The TDKR Box Office Thread V

Discussion in 'The Dark Knight Rises' started by Thread Manager, Aug 8, 2012.

  1. Thread Manager Moderator

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    This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]389753[/split]
     
  2. Thread Manager Moderator

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    This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]388807[/split]
     
  3. rashad Hype Board Junkie

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    The gross will be somewhere in the 380-390m range after the weekend and will cross 400m next week.
     
  4. BatLobster Trailer Timewarper

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    Cool to hear. Very proud of how well the film is doing.
     
  5. Micromind Registered

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    Bourne Legacy is at 50 % on RT right now with total 16 reviews (8 fresh, 8 rotten) so far.

    The RT score can go up (or down) but it is not a good start for this movie and with Total Rekall at RT rating of 30 %, can TDKR stay at No. 1 position for the fourth week ? If it does it would be quite an achievement.
     
  6. Milkman95 Movie Extra & Actor

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    Still don't think it will beat Bourne Legacy, but should have a $20 million weekend....
     
  7. redfirebird2008 Registered

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    No chance of it beating Bourne. TDKR is headed for a $17-20m weekend, while Bourne is headed for a $35-45m weekend.
     
  8. Micromind Registered

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    The Campaign is a comedy movie, I hope that it does not take second position from TDKR.
     
  9. Mr. Dent Registered

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    Yeah $430m is about a lock but I can't see it going any higher than that unfortunately.
     
  10. redfirebird2008 Registered

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    It'll go higher than that.
     
  11. Notrip SuperDaD

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    1. Bourne Legacy (36-40 million weekend)
    2. The Campaign (23-27 million weekend)
    3. TDKR (18-22 million weekend)
    4. Total Recall (12 million weekend)

    This is how it should go down this upcoming weekend.
     
  12. marcvader Lurker #1

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    Is the campaign tracking that high?
     
  13. Notrip SuperDaD

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    It will be about 20 or so million higher. its at 363 right now and with a potential of 20 million this weekend. after 24 days it will be around 390-394 million.

    if i had to put a number on it right now 475 is the max it will get to with 450-455 (domestic)million being the number I think it will get to and the number WB is shooting for right now.
     
  14. Notrip SuperDaD

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    right around those numbers. should edge out TDKR for second.
     
  15. Mr. Dent Registered

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    I'm imagining around 18-20m tops for the whole of next week (about 2m per day Mon-Thurs and around 10-12m for the weekend) which would put it at 410m after next week. From there I can see it hitting 430m with a week and two days time but after that it'll be crawling and I can't see it getting all the way to 450m by the time it completely closes in theaters. I'd put the high at 445m. I could be underestimating its legs but I don't think I am given how its performed thus far.
     
  16. Jordanstine Registered

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    The pace right now...

    By this 4th weekend it will take in another $36.3 million for the whole week.

    5th weekend about another $19.7 million.

    6th weekend another $11 million.

    7th weekend Labor Day $7.5 million.

    8th weekend about $3.5 million.

    9th weekend about $2 million.

    10th weekend about $1.2 million.

    So after it's 10th weekend, TDKR would make about another ~ $80.1 million.

    Based on estimates, the total should be up at about ~ $435 million after September 23.
     
  17. Bruce Malone Registered

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    I've been basing my projections on how it stacks up next to pirates 2 as their dailies have been extremely similar. As of now it's been consistently $30m ahead of where pirates 2 is at mainly due to its larger opening weekend.

    If things hold it should finish around the 450m mark as pirates 2 finished with $423m.
     
  18. Mr. Dent Registered

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    ^ The dailies have been very close the TDKR ahead of it ever day actually, but Pirates 2 had really good weekends in it's 7-10th weeks and I'm not sure if TDKR will age as gracefully.
     
  19. Bruce Malone Registered

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    As of now TDKR has actually held better from the 2nd to 3rd wknd drop than TDK did so i think its legs are pretty decent.

    I predict bourne opening this weekend will be another total recall and see a lot of ppl sticking to TDKR although i don't think it will win the weekend. I and most experts at the moment are predicting 450m so unless there are some trand changes it seems most likely.
     
  20. regwec Make Mine Marble

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    To me, the Bourneless Bourne smacks of mediocrity even more so than Total Remake.
     
  21. TheGuy Dwelling under the Batcave

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    So when's TDKR gonna hit $1b?
     
  22. Mr. Dent Registered

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    I'd say in another 3-4 weeks.
     
  23. Jordanstine Registered

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    Hey bird, did you know why the forums were taken out at BO? :huh:
     
  24. Liam_H Registered

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    They're just undergoing maintenance. Shouldn't be too long before they're back up.
     
  25. Jordanstine Registered

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    Thanks.

    Agreed.

    The analysis I wrote in a different forum:

     

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