Thread Manager
Moderator
- Joined
- Jan 24, 2011
- Messages
- 0
- Reaction score
- 3
- Points
- 1
This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]389753[/split]
Do you guys think it will easily be able to pull off 400 million domestic, or will be be a very slow crawl to get there?
Bourne Legacy is at 50 % on RT right now with total 16 reviews (8 fresh, 8 rotten) so far.
The RT score can go up (or down) but it is not a good start for this movie and with Total Rekall at RT rating of 30 %, can TDKR stay at No. 1 position for the fourth week ? If it does it would be quite an achievement.
Yeah $430m is about a lock but I can't see it going any higher than that unfortunately.redfirebird2008 said:$430m is a lock, so it won't be a slow crawl to $400m.
Yeah $430m is about a lock but I can't see it going any higher than that unfortunately.
Yeah $430m is about a lock but I can't see it going any higher than that unfortunately.
It'll go higher than that.
I'm imagining around 18-20m tops for the whole of next week (about 2m per day Mon-Thurs and around 10-12m for the weekend) which would put it at 410m after next week. From there I can see it hitting 430m with a week and two days time but after that it'll be crawling and I can't see it getting all the way to 450m by the time it completely closes in theaters. I'd put the high at 445m. I could be underestimating its legs but I don't think I am given how its performed thus far.It will be about 20 or so million higher. its at 363 right now and with a potential of 20 million this weekend. after 24 days it will be around 390-394 million.
if i had to put a number on it right now 475 is the max it will get to with 450-455 (domestic)million being the number I think it will get to and the number WB is shooting for right now.
Hey bird, did you know why the forums were taken out at BO?It'll go higher than that.
They're just undergoing maintenance. Shouldn't be too long before they're back up.
Agreed.I'm imagining around 18-20m tops for the whole of next week (about 2m per day Mon-Thurs and around 10-12m for the weekend) which would put it at 410m after next week. From there I can see it hitting 430m with a week and two days time but after that it'll be crawling and I can't see it getting all the way to 450m by the time it completely closes in theaters. I'd put the high at 445m. I could be underestimating its legs but I don't think I am given how its performed thus far.
$475 million is definitely out of the picture.
By it's 10th weekend (September 23) TDKR should be around $435 - $438 million.
$450 million still has a chance, but it would be a slow crawl from October on out, assuming it's still in the local theaters longer than 16 weeks like TDK did which would be around mid-late November or so.
By the 17th week is when we can expect WB to have TDKR moved to the dollar theaters, which brought in an extra $2.5 million to 2008's TDK. In TDKR's comparison percentage that would be roughly about $2.1 million on the high end.
So if I had to guesstimate (assuming no re-releases) based on it's current pace... TDKR's original run is looking to end roughly between $443 - $447 million.