The Dark Knight Rises The TDKR Box Office Thread II

[Bim]

You guys need to make a trip to the States this Friday.

Gladly! U paying for my plane ticket and hotel then?

 

[Street Vendor]

Gladly! U paying for my plane ticket and hotel then?

Can't do that, but I might be able to get you a ride. This lady will help.

Spoiler

 

[Anita18]

Boxoffice.com has now updated it's prediction and is tracking $195 Million for the opening weekend.

www.boxoffice.com/statistics/long_term_predictions

If it does reach $195 million, it will have beaten TA for admissions.

Christopher Nolan always comes in under budget and has more than overdelivered on pretty much every movie he's made for Warners, which is why he's earned this kind of leverage. But it's still a business. In pretty much any other circumstance, leaving $200 million on the table especially in this economic climate is enough to get most high level executives fired.

Not if you lose one of your young moneymaking stars in the process.

I think WB thought keeping Nolan happy (and at WB) was better business sense than forcing 3D onto him. Nolan's only 41, he still has many more movies left in him.

That's the problem with businesses nowadays, they think by quarterly profits rather than long-term performance.

Beating Avengers...ok sure, It's improbable but not impossible, beating Titanic? That's pretty impossible considering that film was in cinemas right up to it's video release.

To be fair, I saw Inception in a theater a few days AFTER it was released on DVD. This was at a second-run dollar theater, though. And the theater-to-DVD time has cut down drastically. Titanic was in theaters for a year. Now it's more like, 5 months.

That and Titanic's drops were out of this world. The only modern movie that could be vaguely equivalent is (surprise) Avatar.

 

[Dr. Strange]

If it does reach $195 million, it will have beaten TA for admissions.


Not if you lose one of your young moneymaking stars in the process.

I think WB thought keeping Nolan happy (and at WB) was better business sense than forcing 3D onto him. Nolan's only 41, he still has many more movies left in him.

That's the problem with businesses nowadays, they think by quarterly profits rather than long-term performance.


To be fair, I saw Inception in a theater a few days AFTER it was released on DVD. This was at a second-run dollar theater, though. And the theater-to-DVD time has cut down drastically. Titanic was in theaters for a year. Now it's more like, 5 months.

That and Titanic's drops were out of this world. The only modern movie that could be vaguely equivalent is (surprise) Avatar.

Depending on OW, tdkr has a chance to sink the ship "again" for a third time now.

We will know by Next Sunday.....

 

[Tony Stark]

It's a rip off because nothing is added to a post converted film. They're charging people extra for complete bull ****. On top of that 3D screenings outnumber 2D screenings. Case in point, Spider-Man at my local was screening 6 sessions in 3D, only 3 in 2D. It's a ****ing rip off.

I get that, but people have a choice, and it's no more of a rip off than all the marketing with IMAX where the vast majority of screens aren't even the true IMAX standard.

People will always be marketed to the hilt with stuff like this. I just feel as long as people have a choice it's not a problem.

 

[Anita18]

Depending on OW, tdkr has a chance to sink the ship "again" for a third time now.

We will know by Next Sunday.....

OW doesn't make a Titanic sinker. The drops do, which is why Avatar was able to do it. It didn't drop at all its second weekend, and posted small drops every weekend thereafter. Unfortunately, that won't happen for TDKR. TDKR will act like a summer blockbuster, but hopefully one on steroids, just like TDK did.

 

[Travesty]

Yeah, I find LieMAX to be even a bigger ripoff.

 

[Tony Stark]

Depending on OW, tdkr has a chance to sink the ship "again" for a third time now.

We will know by Next Sunday.....

I don't think that it really matters, but I'm not getting the same feeling I had with TDK. With TDK I was pretty much sure it was going to break the record. Spider-man 3 was a 2D movie that had mixed critical response and it beat it by 7M.

With this the math just doesn't seem to add up to me. With the demographics, I think it will be in the 180-190M range, which is a huge accomplishment.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I don't mind 3D if it's done well (Exhibit A - Prometheus). So I don't really consider it to be a ripoff.

 

[Dr. Strange]

With this the math just doesn't seem to add up to me. With the demographics, I think it will be in the 180-190M range, which is a huge accomplishment.

Believe me, Mr. Stark, it is not a huge accomplishment. People (and critics) wanna see it beating the avengers. That will give them something awesome to talk about for weeks and months and even years to come.
That's the only way it will be considered as a huge accomplishment. Yes it does matter, alot infact, if it beats the avengers OW, and vice versa (if doesnt beat it).

That's the way it is. It's not about math. it's about us, how we feel. We like to see records made only to be broken again.

 

[jmc]

I get that, but people have a choice, and it's no more of a rip off than all the marketing with IMAX where the vast majority of screens aren't even the true IMAX standard.

People will always be marketed to the hilt with stuff like this. I just feel as long as people have a choice it's not a problem.

If the session times are equal then yes it is a choice, but when one favours the other heavily it's not the same.

 

[Gianakin_]

Nvm

 

[redhawk23]

The film industry has shown to be one of the few industries to buck the trend when it comes to economic downturns. They won't get any sympathy from me.

Theater attendance hit a 16 year low in 2011.

 

[JB-the-Hunter]

Theater attendance hit a 16 year low in 2011.

I bet this year it hits an all-time high... I mean The Avengers, The Hunger Games, TDKR and The Hobbit in the same year?

 

[Tony Stark]

Believe me, Mr. Stark, it is not a huge accomplishment. People (and critics) wanna see it beating the avengers. That will give them something awesome to talk about for weeks and months and even years to come.
That's the only way it will be considered as a huge accomplishment. Yes it does matter, alot infact, if it beats the avengers OW, and vice versa (if doesnt beat it).

That's the way it is. It's not about math. it's about us, how we feel. We like to see records made only to be broken again.

Eventually the record will be broken. To be disappointed if this doesn't seems silly to me.

 

[Iceman]

Believe me, Mr. Stark, it is not a huge accomplishment. People (and critics) wanna see it beating the avengers. That will give them something awesome to talk about for weeks and months and even years to come.
That's the only way it will be considered as a huge accomplishment. Yes it does matter, alot infact, if it beats the avengers OW, and vice versa (if doesnt beat it).

That's the way it is. It's not about math. it's about us, how we feel. We like to see records made only to be broken again.

If the release dates were switched TDKR at $190m would have broken the previous record by more than $20m. It would also have outdone TDK after so many put that figure solely down to Heath Ledger's death. It's the same as saying if something bigger came out a few months before Avengers then Avengers' $207m would not be considered a big accomplishment.

Also I don't get why people care so much about opening weekend record except as an indicator of final gross. The old record holder fell well short of $400m total and failing to get that would definitely be a disappointment for TDKR. The target should be well over $500m final gross and over $600m if the film lives up to everything it can be.

 

[db85usa]

The reviews for 'Rises' are ridiculously great so far. This will translate to a massive opening day IMO.

 

[Reek]

Predicted 195 million OW? Don't they normally undershoot it? I'm going to stick to my prediction of $207,438,709 OW.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

Yeah they usually do, I'm more then convinced now that The Avengers record will be short lived. I think TDKR will set the new mark. ($1.3 -1.5 billion ww)

 

[Superhero 101]

Got my Tickets for 8:30 in the morning for Friday!!

 

[db85usa]

Critics Teeing 'The Dark Knight Rises' Up For A Huge Weekend

http://www.forbes.com/sites/dorothypomerantz/2012/07/16/critics-teeing-the-dark-knight-rises-up-for-a-huge-weekend/

 

[Patty]

this movie is going to clean up no matter what. maybe the highest grosser of the year, if TDK is any example.

 

[db85usa]

Why 'The Dark Knight Rises' Will Be Huge This Weekend

Filmfunds.com predicts $190 Million OW.

https://filmfunds.com/wordpress/2012/07/16/why-the-dark-knight-rises-will-be-huge-this-weekend/

 

[Patty]

190 mil? i believe it.

 

[db85usa]

BoxOfficeFollower.net predicts $200M opening weekend and a $35M midnight followed by $59M and altogether a $94M single day record.

http://www.boxofficefollower.net/2012/07/here-we-go-dark-knight-rises-opening.html