal and not true IMAX size but the picture is a lot clearer to me.

I plan to make a trip out of town to catch TDKR in true IMAX sometime next week.

It was in a true IMAX theater, but of course, the movie wasn't made for IMAX. It looked and sounded great, though.

 

[Reek]

You are killing it with the perfect posts today .

It is a gift...

a gift of common sense. Legs like Inception? I mean, some people still have no idea what happened in that movie... this is the conclusion to arguably the biggest trilogy ever... It's a multi-legged creature. BatSpider..Spider...bat..

Parker...wayne....

Parker Wayne is JGL...

JGL IS BATMAN.

 

[Anita18]

They expanded BB for IMAX when I saw it. The panning scene of Batman-as-gargoyle was UH-MAZ-ING.

 

[db85usa]

It is a gift...

a gift of common sense. Legs like Inception? I mean, some people still have no idea what happened in that movie... this is the conclusion to arguably the biggest trilogy ever... It's a multi-legged creature. BatSpider..Spider...bat..

Parker...wayne....

Parker Wayne is JGL...

JGL IS BATMAN.

Einhorn is Finkle! Finkle is Einhorn!

 

[Reek]

Einhorn is Finkle! Finkle is Einhorn!

Spoiler

 

[Dragon_316ca]

http://www.screendaily.com/home/exh...bfi-imax-ticket-sales-records/5044492.article

London’s BFI IMAX has pre-sold 62,300 tickets for The Dark Knight Rises, grossing £1,001,300 ahead of its release on Friday [20].

The figures for the advance box office gross and number of tickets sold have beaten the cinema’s previous best, which were for Avatar in December 2009 (£607,000 sales for 47,000 tickets).

The Dark Knight Rises also broke BFI IMAX records for highest first day sales (24,754 tickets grossing £409,838) and the highest first week sales (38,658 tickets grossing £634,013), records previously held by Prometheus.

43 shows are now sold out, including screenings for early birds at 04.25 and 04.55 this weekend. Tickets first went on sale five weeks ago.

Dennis Laws, general and technical manager, BFI IMAX said: “People are even flying in from abroad especially to see the film at BFI IMAX. We want as many people as possible to be able to see it, so we’re already adding extra shows to meet the demand.”

 

[Iceman]

http://www.screendaily.com/home/exh...bfi-imax-ticket-sales-records/5044492.article

It's a really great screen. Best in UK by miles. I have tickets there for good seats but couldn't get them till 18th August! So watching in regular cinema this weekend.

 

[GamingFreak]

Is there any chance TDKR could overhaul TDK especially if the WOM is positive?

 

[Tony Stark]

Is there any chance TDKR could overhaul TDK especially if the WOM is positive?

I think TDKR will likely have a lower multiplier than TDK. Partially because it's going to open bigger, but also because TDKR has alot more competition than TDK had. The Mummy Tomb of the Dragon Emporer was the only movie that nearly dethroned TDK early, and missed by only 2M, but subsequently fell off the map the following week with a 69% drop, and was considered a flop. That was about as much competition as TDK had until Tropic Thunder came out.

I think the Watch, Total Recall, and Bourne Legacy. The most likey bomb out of those three is Recall which boxoffice.com right now only has a long term projection of 21/60M (ouch!), but the movie looks visually appealing and it seems like they are going with a less corny approach than the Schwarzenegger film. Bourne legacy is likely the king of those three becaue Jeremy Renner is now a true A list movie star, and one could argue he is more popular than Matt Damon at this point who has kind of fallen off the map in recent years (although we bought a zoo was excellent). currently BO.com is projecting 39/125M, but if the movie has decent reviews, I think it could do significantly better.

 

[db85usa]

Almost every theater in my city is running marathons and they're sold out. I'm so mad I got tickets to the AMC IMAX Marathon and not the one by my house! They're running a Marathon and although it is only a digital theater, they have reserved seating and its only $16 to see all three movies.

With all this talk about Marathons selling out, I have a bad feeling even if I show up 2 hours early, there'll be a line.

 

[Fullmetal]

I thank god I know the manger at the Rave Theater and he gave info on how to get the top row seats reserved for me, and g/f, sis and 2 of my best friends for the The Dark Knight Marathon. All 3 inIMAX that I got 4 tickets for BB, 5 tickets for TDK and 5 tickets for TDKR. Sure it was expensive but well wroth it. ^_^ Just one more day in half and the we ride out to see THE LEGEND ENDS IN IMAX! 7.20.12 12:01AM

And he even told me that all the tickets by now are sold out. And 3,000 People are coming by tomorrow at 8:30am... whew, thank god we don't have wait in line. The place is gonna packed. lol

 

[Iceman]

Is there any chance TDKR could overhaul TDK especially if the WOM is positive?

Sure, if word of mouth is great amongst regular cinema goers. Will know more once we've all seen it. Big opening weekend is a certainty, anywhere from 170m to 215m & a 3 multiplier is possible if people think the film is on par with or better than TDK. Even if most think it's good but not quite at the same level I think it will make $500m.

 

[db85usa]

I thank god I know the manger at the Rave Theater and he gave info on how to get the top row seats reserved for me, and g/f, sis and 2 of my best friends for the The Dark Knight Marathon. All 3 inIMAX that I got 4 tickets for BB, 5 tickets for TDK and 5 tickets for TDKR. Sure it was expensive but well wroth it. ^_^ Just one more day in half and the we ride out to see THE LEGEND ENDS IN IMAX! 7.20.12 12:01AM

And he even told me that all the tickets by now are sold out. And 3,000 People are coming by tomorrow at 8:30am... whew, thank god we don't have wait in line. The place is gonna packed. lol

Good God. I hope there isn't a line tomorrow.

 

[redfirebird2008]

I think TDKR will likely have a lower multiplier than TDK. Partially because it's going to open bigger, but also because TDKR has alot more competition than TDK had. The Mummy Tomb of the Dragon Emporer was the only movie that nearly dethroned TDK early, and missed by only 2M, but subsequently fell off the map the following week with a 69% drop, and was considered a flop. That was about as much competition as TDK had until Tropic Thunder came out.

I think the Watch, Total Recall, and Bourne Legacy. The most likey bomb out of those three is Recall which boxoffice.com right now only has a long term projection of 21/60M (ouch!), but the movie looks visually appealing and it seems like they are going with a less corny approach than the Schwarzenegger film. Bourne legacy is likely the king of those three becaue Jeremy Renner is now a true A list movie star, and one could argue he is more popular than Matt Damon at this point who has kind of fallen off the map in recent years (although we bought a zoo was excellent). currently BO.com is projecting 39/125M, but if the movie has decent reviews, I think it could do significantly better.

Mamma Mia opened the same weekend as TDK, so I'm not convinced that it had weaker competition. There are no other big releases this weekend. The Watch won't do any better than Pineapple Express or Tropic Thunder, both of which ate into TDK's audience. Overall I think the competition is similar between TDK and TDKR. The difference is going to be a bigger opening for TDKR and the fact that it doesn't have a legendary performance like Ledger's Joker. Both of those elements will guarantee that TDKR has a weaker multiplier. I mean Avengers had the same (or better) WOM as TDK, and yet its multiplier will end up about 9-10% lower because it opened so much bigger.

 

[Weadazoid]

one things for sure it will own Midnight for a long time

 

[Tony Stark]

Sure, if word of mouth is great amongst regular cinema goers. Will know more once we've all seen it. Big opening weekend is a certainty, anywhere from 170m to 215m & a 3 multiplier is possible if people think the film is on par with or better than TDK. Even if most think it's good but not quite at the same level I think it will make $500m.

Realistically 200M is probably the max. Someone had a very good breakdown of this on the BOT forums. But just to get to 200M, TDKR would need to have a 13% increase in attendance over Avengers. Avengers only had like a 3.23% increase in audience attendance over TDK. What throws everyone off is Potter which had lower attendance than TDK, but with 3D won the record, so Avengers had a 22.9% increase in audience attendance over that. So the last two major increases in audience attendance was back in 2002 (Spider-man 23.9%) and in 1997 (Jurassic Park TLW 29.5).

Now keep in mind from 1997-2002 there was a huge increase in the number of mega theater complexes that were built, that tapered off after that. So what am I getting at? To get to $215M you'd be talking about another huge 20-30% increase in attendance, that the theater chains probably can't handle.

Avengers was an aberration, not one single outlet who tracks this kind of stuff predicted that. The highest I saw was 175M before the weekend, and even after the Friday numbers came in they were saying 180-185.

Even to get to get a 13% increase in attendance would be a miracle in and of itself. Avengers without 3D boost is about 185, and that's probably the median target to look at, 190-195 would be a decent boost, and probably doable, and would be an increase in attendance over Avengers.

 

[db85usa]

In some places, theaters are providing wristbands for those attending the Marathon and those who want to secure a spot for the midnight show. So there will be two lines. Anyone else's theater doing something similar?