Solidus
Knights of Ren
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If a new trailer DOES come out at the end of April / start of May, it WILL be with Dark Shadows. There is NO way that WB would release the final trailer to their most anticipated Summer film of 2012 with The Avengers. That is not going to happen, full stop.
It all comes down to interest, that leads to money. Releasing the final TDKR trailer in theatres before releasing it online is obvious (given BB / TDK / TDKR marketing history), and will lead to more people watching a film at the cinema. So who do you think WB would rather get more money for? The Avengers (the competition), or a WB film?
I know that the prologue was released on Imax with MI4, but that was due to necessity (it was the ONLY Blockbuster Imax release in December). And the 1st full trailer was with Sherlock Holmes 2 (A WB film).
A. Inception and TDK's third trailers released in May were attached to Paramount films IM and IM2.
B. Ya the trailer would pull in more people.....but not that many. It is not going to boost the box office by a large amount, mainly because it goes online very quickly now. Hell I never saw Sherlock Holmes 2. So it is not going to grab everyone. Nor that many to begin with.
You have to think about the overall aspect. WB knows TDKR is their biggest film this year and more so this summer. They want to get as many people to see it as possible and get people excited. The Avengers is going to be the perfect target audience, and so many more people will see it, the film is going to probably make above 700-800 million at least. To get the word out with advertising is more important then adding a few more butts in the seats to Dark Shadows. I think they will take that hit, and focus on the film they know will make them tons of money.