Age of Ultron Early Avengers 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Iceman]

Any idea whats the o/s numbers ?

$562.4m. Been updated on Boxofficemojo now.

 

[samsnee]

Numbers are disappointing compared to the first Avengers. As they say in sports, teams are paid to win championships, not playoffs.

 

[spider-neil]

Also with Titanic they apparently murdered all the extras after filming. Solid box office tactic

Titanic did over a billion because it had the best legs ever. 10m a week for months.

 

[JC00]

Here's something I've been wondering and you guys are much more knowledgable than me about BO stuff.

Can ANY future MCU movie gross as much as TA domestically? AoU would obviously have been the prime candidate, but it's not even going to come close. Is it even possible for the Infinity War movies to crack the $600m mark?

Let's just say theoretically that Infinity War is as critically acclaimed as The Avengers.

I think Civil War could have a shot. I know people will say it's a Captain America film but have you seen the cast list? It will be the biggest MCU to date in terms of characters.

Infinity War at least the first one I think has a shot.

 

[sdc10]

Numbers are disappointing compared to the first Avengers. As they say in sports, teams are paid to win championships, not playoffs.

Its all over folks, cancel the MCU. It had a good run but may it RIP

 

[JC00]

Alright people from here on out any movie that doesn't hit Avengers like domestic numbers is a disappointment.

 

[JKKS085]

It's really baffling how people fail to understand that disappointing BO numbers doesn't necessarily means that a movie performed poorly.
AOU domestic numbers are a disappointment because they will show a huge step down from Avengers but on the other end it will be an extremely profitable movie and even if the prospects for the future of the MCU aren't as huge as they were after Avengers, they are still better than most past, present and future franchises.

 

[bholliday]

The world is a much bigger place now and US domestic is no where NEAR as important as international gross. To be worried when it will still make more than the first movie when all is said and done is pointless. Look at Fast 7 in China.

China and Japan still to come. Like others have said - It being the second largest grossing MCU film really isn't the end of the world. If it ends that way.

Marvel/Disney have a very large eye on the international and emerging side of things.

All chill

 

[PunyGod]

Here's something I've been wondering and you guys are much more knowledgable than me about BO stuff.

Can ANY future MCU movie gross as much as TA domestically? AoU would obviously have been the prime candidate, but it's not even going to come close. Is it even possible for the Infinity War movies to crack the $600m mark?

Let's just say theoretically that Infinity War is as critically acclaimed as The Avengers.

Infinity War Part II has to beat TA. Anything less will be jumped on by the pundits as a fail.

Not only is it the biggest event film imaginable but it will also have the benefit of 7 years of inflation.

 

[Raiden]

Weekend Box Office: 'Avengers' is Still Smashing; 'Hot Pursuit' Withers

In its second weekend, Disney and Marvel Studios’ Avengers: Age of Ultron remained a force of nature, topping the chart with $77.1 million from 4,276 screens to jump the $300 million mark domestically and putting its world total at a stunning $875.3 million. The tentpole enjoyed the second-biggest sophomore weekend of all time after the first Avengers ($865.3 million).

It may not have beaten The Avengers, but to have the second-biggest sophomore weekend of all time is pretty darn impressive as well.

 

[Sharkboy]

Here's something I've been wondering and you guys are much more knowledgable than me about BO stuff.

Can ANY future MCU movie gross as much as TA domestically? AoU would obviously have been the prime candidate, but it's not even going to come close. Is it even possible for the Infinity War movies to crack the $600m mark?

Let's just say theoretically that Infinity War is as critically acclaimed as The Avengers.

I'd like to think CW will trump it, on name value and it being a sequel to one of the most beloved MCU films ever, but the world always has a knack of disappointing me, especially when it comes to box office numbers

On another note, If you had told me that Furious 7 would have had Avengers 2 beat critically and (most likely) in worldwide gross. Id have smacked you silly. It's certainly deserving though.

 

[Bruce Malone]

I'm thinking Avengers 1 is going to stay the high mark for the series domestically. At this point the only people seeing Avengers films are MCU fans, granted that is a lot of fans but the first film seemed to attract a lot of people who didn't really go out to see superhero films who went just out curiosity and the overall hype for that film.

 

[samsnee]

Its all over folks, cancel the MCU. It had a good run but may it RIP

That's right. Lebron should have never come back to Cleveland.

 

[take3]

 

[Val_Zod]

If we were to compare AOU to any other film, of course none of this would be a disappointment. Another film, heck all of the Summer films this year would kill for the numbers AOU is getting, but more was expected from this film than others. Remember that expectations and disappointment are relative.Lets take GOTG for example, it didn't make a billion, but it's considered a success, due to it surpassing expectations. Now lets take BvS, if it were to make something around the same as GOTG, it would be considered a huge disappointment, as expectations for it were much higher.

If we go by what has been said countless times in this thread (heck just look at the poll and how many predicted around 2 billion) and others, this film was expected to outpace the first in almost every way, yet as it stands, that isn't even a lock.

 

[marcvader]

Numbers are disappointing compared to the first Avengers. As they say in sports, teams are paid to win championships, not playoffs.

Right and the 2015 season is only 5 months old. Get back to us at the end of the season to let us know if they won the 2015 Championship or only made it to the finals.

 

[Iceman]

Titanic did over a billion because it had the best legs ever. 10m a week for months.

Yes, the dismembered legs of all the extras that were murdered to secure those millions. You can only do big box office numbers when people die as TDK apparently proved.

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Any word on the second weekend numbers?

 

[warhorse78]

Also with Titanic they apparently murdered all the extras after filming. Solid box office tactic

Ah, but you see, James Cameron is excluded from the pack. I guess he made some deal with the devil sometime in the past.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Civil War will absolutely not do Avengers numbers as Avengers was the peak of the MCU. Avengers was lighting in a bottle. I think Civil War will be lucky to make 375 million domestically and that's a huge number so Marvel should be happy with that. It doesn't help that Marvel are still pretending that it's solely a Captain America sequel. I'm not saying that he won't be the star of the film but it's not even remotely just a Captain America film.

 

[Iceman]

It's really baffling how people fail to understand that disappointing BO numbers doesn't necessarily means that a movie performed poorly.
AOU domestic numbers are a disappointment because they will show a huge step down from Avengers but on the other end it will be an extremely profitable movie and even if the prospects for the future of the MCU aren't as huge as they were after Avengers, they are still better than most past, present and future franchises.

Yeah, it's like if you win a lottery for a billion dollars and when you turn up they show you a legal disclaimer in the small print and you only get £100k. £100k is a lot of money to be handed in cash for nothing and probably more than any other amount handed to someone in cash on that day in the world. But it can still be called disappointing.

AoU was always going to do a very good number even in the worst possible circumstances. The fact that it's come in below at least 80% of people's predictions (everywhere, not just here) is a suggestion that disappointing is a fair word in these circumstances. If Star Wars does $300m domestic I'm going to go ahead and call it disappointing even though that is a great number for most films.

 

[JKKS085]

The world is a much bigger place now and US domestic is no where NEAR as important as international gross. To be worried when it will still make more than the first movie when all is said and done is pointless. Look at Fast 7 in China.

And yet Universal will barely get back 25% of the film's gross in China if they are lucky compared to the 55% they get from the domestic BO. And I'm not going into exchange rate territory or the inflation of foreign distribution and p&a costs.

Acting like the domestic BO somehow became irrelevant because of the foreign mirage is very short-sighted.

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Civil War will absolutely not do Avengers numbers as Avengers was the peak of the MCU. Avengers was lighting in a bottle. I think Civil War will be lucky to make 375 million domestically and that's a huge number so Marvel should be happy with that. It doesn't help that Marvel are still pretending that it's solely a Captain America sequel. I'm not saying that he won't be the star of the film but it's not even remotely just a Captain America film.

Civil War will make at least a billion. No doubt about that!

 

[Mysteryman]

The world is a much bigger place now and US domestic is no where NEAR as important as international gross. To be worried when it will still make more than the first movie when all is said and done is pointless. Look at Fast 7 in China.

China and Japan still to come. Like others have said - It being the second largest grossing MCU film really isn't the end of the world. If it ends that way.

Marvel/Disney have a very large eye on the international and emerging side of things.

All chill

I agree with you wholeheartedly.
But, we want the domestic take to be as big as possible.
We don't want to depend solely on international numbers.

 

[Iceman]

Civil War will absolutely not do Avengers numbers as Avengers was the peak of the MCU. Avengers was lighting in a bottle. I think Civil War will be lucky to make 375 million domestically and that's a huge number so Marvel should be happy with that. It doesn't help that Marvel are still pretending that it's solely a Captain America sequel. I'm not saying that he won't be the star of the film but it's not even remotely just a Captain America film.

CW has no chance of doing Avengers numbers domestically. Worldwide I'll have to see how popular AoU is in China with its new expanded base. They love Spidey too so if that is marketed well it could get interesting. I think over a billion will happen even if the domestic is 375.